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Judgment and Decision Making

2006 - 2019

Current editor(s): Jonathan Baron

From Society for Judgment and Decision Making
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Volume 14, issue July, 2019

Revealed strength of preference: Inference from response times pp. 381-394 Downloads
Arkady Konovalov and Ian Krajbich
A universal method for evaluating the quality of aggregators pp. 395-411 Downloads
Ying Han and David Budescu
Right-wing ideology and numeracy: A perception of greater ability, but poorer performance pp. 412-422 Downloads
Becky L. Choma, David Sumantry and Yaniv Hanoch
Dishonest helping and harming after (un)fair treatment pp. 423-439 Downloads
Margarita Leib, Simone Moran and Shaul Shalvi
Political double standards in reliance on moral foundations pp. 440-454 Downloads
Kimmo Eriksson, Brent Simpson and Pontus Strimling
Beyond reach: Do symmetric changes in motor costs affect decision making? A registered report pp. 455-469 Downloads
Arkady Zgonnikov, Nadim A. A. Atiya, Denis O'Hora, Iñaki Rañò and KongFatt Wong-Lin
The robustness of anchoring effects on preferential judgments pp. 470-487 Downloads
Sangsuk Yoon, Nathan M. Fong and Angelika Dimoka
Information search in everyday decisions: The generalizability of the attraction search effect pp. 488-512 Downloads
Sophie E. Scharf, Monika Wiegelmann and Arndt Brö der
The decision paradoxes motivating Prospect Theory: The prevalence of the paradoxes increases with numerical ability pp. 513-533 Downloads
Philip Millroth, HÃ¥kan Nilsson and Peter Juslin

Volume 14, issue May, 2019

Simple eye movement metrics can predict future decision making performance: The case of financial choices pp. 223-233 Downloads
Michał Król and Magdalena Ewa Król
Cognitive ability and risk aversion: A systematic review and meta analysis pp. 234-279 Downloads
Lau Lilleholt
Terrorism, dread risk and bicycle accidents pp. 280-287 Downloads
Peter Ayton, Samantha Murray and James A. Hampton
Too soon to tell if the US intelligence community prediction market is more accurate than intelligence reports: Commentary on Stastny and Lehner (2018) pp. 288-292 Downloads
David R. Mandel
The endowment effect in the genes: An exploratory study pp. 293-298 Downloads
Xingrong Hou, Jianmin Zeng, Hong Chen and Li Su
Sense of control matters: A long spatial distance leads to a short-term investment preference pp. 299-308 Downloads
Miao He, Guibing He, Jiaxin Chen and Yuan Wang
The power of moral words: Loaded language generates framing effects in the extreme dictator game pp. 309-317 Downloads
Valerio Capraro and Andrea Vanzo
Integrating theories of law obedience: How utility-theoretic factors, legitimacy, and lack of self-control influence decisions to commit low-level crimes pp. 318-334 Downloads
Berenike Waubert de Puiseau, Andreas Glöckner and Emanuel V. Towfigh
An exploratory investigation of the impact of evaluation context on ambiguity aversion pp. 335-348 Downloads
Şule Güney and Ben R. Newell
Why dyads heed advice less than individuals do pp. 349-363 Downloads
Thomas Schultze, Andreas Mojzisch and Stefan Schulz-Hardt
Validation of Pre-Adolescent Decision-Making Competence in Turkish students pp. 364-372 Downloads
Yasemin Demiraslan Çevik, Nuri Doğan, Gökhan Dağhan, Filiz Kuşkaya Mumcu, Sibel Somyürek and Haydar Karaman
From foe to friend and back again: The temporal dynamics of intra-party bias in the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election pp. 373-380 Downloads
Yarrow Dunham, Antonio A. Arechar and David G. Rand

