Economics at your fingertips  

A Disaggregated Markov-Switching Model of the Business Cycle in UK Manufacturing

Hans-Martin Krolzig () and Marianne Sensier ()

Manchester School, 2000, vol. 68, issue 4, 442-60

Abstract: Exploring index of production data for six major UK manufacturing sectors, we investigate the interaction of the UK business cycle with changes in the industrial structure of the UK economy during the last three decades. We propose a Markov-switching vector equilibrium correction model with three regimes representing recession, normal growth and high growth. The regime shifts simultaneously affect the common growth rate and the sectoral equilibrium allocation of industrial production. In contrast to previous investigations, a common cycle can be uncovered which is closely related to traditional datings of the UK business cycle. Copyright 2000 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester

Date: 2000
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (13) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link) ... &year=2000&part=null link to full text (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.blackwell ... bs.asp?ref=1463-6786

Access Statistics for this article

Manchester School is currently edited by Keith Blackburn

More articles in Manchester School from University of Manchester Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Wiley Content Delivery ().

Page updated 2019-07-29
Handle: RePEc:bla:manchs:v:68:y:2000:i:4:p:442-60