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Details about Jörg Döpke

Workplace:Fachbereich Wirtschaftwissenschaften (Department of Business), Hochschule Merseburg (University of Applied Sciences Merseburg), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Jörg Döpke.

Last updated 2017-10-20. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pdp2


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Working Papers

2017

  1. Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey among professional forecasters
    Working Papers, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting Downloads
  2. Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters
    Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics Downloads

2016

  1. Multidimensional Well-being and Regional Disparities in Europe
    IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Downloads

2015

  1. Predicting Recessions With Boosted Regression Trees
    Working Papers, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting Downloads
  2. Predicting Recessions in Germany With Boosted Regression Trees
    Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics Downloads View citations (1)

2014

  1. Are there Business Cycles beyond GDP? Alternative Measures to GDP at Business Cycle Frequencies
    Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik) (2015)

2009

  1. Evaluating German Business Cycle Forecasts Under an Asymmetric Loss Function
    Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2009) Downloads View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article in OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis (2010)
  2. The Cross-Section of Output and Inflation in a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model with Sticky Prices
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2008) Downloads View citations (6)
    Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers, Hamburg University, Department of Economics (2008) Downloads View citations (2)

2008

  1. Great Moderation at the Firm Level? Unconditional vs. Conditional Output Volatility
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy (2009)
  2. Great moderation at the firm level? Unconditional versus conditional output volatility
    Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Sticky information Phillips curves: European evidence
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (24)
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2006) Downloads View citations (2)
    Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics (2006) Downloads View citations (11)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2008)

2006

  1. Capital, labour and productivity: What role do they play in the potential GPD weakness of France, Germany and Italy?
    Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Does trade openness increase firm-level volatility?
    Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank Downloads View citations (9)
  3. Forecast errors and the macroeconomy — a non-linear relationship?
    Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics Downloads
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2005) Downloads View citations (2)
  4. Forecasting stock market volatility with macroeconomic variables in real time
    Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economics and Business (2008)
  5. Real-time forecasting and political stock market anomalies: evidence for the U.S
    Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank Downloads
  6. Real-time macroeconomic data and ex ante predictability of stock returns
    Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank Downloads View citations (4)
  7. The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (21)
    Also in Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics (2006) Downloads View citations (4)

    See also Journal Article in The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics (2008)
  8. The Within-Distribution Business Cycle Dynamics of German Firms
    Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers, Hamburg University, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank (2006) Downloads View citations (14)

    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics (2010)

2005

  1. European inflation expectations dynamics
    Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank Downloads View citations (30)
  2. The Cross-Sectional Dynamics of German Business Cycles: A Bird´s Eye View
    Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers, Hamburg University, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank (2005) Downloads View citations (43)

2004

  1. Growth and Inflation Forecasts for Germany: An Assessment of Accuracy and Dispersion
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Politics and the Stock Market: Evidence from Germany
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in European Journal of Political Economy (2006)
  3. Real-time data and business cycle analysis in Germany
    Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank Downloads View citations (4)

2002

  1. Business Cycle Volatility in Germany
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in German Economic Review (2004)
  2. Consumer preferences and the reliability of Euler equation tests of capital mobility: some simulation-based evidence
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  3. Financial Openness and Business Cycle Volatility
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (32)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (2005)

2001

  1. Inflation and the Skewness of the Distribution of Relative Price Changes: Empirical Evidence for Germany
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Labour Supply and Labour Force Participation in Europe – A Discussion of Some Recent Developments and Projections
    Sciences Po publications, Sciences Po Downloads View citations (7)
    Also in Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) (2001) Downloads View citations (6)
  3. Measures of the Output Gap in the Euro-Zone: An Empirical Assessment of Selected Methods
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (30)
    See also Journal Article in Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research (2001)
  4. Sources of Euro Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations: What Is Behind the Euro Weakness in 1999-2000?
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  5. The "Employment Intensity" of Growth in Europe
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (4)

2000

  1. Macroeconomic Forecasts and the Nature of Economic Shocks in Germany
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Forecasting (2001)
  2. Stock Market Dispersion, Sectoral Shocks, and the German Business Cycle
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES) (2000)

