EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

The medium-term impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions. The case of the 1918 influenza in US cities

Guillaume Chapelle ()

No 112, Sciences Po publications from Sciences Po

Abstract: This paper uses a difference-in-differences (DID) framework to estimate the impact of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs) used to fight the 1918 influenza pandemic and control the resultant mortality in 43 U.S. cities. The results suggest that NPIs such as school closures and social distancing, as implemented in 1918, and when applied for a relatively long and sustained time, might have reduced individual and herd immunity and the population general health condition, thereby leading to a significantly higher number of deaths in subsequent years.

Keywords: non-pharmaceutical interventions; 1918 influenza; difference-in-differences; health policies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-hea, nep-his and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
https://spire.sciencespo.fr/hdl:/2441/7m2qa73prn89 ... /wp-112-chapelle.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/7m2qa73prn89eogubjm0rc58le

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Sciences Po publications from Sciences Po Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Spire @ Sciences Po Library ().

 
Page updated 2022-01-29
Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/7m2qa73prn89eogubjm0rc58le