Hybrid Drive Simulation Architecture for Power Distribution Based on the Federated Evolutionary Monte Carlo Algorithm

Dongli Jia, Xiaoyu Yang, Wanxing Sheng, Keyan Liu, Tingyan Jin (), Xiaoming Li and Weijie Dong
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Dongli Jia: China Electric Power Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 100192, China
Xiaoyu Yang: China Electric Power Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 100192, China
Wanxing Sheng: China Electric Power Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 100192, China
Keyan Liu: China Electric Power Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 100192, China
Tingyan Jin: College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Beijing Information Science and Technology University, Beijing 100192, China
Xiaoming Li: College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Beijing Information Science and Technology University, Beijing 100192, China
Weijie Dong: College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Beijing Information Science and Technology University, Beijing 100192, China

Energies, 2025, vol. 18, issue 21, 1-20

Abstract: Modern active distribution networks are increasingly characterized by high complexity, uncertainty, and distributed clustering, posing challenges for traditional model-based simulations in capturing nonlinear dynamics and stochastic variations. This study develops a data–model hybrid-driven simulation architecture that integrates a Federated Evolutionary Monte Carlo Optimization (FEMCO) algorithm for distribution network optimization. The model-driven module employs spectral clustering to decompose the network into multiple autonomous subsystems and performs distributed reconstruction through gradient descent. The data-driven module, built upon Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, learns temporal dependencies between load curves and operational parameters to enhance predictive accuracy. These two modules are fused via a Random Forest ensemble, while FEMCO jointly leverages Monte Carlo global sampling, Federated Learning-based distributed training, and Genetic Algorithm-driven evolutionary optimization. Simulation studies on the IEEE 33 bus distribution system demonstrate that the proposed framework reduces power losses by 25–45% and voltage deviations by 75–85% compared with conventional Genetic Algorithm and Monte Carlo approaches. The results confirm that the proposed hybrid architecture effectively improves convergence stability, optimization precision, and adaptability, providing a scalable solution for the intelligent operation and distributed control of modern power distribution systems.

Keywords: distribution system optimization; data–model hybrid driving; spectral clustering; Federated Evolutionary Monte Carlo Optimization algorithm; long short-term memory networks; random forest; power system optimization (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q Q0 Q4 Q40 Q41 Q42 Q43 Q47 Q48 Q49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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