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Secular stagnation in the modern world

Sergey Drobyshevsky, P. V. Trunin and Alexandra Bozhechkova

VOPROSY ECONOMIKI, 2018, vol. 11

Abstract: The paper studies the factors of secular stagnation. Key factors of long-term slowdown in economic growth include the slowdown of technological development, aging population, human capital accumulation limits, high public debt, creative destruction process violation etc. The authors analyze key theoretical aspects of long-term stagnation and study the impact of these factors on Japanies economy. The authors conclude that most of the factors have significant influence on the Japanese economy for recent decades, but they cannot explain all dynamics. For Russia, on the contrary, we do not see any grounds for considering the decline in the economy since 2013 as an episode of secular stagnation.

JEL-codes: O11 O40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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