Details about Ilse Botha

Access statistics for papers by Ilse Botha.

Last updated 2026-05-11. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pbo633

Working Papers

2015

1. Comparing Linear and Non-linear Benchmarks of Exchange Rate Forecasting
   ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa
   See also Journal Article Comparing Linear and Non-Linear Benchmarks of Exchange Rate Forecasting, Studies in Economics and Econometrics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2016) (2016)
2. Evaluating Non-Linear Approaches in Forecasting Tourist Arrivals
   ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa

2014

3. A Panel Ordered Response Model for Sovereign Credit ratings in Africa
   ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa
   See also Journal Article A Panel Ordered Response Model for Sovereign Credit Ratings in Africa, The African Finance Journal, Africagrowth Institute (2016) View citations (5) (2016)

2013

4. Happy in the Informal Economy? A Case Study of Well-Being Among Day Labourers in South Africa
   ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa

2009

5. A comparative analysis of the synchronisation of business cycles for developed and developing economies with the world business cycle
   ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa
   See also Journal Article A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE SYNCHRONISATION OF BUSINESS CYCLES FOR DEVELOPED AND DEVELOPING ECONOMIES WITH THE WORLD BUSINESS CYCLE, South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa (2010) (2010)

Journal Articles

2026

1. Towards a Consolidation of the Prominent Firm-Related Capital Structure Determinants
   JRFM, 2026, 19, (3), 1-17

2025

2. Building an ethical artificial intelligence corporate governance framework for the integration of emerging technologies into business processes
   South African Journal of Accounting Research, 2025, 39, (3), 286-316
3. Delisting Risk in a Developing Economy: An Empirical Analysis of Financial and Macroeconomic Factors
   The African Finance Journal, 2025, 27, (2), 1-14
4. Do Business Cycle Dynamics Improve the Forecasting Accuracy of the Tourism Demand Cycle?
   Scienze Regionali, 2025, (3), 419-435
5. Unmasking Delistings: A Multifactorial Analysis of Financial, Non-Financial, and Macroeconomic Variables
   JRFM, 2025, 18, (4), 1-23

2024

6. Does Google Analytics Improve the Prediction of Tourism Demand Recovery?
   Forecasting, 2024, 6, (4), 1-17

2023

7. Determinants of Subjective Social Status in South Africa
   Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, 2023, 168, (1), 1-24 View citations (4)
8. The Variation Between Subjective and Objective Class Positions in South Africa. The Distance Between Perception and Reality
   Journal of Developing Areas, 2023, 57, (3), 321-331
   Also in Journal of Developing Areas, 2023, 57, (2), 355-365 (2023)

2022

9. Constructing and Characterising the Aggregate South African Financial Cycle: A Markov Regime-Switching Approach
   Journal of Business Cycle Research, 2022, 18, (1), 37-67 View citations (3)
10. Out-of-sample Predictability of the South African Equity Risk Premium Distribution: A Quantile Regression Approach
    The African Finance Journal, 2022, 24, (2), 51-65
11. The impact of subjective social status, inequality perceptions, and inequality tolerance on demand for redistribution. The case of a highly unequal society
    Studies in Economics and Econometrics, 2022, 46, (2), 125-148

2021

12. Leads and Lags in African Sovereign Credit Ratings
    Journal of African Business, 2021, 22, (2), 235-253 View citations (1)

2020

13. The geographical and income differences in the determinants of African sovereign credit ratings
    African Journal of Economic and Management Studies, 2020, 11, (4), 609-624

2017

14. Non-linear models for tourism demand forecasting
    Tourism Economics, 2017, 23, (3), 594-613 View citations (13)
15. Original Article: Business Cycle Co-Movement Between Africa and Advanced Economies: 1980-2011
    Studies in Economics and Econometrics, 2017, 41, (3), 113-115

2016

16. A Panel Ordered Response Model for Sovereign Credit Ratings in Africa
    The African Finance Journal, 2016, 18, (1), 20-33 View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper A Panel Ordered Response Model for Sovereign Credit ratings in Africa, ERSA Working Paper Series (2014) (2014)
17. Comparing Linear and Non-Linear Benchmarks of Exchange Rate Forecasting
    Studies in Economics and Econometrics, 2016, 40, (1), 119-138
    See also Working Paper Comparing Linear and Non-linear Benchmarks of Exchange Rate Forecasting, ERSA Working Paper Series (2015) (2015)

2013

18. A Comparison of Cointegration and Copula Asset Allocation Approaches
    Studies in Economics and Econometrics, 2013, 37, (1), 1-28 View citations (1)

2012

19. Time Varying Parameter Error Correction Model Approach To Forecasting Tourist Arrivals In South Africa
    Studies in Economics and Econometrics, 2012, 36, (1), 23-42

2010

20. A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE SYNCHRONISATION OF BUSINESS CYCLES FOR DEVELOPED AND DEVELOPING ECONOMIES WITH THE WORLD BUSINESS CYCLE
    South African Journal of Economics, 2010, 78, (2), 192-207
    See also Working Paper A comparative analysis of the synchronisation of business cycles for developed and developing economies with the world business cycle, ERSA Working Paper Series (2009) (2009)
21. Direct Versus Indirect Forecasting of the Defined Real Exchange Rate of South Africa
    The African Finance Journal, 2010, 12, (2), 50-71

2006

22. Modelling the Business Cycle in South Africa: A Non-Linear Approach
    Studies in Economics and Econometrics, 2006, 30, (2), 103-126 View citations (3)

Chapters

2024

1. A South African Perspective on the Corporate Cash Holding Conundrum
   Springer
2. Identifying AI Corporate Governance Principles That Should Be Prevalent in a Governance Framework for Business
   Springer

2018

3. The Effect of a Sovereign Credit Rating Change on Share Prices of the South African Retail Banks
   Springer

2017

4. The Determinants of Sovereign Credit Ratings in Africa: A Regional Perspective
   Springer
5. The Procyclicality of African Sovereign Credit Ratings
   Springer