Volume 14, issue March, 2019

Finding meaning in the clouds: Illusory pattern perception predicts receptivity to pseudo-profound bullshit pp. 109-119 Downloads
Alexander C. Walker, Martin Harry Turpin, Jennifer A. Stolz, Jonathan A. Fugelsang and Derek J. Koehler
A reason-based explanation for moral dumbfounding pp. 120-129 Downloads
Matthew L. Stanley, Siyuan Yin and Walter Sinnott-Armstrong
Pill or bill? Influence of monetary incentives on the perceived riskiness and the ethical approval of clinical trials pp. 130-134 Downloads
Janine Hoffart and Benjamin Scheibehenne
Are markets more accurate than polls? The surprising informational value of “just asking†pp. 135-147 Downloads
Jason Dana, Pavel Atanasov, Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers
Intuition speed as a predictor of choice and confidence in point spread predictions pp. 148-155 Downloads
Alexander C. Walker, Martin Harry Turpin, Jonathan A. Fugelsang and Derek J. Koehler
The link between intuitive thinking and social conservatism is stronger in WEIRD societies pp. 156-169 Downloads
Onurcan Yilmaz and Sinan Alper
Do we de-bias ourselves?: The impact of repeated presentation on the bat-and-ball problem pp. 170-178 Downloads
Matthieu Raoelison and Wim De Neys
Cross-cultural support for a link between analytic thinking and disbelief in God: Evidence from India and the United Kingdom pp. 179-186 Downloads
Michael N. Stagnaro, Robert M. Ross, Gordon Pennycook and David G. Rand
How decision context changes the balance between cost and benefit increasing charitable donations pp. 187-198 Downloads
Marta Caserotti, Enrico Rubaltelli and Paul Slovic
Short-sighted greed? Focusing on the future promotes reputation-based generosity pp. 199-213 Downloads
Hallgeir Sjåstad
Can asymmetric subjective opportunity cost effect explain impatience in intertemporal choice? A replication study pp. 214-222 Downloads
Si-Chu Shen, Yuan-Na Huang, Cheng-Ming Jiang and Shu Li

Volume 14, issue January, 2019

Belief bias and representation in assessing the Bayesian rationality of others pp. 1-10 Downloads
Richard B. Anderson, Laura Marie Leventhal, Don C. Zhang, Daniel Fasko, Jr., Zachariah Basehore, Christopher Gamsby, Jared Branch and Timothy Patrick
Welfare effects of nudges: The emotional tax of calorie menu labeling pp. 11-25 Downloads
Linda Thunström
Improving acceptability of nudges: Learning from attitudes towards opt-in and opt-out policies pp. 26-39 Downloads
Haoyang Yan and J. Frank Yates
Do minorities like nudges? The role of group norms in attitudes towards behavioral policy pp. 40-50 Downloads
Eyal Pe’er, Yuval Feldman, Eyal Gamliel, Limor Sahar, Ariel Tikotsky, Nurit Hod and Hilla Schupak
The representativeness heuristic and the choice of lottery tickets: A field experiment pp. 51-57 Downloads
Michał Wiktor Krawczyk and Joanna Rachubik
Anti-social motives explain increased risk aversion for others in decisions from experience pp. 58-71 Downloads
Sebastian Olschewski, Marius Dietsch and Elliot A. Ludvig
The effect of limited availability on children’s consumption, engagement, and choice behavior pp. 72-79 Downloads
Michal Maimaran and Yuval Salant
Thinking dispositions and cognitive reflection performance in schizotypy pp. 80-90 Downloads
Annabel Broyd, Ulrich Ettinger and Volker Thoma
The collective intelligence of random small crowds: A partial replication of Kosinski et al. (2012) pp. 91-98 Downloads
Ans Vercammen, Yan Ji and Mark Burgman
Goal center width, how to count sequences, and the gambler's fallacy in soccer penalty shootouts pp. 98-108 Downloads
Simcha Avugos, Ofer Azar, Nadav Gavish, Eran Sher and Michael Bar-Eli

Volume 13, issue November, 2018

Valuing bets and hedges: Implications for the construct of risk preference pp. 501-508 Downloads
Shane Frederick, Amanda Levis, Steven Malliaris and Andrew Meyer
Valuing bets and hedges pp. 509-513 Downloads
Subimal Chatterjee and Satadruta Mookherjee
Children’s application of decision strategies in a compensatory environment pp. 514-528 Downloads
Tilmann Betsch, Anne Lehmann, Marc Jekel, Stefanie Lindow and Andreas Glöckner
Moderators of framing effects in variations of the Asian Disease problem: Time constraint, need, and disease type pp. 529-546 Downloads
Adele Diederich, Marc Wyszynski and Ilana Ritov
Who says "larger" and who says "smaller"? Individual differences in the language of comparison pp. 547-561 Downloads
William J. Skylark, Joseph M. Carr and Claire L. McComas
The impact of actively open-minded thinking on social media communication pp. 562-574 Downloads
Jordan Carpenter, Daniel Preotiuc-Pietro, Jenna Clark, Lucie Flekova, Laura Smith, Margaret L. Kern, Anneke Buffone, Lyle Ungar and Martin Seligman
Why choose wisely if you have already paid? Sunk costs elicit stochastic dominance violations pp. 575-586 Downloads
Ryan K. Jessup, Lily B. Assaad and Katherine Wick
Boundary effects in the Marschak-Machina triangle pp. 587-606 Downloads
Krzysztof Kontek
Boosting intelligence analysts’ judgment accuracy: What works, what fails? pp. 607-621 Downloads
David R. Mandel, Christopher W. Karvetski and Mandeep K. Dhami
Bayesian methods for analyzing true-and-error models pp. 622-635 Downloads
Michael D. Lee
People respond to GM food with disgust more than fear: Comment on Royzman, Cusimano and Leeman (2017) pp. 636-638 Downloads
Yoel Inbar and Sydney E. Scott
Measurement is the core disgust problem: Response to Inbar and Scott (2018) pp. 639-651 Downloads
Corey Cusimano, Edward B. Royzman, Robert F. Leeman and Stephen Metas

