Money-based interest rate rules: lessons from German data

Christina Gerberding, Franz Seitz and Andreas Worms

No 2007,06, Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies from Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre

Abstract: The paper derives the monetary policy reaction function implied by money growth targeting. It consists of an interest rate response to deviations of the inflation rate from target, to the change in the output gap, to money demand shocks and to the lagged interest rate. In the second part, it is shown that this type of inertial interest rate rule characterises the Bundesbank’s monetary policy from 1979 to 1998 quite well. This result is robust to the use of real-time or ex post data and to the consideration of serially correlated errors. The main lesson is that, in addition to anchoring long-term inflation expectations, monetary targeting introduces inertia and history-dependence into the monetary policy rule. This is advantageous when private agents have forward-looking expectations and when the level of the output gap is subject to persistent measurement errors.

Keywords: Monetary policy; Taylor rule; money growth targets; history dependence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E43 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-his, nep-mac and nep-mon
Date: 2007
View list of references

Downloads: (external link)
http://opus.zbw-kiel.de/volltexte/2007/5560/pdf/200706dkp.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies from Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre
Contact information at EDIRC.
Series data maintained by ZBW - German National Library for Economics ().