Details about John Carlson

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Short-id: pca402

Working Papers

2007

1. Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention, and the Volatility Trade-off
   University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department View citations
   Also in
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2004) View citations
   2006 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2006) View citations

2006

2. Adaptive Learning, Endogenous Inattention, and Changes in Monetary Policy
   University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department
   Also in
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2006)

2005

3. Recovering market expectations of FOMC rate changes with options on federal funds futures
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations

2004

4. Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention, and the Output-Inflation Variance Tradeoff
   Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics

2001

5. Will the valuation ratios revert to their historical means? Some evidence from breakpoint tests
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations

1999

6. Results of a study of the stability of cointegrating relations comprised of broad monetary aggregates
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations
   See Also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2000)

1995

7. Some Monte Carlo results on nonparametric changepoint tests
   Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

1994

8. A Model for Filter-Rule Gains in Foreign Exchange Markets
   Working Papers, Purdue University, Krannert School of Management - Center for International Business Education and Research (CIBER)

Journal Articles

2006

1. FOMC communications and the predictability of near-term policy decisions
   Economic Commentary, 2006, (Jun) View citations

2004

2. Mutual funds, fee transparency, and competition
   Economic Commentary, 2004, (Mar 1)

2003

3. An option for anticipating Fed action
   Economic Commentary, 2003, (Sep 1)
4. Measures of corporate earnings: what number is best?
   Economic Commentary, 2003, (Feb 1)

2002

5. Why the optimism?
   Economic Commentary, 2002, (Apr 1)

2001

6. A retrospective on the stock market in 2000
   Economic Commentary, 2001, (Jan 15)
7. Why is the dividend yield so low?
   Economic Commentary, 2001, (Apr 1)

2000

8. Investor expectations and fundamentals: disappointment ahead?
   Economic Commentary, 2000, (May 1) View citations
9. Results of a study of the stability of cointegrating relations comprised of broad monetary aggregates
   Journal of Monetary Economics, 2000, 46, (2), 345-383 View citations
   See Also Working Paper (1999)
10. Structural uncertainty and breakpoint tests: an application to equilibrium velocity1
    Journal of Economics and Business, 2000, 52, (1-2), 101-115 View citations

1999

11. Effects of movements in equities prices on M2 demand
    Economic Review, 1999, (Q IV), 2-9 View citations
12. The recent ascent in stock prices: how exuberant are you?
    Economic Commentary, 1999, (Aug 15)
    Also in
    The Region, 1999, (Dec), 8-11, 47 (1999) View citations

1998

13. Productivity measures and the "new economy"
    Economic Commentary, 1998, (Jun)

1997

14. Accelerating money growth: is M2 telling us something?
    Economic Commentary, 1997, (Nov)
15. Maintaining a low inflation environment
    Economic Commentary, 1997, (Mar 1)
16. The recent ascent of stock prices: can it be explained by earnings growth or other fundamentals?
    Economic Review, 1997, (Q II), 2-12 View citations

1996

17. MZM: a monetary aggregate for the 1990s?
    Economic Review, 1996, (Q II), 15-23
18. Where is all the U.S. currency hiding?
    Economic Commentary, 1996, (Apr 15)

1995

19. Federal funds futures as an indicator of future monetary policy: a primer
    Economic Review, 1995, (Q I), 20-30 View citations
20. M2 growth in 1995: a return to normalcy?
    Economic Commentary, 1995, (Dec)
21. Monetary policy and the federal funds futures market
    Economic Commentary, 1995, (Jul)

1994

22. Assessing progress toward price stability: looking forward and looking backward
    Economic Commentary, 1994, (May 15) View citations
23. Monetary policy and inflation: 1993 in perspective
    Economic Commentary, 1994, (Jan 1)
24. On disinflation since 1982: an application of change-point tests
    Economic Review, 1994, (Q I), 31-42

1993

25. Assessing real interest rates
    Economic Commentary, 1993, (Aug 15) View citations

1992

26. Recent behavior of velocity: alternative measures of money
    Economic Review, 1992, (Q I), 2-10 View citations
27. The M2 slowdown and depository intermediation: implications for monetary policy
    Economic Commentary, 1992, (Sep 15)

1991

28. Deregulation, money, and the economy
    Economic Commentary, 1991, (Mar 1)
29. The demand for M2, opportunity cost, and financial change
    Economic Review, 1991, (Q II), 2-11 View citations
30. Understanding the recent behavior of M2
    Economic Commentary, 1991, (Jun 15)

1990

31. The short-run dynamics of long-run inflation policy
    Economic Review, 1990, (Q III), 26-35

1989

32. Money and velocity in the 1980s
    Economic Commentary, 1989, (Jan 15)
33. The indicator P-star: just what does it indicate?
    Economic Commentary, 1989, (Sep 15) View citations
34. The stability of money demand, its interest sensitivity, and some implications for money as a policy guide
    Economic Review, 1989, (Q III), 2-13 View citations

1988

35. Rules versus discretion: making a monetary rule operational
    Economic Review, 1988, (Q III), 2-13 View citations

1987

36. Does dollar depreciation matter: the case of auto imports from Japan
    Economic Commentary, 1987, (May 1)
37. Learning rationality, the stability of equilibrium and macroeconomics
    Economic Review, 1987, (Q IV), 2-12
38. U.S. dependence on foreign saving
    Economic Commentary, 1987, (Sep 1)

1986

39. Debt growth and the financial system
    Economic Commentary, 1986, (Oct 15)
40. Domestic nonfinancial debt: after three years of monitoring
    Economic Commentary, 1986, (Jul 1)

1985

41. The debt burden: what you don't see
    Economic Commentary, 1985, (May 1)
42. The dynamics of federal debt
    Economic Commentary, 1985, (Jul 1)
43. The national debt: a secular perspective
    Economic Review, 1985, (Q III), 11-24

1984

44. Nominal income targeting
    Economic Commentary, 1984, (May 21)

1982

45. Methods of cash management
    Economic Commentary, 1982, (Apr 5)
46. The problem of seasonally adjusted money
    Economic Commentary, 1982, (May 31)