Volume 13, issue September, 2018

Different heuristics and same bias: A spectral analysis of biased judgments and individual decision rules pp. 401-412 Downloads
Ola Svenson, Nichel Gonzalez and Gabriella Eriksson
Randomization and serial dependence in professional tennis matches: Do strategic considerations, player rankings and match characteristics matter? pp. 413-427 Downloads
Leonidas Spiliopoulos
TEMAP2.R: True and Error model analysis program in R pp. 428-440 Downloads
Michael H. Birnbaum and Edika G. Quispe-Torreblanca
Reversing the causal arrow: Incidence and properties of negative backward magical contagion in Americans pp. 441-450 Downloads
Paul Rozin, Christopher Dunn and Natalie Fedotova
Choosing victims: Human fungibility in moral decision-making pp. 451-457 Downloads
Michał Białek, Jonathan Fugelsang and Ori Friedman
How far is the suffering? The role of psychological distance and victims’ identifiability in donation decisions pp. 458-466 Downloads
Tehila Kogut, Ilana Ritov, Enrico Rubaltelli and Nira Liberman
Do discounts mitigate numerological superstitions? Evidence from the Russian real estate market pp. 467-470 Downloads
Dmitry Burakov
Time-varying risk behavior and prior investment outcomes: Evidence from Italy pp. 471-483 Downloads
Andrea Lippi, Laura Barbieri, Mariacristina Piva and Werner De Bondt
Post-decision search in repeated and variable environments pp. 484-500 Downloads
Kinneret Teodorescu, Ke Sang and Peter M. Todd

Volume 13, issue July, 2018

The boundary effect: Perceived post hoc accuracy of prediction intervals pp. 309-321 Downloads
Karl Halvor Teigen, Erik Løhre and Sigrid Møyner Hohle
Testing the ability of the surprisingly popular method to predict NFL games pp. 322-333 Downloads
Michael D. Lee, Irina Danileiko and Julie Vi
Predicting elections: Experts, polls, and fundamentals pp. 334-344 Downloads
Andreas Graefe
Gender differences in lying in sender-receiver games: A meta-analysis pp. 345-355 Downloads
Valerio Capraro
Who lies? A large-scale reanalysis linking basic personality traits to unethical decision making pp. 356-371 Downloads
Daniel W. Heck, Isabel Thielmann, Morten Moshagen and Benjamin E. Hilbig
Numerate decision makers don't use more effortful strategies unless it pays: A process tracing investigation of skilled and adaptive strategy selection in risky decision making pp. 372-381 Downloads
Jakub Traczyk, Agata Sobkow, Kamil Fulawka, Jakub Kus, Dafina Petrova and Rocio Garcia-Retamero
The role of character strengths in economic decision-making pp. 382-392 Downloads
Matthew R. Jordan and David G. Rand
Validation of Adult Decision-Making Competence in Chinese college students pp. 393-400 Downloads
Shujing Liang and Yuwei Zou

