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Stress Testing at the IMF

Liliana Schumacher, James Morsink and Tobias Adrian

No 2020/001, IMF Departmental Papers / Policy Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This paper explains specifics of stress testing at the IMF. After a brief section on the evolution of stress tests at the IMF, the paper presents the key steps of an IMF staff stress test. They are followed by a discussion on how IMF staff uses stress tests results for policy advice. The paper concludes by identifying remaining challenges to make stress tests more useful for the monitoring of financial stability and an overview of IMF staff work program in that direction. Stress tests help assess the resilience of financial systems in IMF member countries and underpin policy advice to preserve or restore financial stability. This assessment and advice are mainly provided through the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). IMF staff also provide technical assistance in stress testing to many its member countries. An IMF macroprudential stress test is a methodology to assess financial vulnerabilities that can trigger systemic risk and the need of systemwide mitigating measures. The definition of systemic risk as used by the IMF is relevant to understanding the role of its stress tests as tools for financial surveillance and the IMF’s current work program. IMF stress tests primarily apply to depository intermediaries, and, systemically important banks.

Keywords: DPPP; DP; bank; IMF staff; stress tests; bank exposure; cash flow; funding cost; share price; defaults affect bank asset value; IMF solvency stress tests; optimization process; bank capital; IMF team; counterbalancing capacity; Stress testing; Financial Sector Assessment Program; Systemic risk; Solvency; Solvency stress testing; Global; Financial sector stability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 72
Date: 2020-02-05
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