Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings

Ray Fair () and John F. Oster ()
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John F. Oster: General

Yale School of Management Working Papers from Yale School of Management

Abstract: The method in Fair and Shiller (1990) is used in this paper to compare the predictive information content of various college football ranking systems. The results show that a number of systems have useful independent information. Optimal weights for the systems are estimated, and the use of these weights produces a predictive system that is more accurate than any of the individual systems. The results also provide a fairly precise estimate of the size of the home field advantage.

Keywords: Football Rankings; Predictive Information (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: Written
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