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EMF Research Papers

From Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group
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15: News Shocks and the Slope of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Comment Downloads
Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia
14: Monetary POlicy with Sectoral Trade-offs Downloads
Ivan Petrella, Rafaelle Rossi and Emilio Santoro
13: Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails with an Application to Inflation Forecasting Downloads
Davide Delle Monache and Ivan Petrella
12: News and Uncertainty Shocks Downloads
Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia and Ana Galvão
11: Data Revisions and DSGE Models Downloads
Ana Galvão
10: A comprehensive evaluation of macroeconomic forecasting methods Downloads
Andrea Carriero, Ana Galvão and George Kapetanios
09: Assessing the Economic Value of Probabilistic Forecasts in the Presence of an Inflation Target Downloads
Christopher McDonald, Craig Thamotheram, Shaun P. Vahey and Elizabeth C. Wakerly
08: What univariate models tell us about multivariate macroeconomic models Downloads
James Mitchell, Donald Robertson and Stephen Wright
07: Probability Forecasting for Inflation Warnings from the Federal Reserve Downloads
Anthony Garratt, James Mitchell and Shaun P. Vahey
06: Probablistic Prediction of the US Great Recession with Historical Expert Downloads
Patrick J Coe and Shaun P. Vahey
05: Generalised Density Forecast Combinations Downloads
Nicholas Fawcett, George Kapetanios, James Mitchell and Simon Price
04: Economic Sentiment, International Interdependence and Output Dynamics in the G7 Downloads
Anthony Garratt, Kevin Lee and Kalvinder Shields
03: A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-Sectional Dependence Downloads
George Kapetanios, James Mitchell and Yongcheol Shin
02: The Recalibrated and Copula Opinion Pools Downloads
James Mitchell
01: Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty Downloads
Anthony Garratt, James Mitchell and Shaun Vahey
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