1999

  1. Financial market volatility and inflation uncertainty: An empirical investigation
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  2. Indikatoren zur Prognose der Investitionen in Deutschland
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (5)
  3. Predicting Germany's recessions with leading indicators: Evidence from probit models
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Produktionsabschwächung in Deutschland nur vorübergehend
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
  5. Real and Financial Integration in Europe - Evidence for the Accession States and for the Pre-Ins
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
  6. What can the ECB learn from Bundesbank interventions? Evidence on the link between exchange rate volatility and interventions
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (2)

1998

  1. Brokers and business cycles: Does financial market volatility cause real fluctuations?
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  2. Euroland: New conditions for economic policy
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Kräftig steigende Unternehmensinvestitionen in Deutschland
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  4. Leading indicators for Euroland's business cycle
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
  5. Quo vadis, Euroland?
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (5)
  6. Stylized facts of Euroland's business cycle
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  7. Trotz Belastungen: Aufschwung in Deutschland setzt sich fort
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
  8. Vorübergehende konjunkturelle Abschwächung in Deutschland
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (2)

1997

  1. Abnehmende Bedeutung der Lagerinvestitionen für den Konjunkturverlauf?
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  2. Aufschwung in Deutschland gewinnt an Breite
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  3. Aufschwung in Deutschland ohne Dynamik
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (3)
  4. Aufschwung in Deutschland: mehr Schub von der Inlandsnachfrage
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  5. Bundesrepublik Deutschland: Exportboom treibt Konjunktur
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (6)
  6. Deutsche Konjunktur weiter aufwärtsgerichtet
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads

1996

  1. Bundesrepublik Deutschland: Konjunktur belebt sich, Finanzpolitik auf Sparkurs
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  2. Bundesrepublik Deutschland: Konjunktur bessert sich - Arbeitslosigkeit bleibt hoch
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  3. Bundesrepublik Deutschland: Konsolidierung der öffentlichen Haushalte - konjunkturelle Erholung setzt sich fort
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)

1995

  1. Bundesrepublik Deutschland: DM-Aufwertung dämpft Konjunktur nur wenig - Aufschwungstempo 1996 dennoch geringer
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  2. Bundesrepublik Deutschland: Konjunktur vorübergehend schwach - Wachstum des Produktionspotentials gering
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Bundesrepublik Deutschland: anhaltender Aufschwung im Westen - stetige Aufwärtsentwicklung im Osten
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  4. Bundesrepublik Deutschland: vorübergehende Abflachung des Produktionsanstiegs
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  5. Zur Qualität von Konjunkturprognosen für Westdeutschland 1976-1994
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)

1994

  1. Bundesrepublik Deutschland: Aufschwung festigt sich
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  2. Bundesrepublik Deutschland: Aufschwung setzt sich fort
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  3. Bundesrepublik Deutschland: wirtschaftliche Aktivität belebt sich trotz Konsumschwäche
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Bundesrepublik Deutschland: zögerliche Erholung der Konjunktur
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (2)

1993

  1. Alternative Ansätze zur Schätzung des gesamtwirtschaftlichen Produktionspotentials
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  2. Bundesrepublik Deutschland: 1994 konjunkturelle Erholung bei finanzpolitischem Konsolidierungskurs
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  3. Bundesrepublik Deutschland: Produktion belebt sich - noch keine Wende am Arbeitsmarkt
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  4. Bundesrepublik Deutschland: tiefe Rezession - Belebung erst 1994
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads
  5. Geldpolitik in den Industrieländern auf Anregung der Konjunktur bedacht
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (1)
  6. Indikatoren für die konjunkturellen Wirkungen der Geldpolitik: Evidenz aus sechs großen Industrieländern
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) Downloads View citations (6)

Journal Articles

2015

  1. Are There Business Cycles “beyond GDP”? Alternative Measures to GDP at Business Cycle Frequencies
    Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), 2015, 61, (2), 115-139 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2014)

2010

  1. Evaluating German business cycle forecasts under an asymmetric loss function
    OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2010, 2010, (1), 1-18 Downloads View citations (22)
    See also Working Paper (2009)
  2. The within-distribution business cycle dynamics of German firms
    Applied Economics, 2010, 42, (29), 3789-3802 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2006)

