EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus; An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions

Serhan Cevik () and Mohammad Rahmati

No 13/2, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This paper provides a broad empirical analysis of the determinants of post-conflict economic transitions across the world during the period 1960–2010, using a dynamic panel estimation approach based on the system-generalized method of moments. In addition to an array of demographic, economic, geographic, and institutional variables, we introduce an estimated risk of conflict recurrence as an explanatory variable in the growth regression, because post-conflict countries have a tendency to relapse into subsequent conflicts even years after the cessation of violence. The empirical results show that domestic factors, including the estimated probability of conflict recurrence, as well as a range of external variables, contribute to post-conflict economic performance.

Keywords: Economic models; External shocks; Economic growth; Developing countries; Foreign aid; Transition economies; Civil conflict, conflict recurrence risk, growth, institutions, geography, structural reforms, dynamic panel estimation, post-conflict, real gdp, gdp per capita, Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty, General, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development, (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-01-04
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=40213 (application/pdf)
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 403 Forbidden

Related works:
Journal Article: Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus: An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions (2015) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:imf:imfwpa:13/2

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/pubs/ord_info.htm

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Jim Beardow ().

 
Page updated 2019-12-07
Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:13/2