Economics at your fingertips  

Are PIIGS so Different? An Empirical Analysis of Demand and Supply Shocks

Irina SyssoyevaMasson () and João Andrade ()
Additional contact information
Irina SyssoyevaMasson: CEMAFI International Association; University of Savoy Mont Blanc, France

Panoeconomicus, 2017, vol. 64, issue 2, 189-222

Abstract: This paper analyses responses to supply and demand shocks in PIIGS countries. We compare the results obtained for PIIGS with those of Germany and the USA, and also with those of France, which despite its government’s efforts demonstrate relatively poor recent economic performance. The main objective of this paper is to establish whether it is still reasonable to consider PIIGS as a group apart. Our methodological strategy is based on the Okun Law (OL) which is incorporated in a Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model with Blanchard-Quah (BQ) restrictions. We address two drawbacks that usually present in the OL: the interdependency problem and the non-stationarity problem. By using a non-parametric representation of OL, we identify the heterogeneity between countries. We build stable VAR models for each of the economies and use the BQ SVAR impulses to analyse the importance of contemporary and long-run effects of supply and demand shocks. The main conclusion of this paper is that it does not make any sense today to identify PIIGS as a separate group. Additionally, a country that stands out from our analysis is France. The question can thus be posed that if “PIIGS” signifies “countries with poor economic performances” then should not France also belong to this group?

Keywords: Okun Law; Non-parametric representation; Stationarity; SVAR; Stability; Impulses (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 C51 E24 J21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link) ... ial%20Issue%2004.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

Access Statistics for this article

Panoeconomicus is currently edited by Kosta Josifidis

More articles in Panoeconomicus from Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Ivana Horvat ( this e-mail address is bad, please contact ).

Page updated 2021-05-28
Handle: RePEc:voj:journl:v:64:y:2017:i:2:p:189-222