EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

REGIME CHANGES AND THE SUSTAINABILITY OF FISCAL IMBALANCE IN EAST ASIAN COUNTRIES

Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah and Evan Lau

Macroeconomics from EconWPA

Abstract: In the aftermath of the 1997 Asian financial crisis, fiscal policy is playing a bigger role in smoothing the business cycle and getting the crisis-affected countries back on their growth paths. The main purpose of this paper is to assess empirically the fiscal policy regimes in five Asian countries using a formal framework based on the government’s intertemporal budget constraints (GIBC). For this purpose, we relied on an array of time-series methods and quarterly frequency data of nearly three decades that ended in 2003:Q2. Our conclusions are; first, the evidence indicates that the fiscal stance in Thailand and Korea are on their sustainable path while the Philippines and Malaysia satisfy only the necessary condition for sustainability. Second, we found that revenues are growing at a rate faster than government spending for Singapore, a country that have recorded large surpluses for most of the sample period. Third, the results show a one-way causation from expenditure to revenue for Korea, Singapore and Thailand. This finding indicates that reducing the size of government spending may improve fiscal budget deficits without having to undergo changes in the overall strategy. Fourth, we observed a long-run feedback causality in the revenue-expenditure nexus for the case of Malaysia and the Philippines, which may require fiscal synchronization instrument policies to moderate the post-crisis fiscal imbalances. Together, these results demonstrate the diverse fiscal patterns but they should be useful as a means of understanding the complexities of economic integration in the region.

Keywords: fiscal sustainability; government intertemporal budget constraint; nonstationarity. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac and nep-sea
Date: 2005-04-01
Note: Type of Document - doc
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://econwpa.repec.org/eps/mac/papers/0504/0504001.pdf (application/pdf)
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 404 Not Found
http://econwpa.repec.org/eps/mac/papers/0504/0504001.ps.gz (application/postscript)
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 404 Not Found
http://econwpa.repec.org/eps/mac/papers/0504/0504001.doc.gz (application/msword)
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 404 Not Found

Related works:
Journal Article: Regime changes and the sustainability of fiscal imbalance in East Asian countries (2007) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0504001

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Macroeconomics from EconWPA
Series data maintained by EconWPA ().

 
Page updated 2017-06-25
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0504001