Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies

from Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre
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2006,44: Precautionary saving and income uncertainty in Germany - new evidence from microdata

Nikolaus Bartzsch

2006,43: Regionalwährungen in Deutschland: Lokale Konkurrenz für den Euro?

Gerhard Rösl

2006,42: How good are dynamic factor models at forecasting output and inflation? A meta-analytic approach

Christina Elisabeth Ziegler and Sandra Eickmeier

2006,41: The macroeconomic effects of exogenous fiscal policy shocks in Germany: a disaggregated SVAR analysis

Guntram Wolff, Jörn Tenhofen and Heppke-Falk, Kirsten H.

2006,40: Does trade openness increase firm-level volatility?

Harald Strotmann, Jörg Döpke and Claudia M. Buch

2006,39: How strong is the impact of exports and other demand components on German import demand? Evidence from euro-area and non-euro-area imports

Claudia Stirböck (Claudia Stirboeck)

2006,38: How to treat benchmark revisions?: The case of German production and orders statistics

Thomas A. Knetsch and Hans-Eggert Reimers

2006,37: Has the export pricing behaviour of German enterprises changed?: Empirical evidence from German sectoral prices

Kerstin Stahn

2006,36: Political risk and export promotion: evidence from Germany

Christoph Moser, Thorsten Nestmann and Michael Wedow

2006,35: Fiscal institutions, fiscal policy and sovereign risk premia

Mark Hallerberg and Guntram Wolff

2006,34: Macroeconomic fluctuations and bank lending: evidence for Germany and the euro area

Sandra Eickmeier, Boris Hofmann and Andreas Worms

2006,33: Real-time forecasting of GDP based on a large factor model with monthly and quarterly data

Christian Schumacher and Jörg Breitung

2006,32: Forecasting using a large number of predictors: is Bayesian regression a valid alternative to principal components?

Christine De Mol, Domenico Giannone and Lucrezia Reichlin

2006,31: Comovements and heterogeneity in the Comovements and heterogeneity in the dynamic factor model

Sandra Eickmeier

2006,30: Dependence on external finance: an inherent industry characteristic?

Ulf von Kalckreuth and George M. von Furstenberg

2006,29: The within-distribution business cycle dynamics of German firms

Sebastian Weber and Jörg Döpke

2006,28: Empirical Bayesian density forecasting in Iowa and shrinkage for the Monte Carlo era

Kurt F. Lewis and Charles H. Whiteman

2006,27: Learning, structural instability and present value calculations

M Hashem Pesaran, Davide Pettenuzzo and Allan Timmermann

2006,26: Do actions speak louder than words? Household expectations of inflation based on micro consumption data

Atsushi Inoue, Lutz Kilian and Fatma Burcu Kiraz

2006,25: Forecasting with panel data

Badi Baltagi

2006,24: Margins of multinational labor substitution

Mündler, Marc-Andreas and Sascha O. Becker (Marc-Andreas Muendler)

2006,23: A reappraisal of the evidence on PPP: a systematic investigation into MA roots in panel unit root tests and their implications

Christoph Fischer and Daniel Porath

2006,22: Real-time forecasting and political stock market anomalies: evidence for the U.S

Martin Bohl, Jörg Döpke and Christian Pierdzioch

2006,21: Monetary and fiscal policy interactions in a New Keynesian model with capital accumulation and non-Ricardian consumers

Campbell Leith and Leopold von Thadden

2006,20: How would formula apportionment in the EU affect the distribution and the size of the corporate tax base? An analysis based on German multinationals

Clemens Fuest, Thomas Hemmelgarn and Fred Ramb

2006,19: Fool the markets? Creative accounting, fiscal transparency and sovereign risk premia

Kerstin Bernoth and Guntram Wolff

2006,18: Do monetary indicators (still) predict euro area inflation?

Boris Hofmann

2006,17: Identifying the role of labor markets for monetary policy in an estimated DSGE model

Kai Christoffel, Keith Küster and Tobias Linzert

2006,16: Consumer price adjustment under the microscope: Germany in a period of low inflation

Johannes Hoffmann and Kurz-Kim, Jeong-Ryeol

2006,15: Internalization and internationalization under copeting real options

Jan Hendrik Fisch

2006,14: Inflation and relative price variability in the euro area: evidence from a panel threshold model

Juliane Scharff and Dieter Nautz

2006,13: Foreign direct investment in the enlarged EU: do taxes matter and to what extent?

Guntram Wolff

2006,12: Forecasting the price of crude oil via convenience yield predictions

Thomas A. Knetsch

2006,11: The role of real wage rigidity and labor market frictions for unemployment and inflation dynamics

Kai Christoffel and Tobias Linzert

2006,10: Real-time macroeconomic data and ex ante predictability of stock returns

Jörg Döpke, Daniel Hartmann and Christian Pierdzioch

2006,09: Capital, labour and productivity: What role do they play in the potential GPD weakness of France, Germany and Italy?

Antonio Bassanetti, Jörg Döpke, Roberto Torrini and Roberta Zizza

2006,08: The coordination channel of foreign exchange intervention: a nonlinear microstructural analysis

Stefan Reitz and Mark P. Taylor

2006,07: Has the impact of key determinants of German exports changed? Results from estimations of Germany's intra euro-area and extra euro-area exports

Kerstin Stahn

2006,06: Bond pricing when the short term interest rate follows a threshold process

Wolfgang Lemke and Theofanis Archontakis

2006,05: A disaggregated framework for the analysis of structural developments in public finances

Jana Kremer, Cláudia Rodrigues Braz, Teunis Brosens, Geert Langenus, Sandro Momigliano and Mikko Spolander

2006,04: Exports versus FDI in German manufacturing: firm performance and participation in international markets

Jens Matthias Arnold and Katrin Hussinger

2006,03: Going multinational: What are the effects on home market performance?

Robert Jäckle (Robert Jaeckle)

2006,02: Sticky prices in the euro area: a summary of new micro evidence

Luis J. Alvarez, Emmanuel Dhyne, Marco Hoeberichts, Claudia Kwapil, Hervé LE BIHAN, Patrick Lünnemann, Fernando Manuel Monteiro Martins, Roberto Sabbatini, Harald Edgar Stahl, Philip Vermeulen and Jouko Vilmunen

2006,01: The dynamic relationship between the Euro overnight rate, the ECB´s policy rate and the term spread

Christian J. Offermanns and Dieter Nautz

2005,43: Price setting in German manufacturing: new evidence from new survey data

Harald Edgar Stahl

2005,42: Unit roots and cointegration in panels

Jörg Breitung and M Hashem Pesaran

2005,41: Trade balances of the central and east European EU member states and the role of foreign direct investment

Sabine Herrmann and Axel JOCHEM

2005,40: A "wreckers theory" of financial distress

Ulf von Kalckreuth

2005,39: Short-run and long-run comovement of GDP and some expenditure aggregates in Germany, France and Italy

Thomas A. Knetsch

2005,38: Dynamic factor models

Jörg Breitung and Sandra Eickmeier