Volume 13, issue May, 2018

Predictably intransitive preferences pp. 217-236 Downloads
David Butler and Ganna Pogrebna
The impact of regret and worry on the threshold level of concern for flood insurance demand: Evidence from Dutch homeowners pp. 237-245 Downloads
Peter John Robinson and Wouter Botzen
The non-effects of repeated exposure to the Cognitive Reflection Test pp. 246-259 Downloads
Andrew Meyer, Elizabeth Zhou and Shane Frederick
Performance on the Cognitive Reflection Test is stable across time pp. 260-267 Downloads
Michael N. Stagnaro, Gordon Pennycook and David G. Rand
Analytic atheism: A cross-culturally weak and fickle phenomenon? pp. 268-274 Downloads
Will M. Gervais, Michiel van Elk, Dimitris Xygalatas, Ryan T. McKay, Mark Aveyard, Emma E. Buchtel, Ilan Dar-Nimrod, Eva Kundtová Klocová, Jonathan E. Ramsay, Tapani Riekki, Annika M. Svedholm-Häkkinen and Joseph Bulbulia
Reversing the endowment effect pp. 275-286 Downloads
Campbell Pryor, Amy Perfors and Piers D. L. Howe
Psychometric characteristics of two forms of the Slovak version of the Indecisiveness Scale pp. 287-296 Downloads
Jozef Bavolar
How should we think about Americans’ beliefs about economic mobility? pp. 297-304 Downloads
Shai Davidai and Thomas Gilovich
Still no compelling evidence that Americans overestimate upward socio-economic mobility rates: Reply to Davidai and Gilovich (2018) pp. 305-308 Downloads
Sondre S. Nero, Lawton K. Swan, John R. Chambers and Martin Heesacker

Volume 13, issue March, 2018

Contamination, association, or social communication: An examination of alternative accounts for contagion effects pp. 150-162 Downloads
Natalie O. Fedotova and Paul Rozin
Using Tversky’s contrast model to investigate how features of similarity affect judgments of likelihood pp. 163-169 Downloads
Mirta Galesic, A. Walkyria Goode, Thomas S. Wallsten and Kent L. Norman
The category size bias: A mere misunderstanding pp. 170-184 Downloads
Hannah Perfecto, Leif D. Nelson and Don A. Moore
Weighted Brier score decompositions for topically heterogenous forecasting tournaments pp. 185-201 Downloads
Edgar C. Merkle and Robert Hartman
Comparative evaluation of the forecast accuracy of analysis reports and a prediction market pp. 202-211 Downloads
Bradley J. Stastny and Paul E. Lehner
Strategies using recent feedback lead to matching or maximising behaviours pp. 212-216 Downloads
Zhenbo Cheng, Jingying Gao, Leilei Zhang, Gang Xiao and Hongjing Mao

Volume 13, issue January, 2018

Kenneth R. Hammond’s contributions to the study of judgment and decision making pp. 1-22 Downloads
Mandeep K. Dhami and Jeryl L. Mumpower
Thinking dynamics and individual differences: Mouse-tracking analysis of the denominator neglect task pp. 23-32 Downloads
Barnabas Szaszi, Bence Palfi, Aba Szollosi, Pascal J. Kieslich and Balazs Aczel
The opportunity-threat theory of decision-making under risk pp. 33-41 Downloads
Mohan Pandey
Cross-national in-group favoritism in prosocial behavior: Evidence from Latin and North America pp. 42-60 Downloads
Susann Fiedler, Dshamilja Marie Hellmann, Angela Rachael Dorrough and Andreas Glöckner
Commitment-enhancing tools in Centipede games: Evidencing European–Japanese differences in trust and cooperation pp. 61-72 Downloads
Eva M. Krockow, Masanori Takezawa, Briony Pulford, Andrew M. Colman, Samuel Smithers, Toshimasa Kita and Yo Nakawake
A new test of the risk-reward heuristic pp. 73-78 Downloads
William J. Skylark and Sidharth Prabhu-Naik
Stepwise training supports strategic second-order theory of mind in turn-taking games pp. 79-98 Downloads
Rineke Verbrugge, Ben Meijering, Stefan Wierda, Hedderik van Rijn and Niels Taatgen
Do the Right Thing: Experimental evidence that preferences for moral behavior, rather than equity or efficiency per se, drive human prosociality pp. 99-111 Downloads
Valerio Capraro and David G. Rand
Learning psychology from riddles: The case of stumpers pp. 112-122 Downloads
Maya Bar-Hillel, Tom Noah and Shane Frederick
The Short Maximization Inventory pp. 123-136 Downloads
Michal Ďuriník, Jakub Procházka and Hynek Cígler
Making good cider out of bad apples --- Signaling expectations boosts cooperation among would-be free riders pp. 137-149 Downloads
Michiru Nagatsu, Karen Larsen, Mia Karabegovic, Marcell Székely, Dan Mønster and John Michael
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