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Conflict externalization and the quest for peace: theory and case evidence from Colombia

Hector Galindo-Silva

No 16838, Vniversitas Económica from Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá

Abstract: I study the relationship between the likelihood of a violent domestic conflict and the risk that such a conflict externalizes" (i.e. spreads to another country by becomingan international dispute). I consider a situation in which a domestic con ict between a government and a rebel group externalizes. I show that the risk of externalization increases the likelihood of a peaceful outcome, but only if the government is suficiently powerful relative to the rebels, and if the risk of externalization is suficiently high. I show how this model helps to understand the recent and successful peace process between the Colombian government and the country's most powerful rebel group, the FARC, that ended 52 years of armed conflict.

Keywords: Conflict; externalization; peace talks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 H72 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28
Date: 2018-10-24
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https://drive.google.com/file/d/1_-rOaSCSrzGiGJo2SiwSqROKcK9Bm7FG/view

Related works:
Journal Article: Conflict Externalization and the Quest for Peace: Theory and Case Evidence from Colombia (2021) Downloads
Working Paper: Conflict externalization and the quest for peace: theory and case evidence from Colombia (2020) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:col:000416:016838

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