2009

  1. Does Export Openness Increase Firm-level Output Volatility?
    The World Economy, 2009, 32, (4), 531-551 Downloads View citations (27)
  2. Great Moderation at the Firm Level? Unconditional vs. Conditional Output Volatility
    The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, 2009, 9, (1), 1-27 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2008)

2008

  1. Forecasting stock market volatility with macroeconomic variables in real time
    Journal of Economics and Business, 2008, 60, (3), 256-276 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
  2. Real-Time Forecasting and Political Stock Market Anomalies: Evidence for the United States
    The Financial Review, 2008, 43, (3), 323-335 Downloads View citations (5)
  3. Real-time macroeconomic data and ex ante stock return predictability
    International Review of Financial Analysis, 2008, 17, (2), 274-290 Downloads View citations (3)
  4. Shocking! Do forecasters share a common belief?
    Applied Economics Letters, 2008, 15, (5), 355-358 Downloads View citations (3)
  5. Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2008, 40, (7), 1513-1520 Downloads View citations (23)
    See also Working Paper (2008)
  6. The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2008, 8, (1), 1-23 Downloads View citations (26)
    See also Working Paper (2006)

2006

  1. Growth and inflation forecasts for Germany a panel-based assessment of accuracy and efficiency
    Empirical Economics, 2006, 31, (3), 777-798 Downloads View citations (7)
  2. Politics and the stock market: Evidence from Germany
    European Journal of Political Economy, 2006, 22, (4), 925-943 Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  3. Treffgenauigkeit, Rationalität und Streuung von Konjunkturprognosen für Deutschland
    Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, 2006, 75, (2), 34-53 Downloads View citations (2)
  4. When do forecasters disagree? An assessment of German growth and inflation forecast dispersion
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2006, 22, (1), 125-135 Downloads View citations (27)

2005

  1. Financial openness and business cycle volatility
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2005, 24, (5), 744-765 Downloads View citations (77)
    See also Working Paper (2002)

2004

  1. Business Cycle Volatility in Germany
    German Economic Review, 2004, 5, (4), 451-479 Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper (2002)
  2. Der Rückgang konjunktureller Schwankungen in Deutschland: Bessere Geldpolitik oder nur Glück gehabt?
    Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik, 2004, 53, (1), 81-94 Downloads
  3. Die deutsche Wachstumsschwäche: Liegt die Ursache beim Finanzmarkt?
    Wirtschaftsdienst – Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik (1949 - 2007), 2004, 84, (10), 667-672 Downloads
  4. Globalisierung und Konjunkturzyklen
    Wirtschaftsdienst – Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik (1949 - 2007), 2004, 84, (1), 59-64 Downloads
  5. How Robust is the Empirical Link between Business-Cycle Volatility and Long-Run Growth in OECD Countries?
    International Review of Applied Economics, 2004, 18, (1), 1-23 Downloads View citations (7)
  6. The Effects of Business Cycles on Growth – Time Series Evidence for the G7-countries Using Survey-based Measures of the Business Cycle
    CESifo Economic Studies, 2004, 50, (2), 333-349 Downloads View citations (2)

2003

  1. Inflation and the Skewness of the Distribution of Relative Price Changes: Empirical Evidence for Germany / Inflation und die Schiefe der Verteilung relativer Preisänderungen: Empirische Evidenz für Deutschland
    Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2003, 223, (2), 136-158 Downloads View citations (7)

2001

  1. Macroeconomic forecasts and the nature of economic shocks in Germany
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2001, 17, (2), 181-201 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2000)
  2. Measures of the Output Gap in the Euro-Zone: An Empirical Assessment of Selected Methods
    Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, 2001, 70, (3), 310-332 Downloads View citations (27)
    See also Working Paper (2001)

2000

  1. Stock Market Dispersion, Sectoral Shocks, and the German Business Cycle
    Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), 2000, 136, (IV), 531-555 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2000)

1999

  1. Stylized Facts of Eurolands Business Cycle / Stilisierte Fakten des Konjunkturzyklus in Euroland
    Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 1999, 219, (5-6), 591-610 Downloads
 
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