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HSC Research Reports

from Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology
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Series data maintained by Rafal Weron ().

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HSC/15/02: Sister models for load forecast combination Downloads
Bidong Liu, Jiali Liu and Tao Hong
HSC/15/01: Probabilistic load forecasting via Quantile Regression Averaging on sister forecasts Downloads
Bidong Liu, Jakub Nowotarski, Tao Hong and Rafał Weron
HSC/14/13: 13 lucky tips to juggle the analytics of forecasting Downloads
Tao Hong
HSC/14/12: Evaluating the performance of VaR models in energy markets Downloads
Saša Žiković, Rafał Weron and Ivana Tomas Zikovic
HSC/14/11: Forecasting the occurrence of electricity price spikes in the UK power market Downloads
Pawel Maryniak and Rafał Weron
HSC/14/10: Probabilistic load forecasting via Quantile Regression Averaging of independent expert forecasts Downloads
Tao Hong, Katarzyna Maciejowska, Jakub Nowotarski and Rafał Weron
HSC/14/09: Probabilistic forecasting of electricity spot prices using Factor Quantile Regression Averaging Downloads
Katarzyna Maciejowska, Jakub Nowotarski and Rafał Weron
HSC/14/08: Modelling price spikes in electricity markets - the impact of load, weather and capacity Downloads
Rangga Handika, Chi Truong, Stefan Trueck and Rafał Weron
HSC/14/07: Electricity price forecasting: A review of the state-of-the-art with a look into the future Downloads
Rafał Weron
HSC/14/06: Modeling consumer opinions towards dynamic pricing: An agent-based approach Downloads
Anna Kowalska-Pyzalska, Katarzyna Maciejowska, Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron and Rafał Weron
HSC/14/05: Fundamental and speculative shocks, what drives electricity prices? Downloads
Katarzyna Maciejowska
HSC/14/04: A note on using the Hodrick-Prescott filter in electricity markets Downloads
Rafał Weron and Michał Zator
HSC/14/03: Merging quantile regression with forecast averaging to obtain more accurate interval forecasts of Nord Pool spot prices Downloads
Jakub Nowotarski and Rafał Weron
HSC/14/02: A review of electricity price forecasting: The past, the present and the future Downloads
Rafał Weron
HSC/14/01: Diffusion and adoption of dynamic electricity tariffs: An agent-based modeling approach Downloads
Anna Kowalska-Pyzalska, Katarzyna Maciejowska, Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron and Rafał Weron
HSC/13/16: Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2012 Downloads
Tao Hong, Pierre Pinson and Shu Fan
HSC/13/15: Energy forecasting: Past, present and future Downloads
Tao Hong
HSC/13/14: Fuzzy interaction regression for short term load forecasting Downloads
Tao Hong and Pu Wang
HSC/13/13: Long term probabilistic load forecasting and normalization with hourly information Downloads
Tao Hong, Jason Wilson and Jingrui Xie
HSC/13/12: Computing electricity spot price prediction intervals using quantile regression and forecast averaging Downloads
Jakub Nowotarski and Rafał Weron
HSC/13/11: Forecasting of daily electricity prices with factor models: Utilizing intra-day and inter-zone relationships Downloads
Katarzyna Maciejowska and Rafał Weron
HSC/13/10: Turning green: Agent-based modeling of the adoption of dynamic electricity tariffs Downloads
Anna Kowalska-Pyzalska, Katarzyna Maciejowska, Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron, Karol Suszczynski and Rafał Weron
HSC/13/09: Rewiring the network. What helps an innovation to diffuse? Downloads
Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron, Janusz Szwabinski, Rafał Weron and Tomasz Weron
HSC/13/08: Revisiting the relationship between spot and futures prices in the Nord Pool electricity market Downloads
Rafał Weron and Michał Zator
HSC/13/07: An empirical comparison of alternate schemes for combining electricity spot price forecasts Downloads
Jakub Nowotarski, Eran Raviv, Stefan Trueck and Rafał Weron
HSC/13/06: Relationship between spot and futures prices in electricity markets: Pitfalls of regression analysis Downloads
Michał Zator
HSC/13/05: Going green: Agent-based modeling of the diffusion of dynamic electricity tariffs Downloads
Anna Kowalska-Pyzalska, Katarzyna Maciejowska, Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron and Rafał Weron
HSC/13/04: Diffusion of innovation within an agent-based model: Spinsons, independence and advertising Downloads
Piotr Przybyla, Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron and Rafał Weron
HSC/13/03: A review of optimization methods for evaluation of placement of distributed generation into distribution networks (Przegląd metod optymalizacji przyłączenia rozproszonych źródeł energii do sieci elektroenergetycznej) Downloads
Anna Kowalska-Pyzalska
HSC/13/02: Modeling and forecasting of the long-term seasonal component of the EEX and Nord Pool spot prices Downloads
Jakub Nowotarski, Jakub Tomczyk and Rafał Weron
HSC/13/01: Forecasting of daily electricity spot prices by incorporating intra-day relationships: Evidence form the UK power market Downloads
Katarzyna Maciejowska and Rafał Weron
HSC/12/07: Optimal placement of distributed generation in the distribution network: Assessment of economic and technical effectiveness of investments Downloads
Anna Kowalska-Pyzalska
HSC/12/06: Robust estimation and forecasting of the long-term seasonal component of electricity spot prices Downloads
Jakub Nowotarski, Jakub Tomczyk and Rafał Weron
HSC/12/05: A new method for automated noise cancellation in electromagnetic field measurement Downloads
Pawel Bienkowski, Krzysztof Burnecki, Joanna Janczura, Rafał Weron and Bartlomiej Zubrzak
HSC/12/04: Anomalous dynamics of Black–Scholes model time-changed by inverse subordinators Downloads
Marcin Magdziarz and Janusz Gajda
HSC/12/03: Modeling of short term interest rate based on tempered fractional Langevin equation Downloads
Janusz Gajda
HSC/12/02: The relationship between spot and futures CO2 emission allowance prices in the EU-ETS Downloads
Stefan Trück, Wolfgang Härdle and Rafał Weron
HSC/12/01: Inference for Markov-regime switching models of electricity spot prices Downloads
Joanna Janczura and Rafał Weron
HSC/11/07: Usage of metaheuristic methods of optimization of distributed generation placement into the distribution network (Możliwości zastosowania algorytmów metaheurystycznych do optymalizacji przyłączenia rozprosznych źródeł energii do sieci elektroenergetycznej) Downloads
Anna Kowalska-Pyzalska
HSC/11/06: Multidimensional Levy walk and its scaling limits Downloads
Marek Teuerle, Piotr Zebrowski and Marcin Magdziarz
HSC/11/05: Option pricing in subdiffusive Bachelier model Downloads
Marcin Magdziarz, Sebastian Orzeł and Aleksander Weron
HSC/11/04: Measures of dependence for Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes with tempered stable distribution Downloads
Agnieszka Wyłomańska
HSC/11/03: Subordinated alpha-stable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process as a tool for financial data description Downloads
Joanna Janczura, Sebastian Orzeł and Agnieszka Wyłomańska
HSC/11/02: Efficient estimation of Markov regime-switching models: An application to electricity spot prices Downloads
Joanna Janczura and Rafał Weron
HSC/11/01: Black swans or dragon kings? A simple test for deviations from the power law Downloads
Joanna Janczura and Rafał Weron
HSC/10/07: Smart grid as a chance for distributed generation (Koncepcja smart grid szansą dla rozwoju generacji rozproszonej) Downloads
Anna Kowalska-Pyzalska
HSC/10/06: Optimal bidding strategies on the power market based on the stochastic models Downloads
Magdalena Weglarz and Agnieszka Wyłomańska
HSC/10/05: Heavy-tailed distributions in VaR calculations Downloads
Adam Misiorek and Rafał Weron
HSC/10/04: Ruin Probability in Finite Time Downloads
Krzysztof Burnecki and Marek Teuerle
HSC/10/03: Building Loss Models Downloads
Krzysztof Burnecki, Joanna Janczura and Rafał Weron
Page updated 2015-02-26
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