Inflation Targeting and Communication; It Pays Off to Read Inflation Reports
Viktor Kotlán (),
David Navrátil and
Ales Bulir ()
No 08/234, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund
Inflation-targeting central banks have a respectable track record at explaining their policy actions and corresponding inflation outturns. Using a simple forward-looking policy rule and an assessment of inflation reports, we provide a new methodology for the empirical evaluation of consistency in central bank communication. We find that the three communication tools-inflation targets, inflation forecasts, and verbal assessments of inflation factors contained in quarterly inflation reports-provided a consistent message in five out of six observations in our 2000-05 sample of Chile, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Thailand, and Sweden.
Keywords: Emerging markets; Central banks; Chile; Czech Republic; Economic forecasting; Poland; Forecasting; Hungary; Inflation targeting; Monetary policy; Sweden; Thailand; Transparency; inflation, central bank, inflation forecasts (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac, nep-mon, nep-sea and nep-tra
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:imf:imfwpa:08/234
Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Jim Beardow ().