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Details about Menzie Chinn

E-mail:
Homepage:http://www.ssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn
Phone:608 262 7397
Postal address:Department of Economics University of Wisconsin 7470 Social Science Building 1180 Observatory Drive Madison, WI 53706-1393
Workplace:Santa Cruz Institute for International Economics (SCIIE), University of California-Santa Cruz (UCSC), (more information at EDIRC)
Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs, University of Wisconsin-Madison, (more information at EDIRC)
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), (more information at EDIRC)
Economics Department, University of Wisconsin-Madison, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Menzie Chinn.

Last updated 2014-01-12. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pch129


Jump to Journal Articles Chapters

Working Papers

2014

  1. For a Few Dollars More: Reserves and Growth in Times of Crises
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads

2013

  1. Global spillovers and domestic monetary policy
    BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Post-Recession US Employment through the Lens of a Non-Linear Okun's Law
    Working Papers, CEPII research center Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris West - Nanterre la Défense, EconomiX (2013) Downloads View citations (1)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2013) Downloads View citations (2)

2012

  1. Are Chinese Trade Flows Different?
    BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition Downloads View citations (9)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2012) Downloads View citations (16)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (2012)
  2. Long Horizon Uncovered Interest Parity Re-Assessed
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (2)

2011

  1. A Forensic Analysis of Global Imbalances
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (14)

2010

  1. Financing U.S. debt: Is there enough money in the world – and at what cost?
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in International Finance (2011)
  2. Measuring Renminbi Misalignment: Where Do We Stand?
    Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research Downloads View citations (8)
  3. Surfing the Waves of Globalization: Asia and Financial Globalization in the Context of the Trilemma
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (7)
    Also in ADB Economics Working Paper Series, Asian Development Bank (2009) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of the Japanese and International Economies (2011)
  4. The Financial Crisis, Rethinking of the Global Financial Architecture, and the Trilemma
    ADBI Working Papers, Asian Development Bank Institute Downloads
    Also in Working Papers, eSocialSciences (2010) Downloads View citations (2)
  5. The Predictive Content of Commodity Futures
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in Working Papers, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary (2010) Downloads View citations (5)
  6. The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve across Countries and Time
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (6)

2009

  1. A Faith-based Initiative: Does a Flexible Exchange Rate Regime Really Facilitate Current Account Adjustment?
    Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2008) Downloads View citations (25)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2008) Downloads View citations (10)
  2. Assessing the Emerging Global Financial Architecture: Measuring the Trilemma's Configurations over Time
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2008) Downloads View citations (31)
  3. China's Current Account and Exchange Rate
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich Downloads View citations (33)
    Also in Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research (2009) Downloads View citations (7)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2009) Downloads View citations (21)

    See also Chapter (2010)

2008

  1. Pitfalls in Measuring Exchange Rate Misalignment: The Yuan and Other Currencies
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (11)
  2. Private Information and a Macro Model of Exchange Rates: Evidence from a Novel Data Set
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (8)
  3. The Euro May Over the Next 15 Years Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Currency
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (18)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2008) Downloads View citations (9)

2007

  1. Debt and Interest Rates: The U.S. and the Euro Area
    Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy Downloads View citations (3)
  2. East Asia and Global Imbalances: Saving, Investment, and Financial Development
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Chapter (2009)
  3. The Overvaluation of Renminbi Undervaluation
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich Downloads View citations (73)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2007) Downloads View citations (61)
    Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research (2007) Downloads View citations (50)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (2007)

2006

  1. Conventional and Unconventional Approaches to Exchange Rate Modeling and Assessment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Finance & Economics (2008)
  2. ICT Use in the Developing World: An Analysis of Differences in Computer and Internet Penetration
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Working Papers, NET Institute (2006) Downloads View citations (1)
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2006) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in Review of International Economics (2010)
  3. The Illusion of Precision and the Role of the Renminbi in Regional Integration
    Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research Downloads View citations (10)
  4. Will the Euro Eventually Surpass the Dollar As Leading International Reserve Currency?
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in Center for Global, International and Regional Studies, Working Paper Series, Center for Global, International and Regional Studies, UC Santa Cruz (2005) Downloads View citations (28)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2005) Downloads View citations (43)
    Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2005) Downloads View citations (24)
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2006) Downloads View citations (5)

