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The behaviour of the real effective exchange rate of South Africa: is there a misalignment?

Melvin Khomo () and Meshach Aziakpono ()

No 644, Working Papers from Economic Research Southern Africa

Abstract: The paper uses Behavioural Equilibrium Exchange Rate methodology to estimate the equilibrium real effective exchange rate of the rand and to establish whether the observed exchange rate is misaligned with this level. The exchange rate’s misalignment behaviour is further explored using a regime switching method. Results endorse the existence of a co-integrating relationship between the exchange rate and terms of trade, external openness, capital flows and government expenditure. The study confirms that the exchange rate is from time to time misaligned with the Markov regime switching model, correctly capturing the misalignment as alternative shifts between over- and undervaluation episodes.

Keywords: equilibrium exchange rate; misalignment; cointegration; regime switching (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 23 pages
Date: 2016-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-opm
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Related works:
Journal Article: The behaviour of the real effective exchange rate of South Africa: Is there a misalignment? (2020) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:rza:wpaper:644

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