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Characterizing Global Investors' Risk Appetite for Emerging Market Debt During Financial Crises

Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo, Vance Martin, Mardi Dungey () and Renee Fry-McKibbin ()

No 03/251, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: The effects of unanticipated movements in global risk on nine emerging bond markets are investigated. The components of global risk are volatility, credit, and liquidity risks. Country and contagion risks are also studied individually. A historical decomposition of bond spreads is used to identify the relative contributions of risk during 1998-99. The empirical results show that the Russian/LTCM crises were characterized by increases in global credit risk, while the relative size of global risk factors was mixed for the Brazilian crisis, with no component dominating. Country risk is found to be important for all countries, while there is little evidence of contagion risk.

Keywords: Debt; Bond markets; Financial crises; Financial crisis; Risk Aversion, SVAR, bond, bond spreads, statistics, financial markets, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Lending and Debt Problems, (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003-12-01
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:03/251