    See also Chapter (2007)

2005

  1. A Primer on Real Effective Exchange Rates: Determinants, Overvaluation, Trade Flows and Competitive Devaluation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Journal Article in Open Economies Review (2006)
  2. Current Account Balances, Financial Development and Institutions: Assaying the World "Savings Glut"
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (34)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (2007)
  3. Supply Capacity, Vertical Specialization and Tariff Rates: The Implications for Aggregate U.S. Trade Flow Equations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (6)
  4. Testing Uncovered Interest Parity at Short and Long Horizons during the Post-Bretton Woods Era
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (49)
  5. The Chinese Economies in Global Context: The Integration Process and Its Determinants
    Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research Downloads
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003) Downloads View citations (7)
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) Downloads View citations (5)
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) Downloads View citations (4)
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) Downloads View citations (5)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of the Japanese and International Economies (2006)
  6. The Predictive Content of Energy Futures: An Update on Petroleum, Natural Gas, Heating Oil and Gasoline
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (27)
  7. Three Current Account Balances: A "Semi-Structuralist" Interpretation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Japan and the World Economy (2009)
  8. What Matters for Financial Development? Capital Controls, Institutions, and Interactions
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz Downloads View citations (27)
    Also in Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2005) Downloads View citations (27)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2005) Downloads View citations (57)
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (2005) Downloads View citations (31)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Development Economics (2006)

2004

  1. Current account and real exchange rate dynamics in the G-7 countries
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems Downloads
    Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2002) Downloads View citations (8)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (2006)
  2. Do High Oil Prices Presage Inflation? The Evidence from G-5 Countries
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz Downloads View citations (7)
    Also in Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2004) Downloads View citations (7)
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2004) Downloads View citations (11)
  3. Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (39)
  4. The Determinants of the Global Digital Divide A Cross-Country Analysis of Computer and Internet Penetration
    Working Papers, Economic Growth Center, Yale University Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in Center for Global, International and Regional Studies, Working Paper Series, Center for Global, International and Regional Studies, UC Santa Cruz (2004) Downloads View citations (11)
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2004) Downloads View citations (11)
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (2004) Downloads View citations (12)
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2004) Downloads View citations (11)
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2004) Downloads View citations (13)
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2004) Downloads View citations (11)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2004) Downloads View citations (14)

    See also Journal Article in Oxford Economic Papers (2007)

2003

  1. A DECOMPOSITION OF GLOBAL LINKAGES IN FINANCIAL MARKETS OVER TIME
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz Downloads View citations (19)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003) Downloads View citations (22)
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) Downloads View citations (20)
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) Downloads View citations (20)
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management (2003) Downloads View citations (22)

    See also Journal Article in The Review of Economics and Statistics (2004)
  2. China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan: A Quantitative Assessment of Real and Financial Integration
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz Downloads View citations (12)
    Also in Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research (2003) Downloads View citations (13)
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2003) Downloads View citations (14)
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) Downloads View citations (12)
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) Downloads View citations (12)

    See also Journal Article in China Economic Review (2003)
  3. Doomed to Deficits? Aggregate U.S. Trade Flows Re-Examined
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv) (2005)
  4. Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz Downloads View citations (20)
    Also in Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) Downloads View citations (20)
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) Downloads View citations (21)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2002) Downloads View citations (34)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (2005)
  5. The Euro Area and World Interest Rates
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz Downloads View citations (16)
    Also in Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) Downloads View citations (16)
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) Downloads View citations (16)
  6. What Do We Know about Recent Exchange Rate Models? In-Sample Fit and Out-of-Sample Performance Evaluated
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) Downloads View citations (2)
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) Downloads View citations (1)
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2003) Downloads View citations (4)

2002

  1. Capital Account Liberalization, Institutions and Financial Development: Cross Country Evidence
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (110)
  2. Incomes, Exchange Rates and the U.S. Trade Deficit, Once Again
    Center for Global, International and Regional Studies, Working Paper Series, Center for Global, International and Regional Studies, UC Santa Cruz Downloads
    See also Journal Article in International Finance (2004)
  3. Productivity and the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate Puzzle
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (38)
  4. The Compatability of Capital COntrols and Financial Development: A Selective Survey and Empirical Evidence
    Asia Pacific Economic Papers, Australia-Japan Research Centre, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University Downloads View citations (1)

2000

  1. Currency Traders and Exchange Rate Dynamics: A Survey of the U.S. Market
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (2001)
  2. Fin de Siecle Real Interest Parity
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (29)
  3. How Do UK-Based Foreign Exchange Dealers Think Their Market Operates?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (22)
    Also in Working Papers, Warwick Business School, Finance Group (1999) Downloads View citations (2)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (1999) Downloads View citations (19)

    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Finance & Economics (2004)
  4. Interest parity at short and long horizons
    SFB 373 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes Downloads View citations (7)
  5. International Capital Inflows, Domestic Financial Intermediation and Financial Crises under Imperfect Information
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (23)
    See also Journal Article in Proceedings (1999)
  6. Medium-Term Determinants of Current Accounts in Industrial and Developing Countries
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (25)
  7. Medium-Term Determinants of Current Accounts in Industrial and Developing Countries: An Empirical Exploration
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (55)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Economics (2003)
  8. Testing uncovered interest parity at short and long horizons
    HWWA Discussion Papers, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA) Downloads View citations (10)
  9. The empirical determinants of the Euro: Short and long run perspectives
    SFB 373 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes Downloads View citations (9)

1999

  1. Are Macroeconomic Forecasts Informative? Cointegration Evidence from the ASA-NBER Surveys
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Latin America and East Asia in the Context of an Insurance Model of Currency Crises
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (35)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (1999)
  3. Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Traders
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (41)
  4. Market Structure and the Persistence of Sectoral Real Exchange Rates
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Finance & Economics (2001)
  5. Measuring Misalignment
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads
  6. Traders, Market Microstructure and Exchange Rate Dynamics
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (13)

1998

  1. Before the Fall: Were East Asian Currencies Overvalued?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (45)
    See also Journal Article in Emerging Markets Review (2000)
  2. Long-Horizon Uncovered Interest Rate Parity
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (98)
  3. On the Won and Other East Asian Currencies
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in Working Papers, Economisch Institut voor het Midden en Kleinbedrijf- (1997) View citations (3)
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1997) Downloads View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Finance & Economics (1999)
  4. The Current Account and the Real Exchange Rate: A Structural VAR Analysis of Major Currencies
    Working Papers, California Irvine - School of Social Sciences View citations (30)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1998) Downloads View citations (36)
  5. The Usual Suspects? Productivity and Demand Shocks and Asia-Pacific Real Exchange Rates
    Working Papers, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank) Downloads View citations (11)
    Also in Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1997) Downloads View citations (6)
    Working Papers, Economisch Institut voor het Midden en Kleinbedrijf- (1997) View citations (4)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1997) Downloads View citations (8)

    See also Journal Article in Review of International Economics (2000)

1997

  1. Integration, Cointegration and the Forecast Consistency of Structural Exchange Rate Models
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in International Finance, EconWPA (1995) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (1998)
  2. Monetary Policy in Japan, Germany and the United States: Does One Size Fit All?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (12)
  3. Real Exchange Rate Levels, Productivity and Demand Shocks
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (10)
  4. Sectoral Productivity, Government Spending and Real Exchange Rates: Empirical Evidence for OECD Countries
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (34)

1996

  1. Financial and Capital Account Liberalization in the Pacific Basin: Korea and Taiwan during the 1980's
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in International Finance, EconWPA (1995) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in International Economic Journal (1998)
  2. Further Investigation of the Uncertain Unit Root in GNP
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (9)
    Also in Econometrics, EconWPA (1995) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (1997)
  3. Real Exchange Rate Levels, Productivity and Demand Shocks: Evidence from a Panel of 14 Countries
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (55)

1995

  1. Asia-Pacific Capital Markets: Measurement of Integration and the Implications for Economic Activity
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (13)
  2. Deterministic, stochastic and segmented trends in aggregate output: A cross-country analysis
    Macroeconomics, EconWPA Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Oxford Economic Papers (1996)
  3. Financial Repression and Capital Mobility: Why Capital Flows and Covered Interest Rate Differentials Fail to Measure Capital Market Integration
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article in Monetary and Economic Studies (1997)
  4. How sensitive are estimated trends to data definitions? Results for East Asian and G-5 countries
    Macroeconomics, EconWPA Downloads View citations (3)
  5. More survey data on exchange rate expectations: More currencies, more horizons, more tests
    International Finance, EconWPA Downloads View citations (4)
  6. National, regional and international capital markets: Measurement and implications for domestic financial fragility
    International Finance, EconWPA Downloads View citations (2)
  7. The relative influence of US and Japan on real interest rates around the Pacific Rim
    International Finance, EconWPA Downloads View citations (1)
  8. Whither the Yen? Implications of an intertemporal model of the Yen/Dollar rate
    International Finance, EconWPA Downloads View citations (3)
  9. Who drives real interest rates around the Pacific Rim: the US or Japan?
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (27)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (1995)

1993

  1. Financial Links around the Pacific Rim: 1982-1992
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (4)
    Also in Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1993)

    See also Journal Article in Proceedings (1992)
  2. Patterns in Exchange Rate Forecasts for 25 Currencies
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations (4)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1991) Downloads View citations (11)

1992

  1. Financial and Currency Integration in the European Monetary System: The Statistical Record
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley Downloads View citations (3)

1991

  1. Exchange Rate Expectations and the Risk Premium: Tests For a Cross- Section of 17 Currencies
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in Review of International Economics (1993)
  2. The Stabilizing Properties of a Nominal GNP Rule in an Open Economy
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley Downloads View citations (6)

Journal Articles

2013

  1. A Faith-Based Initiative Meets the Evidence: Does a Flexible Exchange Rate Regime Really Facilitate Current Account Adjustment?
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2013, 95, (1), 168-184 Downloads View citations (9)
  2. The “Impossible Trinity” Hypothesis in an Era of Global Imbalances: Measurement and Testing
    Review of International Economics, 2013, 21, (3), 447-458 Downloads View citations (2)

2012

  1. Are Chinese trade flows different?
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2012, 31, (8), 2127-2146 Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper (2012)
  2. Comment
    NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, 2012, 8, (1), 343 - 347 Downloads

2011

  1. Financing US Debt: Is There Enough Money in the World – and at What Cost?
    International Finance, 2011, 14, (3), 373-413 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  2. Order Flow and the Monetary Model of Exchange Rates: Evidence from a Novel Data Set
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2011, 43, (8), 1599-1624 Downloads View citations (11)
  3. Surfing the waves of globalization: Asia and financial globalization in the context of the trilemma
    Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 2011, 25, (3), 290-320 Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Working Paper (2010)

2010

  1. Comment
    NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, 2010, 6, (1), 174 - 179 Downloads
  2. ICT Use in the Developing World: An Analysis of Differences in Computer and Internet Penetration
    Review of International Economics, 2010, 18, (1), 153-167 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
  3. The emerging global financial architecture: Tracing and evaluating new patterns of the trilemma configuration
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2010, 29, (4), 615-641 Downloads View citations (21)

2009

  1. Pitfalls in Measuring Exchange Rate Misalignment
    Open Economies Review, 2009, 20, (2), 183-206 Downloads View citations (15)
  2. THE SYMPOSIUM ON 'CHINA'S IMPACT ON THE GLOBAL ECONOMY'
    Pacific Economic Review, 2009, 14, (3), 342-345 Downloads
  3. Three current account balances: A "Semi-Structuralist" interpretation
    Japan and the World Economy, 2009, 21, (2), 202-212 Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  4. Understanding Global Liquidity in a Volatile World
    Review of International Economics, 2009, 17, (4), 651-654 Downloads

2008

  1. Conventional and unconventional approaches to exchange rate modelling and assessment
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2008, 13, (1), 2-13 Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
  2. Global Current Account Imbalances: American Fiscal Policy versus East Asian Savings
    Review of International Economics, 2008, 16, (3), 479-498 Downloads View citations (27)
  3. Non-linearities, Business Cycles and Exchange Rates
    Economic Notes, 2008, 37, (3), 219-239 Downloads
  4. Why the Euro Will Rival the Dollar
    Panoeconomicus, 2008, 55, (3), 255-278 Downloads View citations (18)
    Also in International Finance, 2008, 11, (1), 49-73 (2008) Downloads View citations (21)

2007

  1. Current account balances, financial development and institutions: Assaying the world "saving glut"
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2007, 26, (4), 546-569 Downloads View citations (83)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  2. PRICE-BASED MEASUREMENT OF FINANCIAL GLOBALIZATION: A CROSS-COUNTRY STUDY OF INTEREST RATE PARITY
    Pacific Economic Review, 2007, 12, (4), 419-444 Downloads View citations (6)
  3. THE FOG ENCIRCLING THE RENMINBI DEBATE
    The Singapore Economic Review (SER), 2007, 52, (03), 403-418 Downloads View citations (1)
  4. The determinants of the global digital divide: a cross-country analysis of computer and internet penetration
    Oxford Economic Papers, 2007, 59, (1), 16-44 Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  5. The overvaluation of Renminbi undervaluation
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2007, 26, (5), 762-785 Downloads View citations (61)
    See also Working Paper (2007)

2006

  1. A Primer on Real Effective Exchange Rates: Determinants, Overvaluation, Trade Flows and Competitive Devaluation
    Open Economies Review, 2006, 17, (1), 115-143 Downloads View citations (30)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  2. Current account and real exchange rate dynamics in the G7 countries
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2006, 25, (2), 257-274 Downloads View citations (33)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  3. Lessons from the First Financial Crises of the 21st Century
    International Finance, 2006, 9, (2), 281-294 Downloads
  4. The (partial) rehabilitation of interest rate parity in the floating rate era: Longer horizons, alternative expectations, and emerging markets
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2006, 25, (1), 7-21 Downloads View citations (60)
  5. The Chinese economies in global context: The integration process and its determinants
    Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 2006, 20, (1), 128-153 Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  6. What matters for financial development? Capital controls, institutions, and interactions
    Journal of Development Economics, 2006, 81, (1), 163-192 Downloads View citations (311)
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2005

  1. Dimensions of financial integration in Greater China: money markets, banks and policy effects
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2005, 10, (2), 117-132 Downloads View citations (5)
  2. Doomed to Deficits? Aggregate U.S. Trade Flows Re-Examined
    Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), 2005, 141, (3), 460-485 Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
  3. Empirical exchange rate models of the nineties: Are any fit to survive?
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2005, 24, (7), 1150-1175 Downloads View citations (225)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
  4. Why the renminbi might be overvalued (but probably isn’t)
    Proceedings, 2005 Downloads View citations (10)

2004

  1. A Decomposition of Global Linkages in Financial Markets Over Time
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2004, 86, (3), 705-722 Downloads View citations (100)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
  2. How do UK-based foreign exchange dealers think their market operates?
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2004, 9, (4), 289-306 Downloads View citations (44)
    See also Working Paper (2000)
  3. Incomes, Exchange Rates and the US Trade Deficit, Once Again
    International Finance, 2004, 7, (3), 451-469 Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper (2002)
  4. Monetary Policy and Long-Horizon Uncovered Interest Parity
    IMF Staff Papers, 2004, 51, (3), 409-430 Downloads View citations (89)

2003

  1. China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan: A quantitative assessment of real and financial integration
    China Economic Review, 2003, 14, (3), 281-303 Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
  2. Medium-term determinants of current accounts in industrial and developing countries: an empirical exploration
    Journal of International Economics, 2003, 59, (1), 47-76 Downloads View citations (220)
    See also Working Paper (2000)

2001

  1. Corrigendum to ''Before the fall: were East Asian currencies overvalued?'': [Emerging Markets Review 1 (2000) 101-126]
    Emerging Markets Review, 2001, 2, (1), 87-87 Downloads
  2. