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DYNAMIC QUANTILE MODELS

Joann Jasiak and Christian S. Gourieroux

Working Papers from York University, Department of Economics

Abstract: This paper introduces new dynamic quantile models called the Dynamic Additive Quantile (DAQ) model and Quantile Factor Model (QFM) for univariate time series and panel data, respectively. The Dynamic Additive Quantile (DAQ) model is suitable for applications to financial data such as univariate returns, and can be used for computation and updating of the Value-at-Risk. The Quantile Factor Mode (QFM) is a multivariate model that can represent the dynamics of cross-sectional distributions of returns, individual incomes, and corporate ratings. The estimation method proposed in the paper relies on an optimization criterion based on the inverse KLIC measure. Goodness of fit tests and diagnostic tools for fit assessment are also provided. For illustration, the models are estimated on stock return data form the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX).

Keywords: Value-at-Risk; Factor Model; Information Criterion; Income Inequality; Panel Data; Loss-Given-Default (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm and nep-rmg
Date: 2006-09
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http://dept.econ.yorku.ca/research/workingPapers/working_papers/2006/QUANT.pdf First version, 200r65

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Journal Article: Dynamic quantile models (2008) Downloads
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