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Shock contagion, asset quality and lending behavior

Tho Pham, Oleksandr Talavera and Andriy Tsapin

No 21/2018, BOFIT Discussion Papers from Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition

Abstract: This paper exploits the geopolitical conflict in Eastern Ukraine as a negative shock to banking sector and examines the shock transmission. We find that banks with more loans in the conflict areas during the pre-conflict period face a higher level of bad loans in other markets after the shock. This effect is stronger in the regional markets which are closer to the conflict zone. We also find evidence for the “flight to headquarters” effect in post-conflict lending. Specifically, while more affected banks tend to cut their credit supply, the larger contraction is observed in regional markets located farther from headquarters.

JEL-codes: G01 G21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-cfn, nep-cis, nep-tra and nep-ure
Date: 2018-11-29
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Working Paper: Shock Contagion, Asset Quality and Lending Behavior (2018) Downloads
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