A Forecast of the Situation in the Agro-Industrial Complex to the Year 2003
Problems of Economic Transition, 1999, vol. 42, issue 2, 5-15
A forecast of the situation in the agro-industrial complex [AIC] was developed using a complex technique1—the analysis of information and the preparation of a database, the creation of forecast variations, and the calculation of cost and physical indicators. An econometric model of the development of the AIC in the long run was used. The possible number of consumer food selections in it was maximized with a regard for material and financial limitations. The model took about 200 balances into account in the production, processing, and consumption of agricultural products (counting imports); the procurement and utilization of tractors, combines, fertilizers, manufactured feed concentrate, and other means of production; capital investments and working capital (by types), and depreciation deductions; the utilization of tillage and other agricultural lands; and the reproduction of livestock herds and poultry flocks.
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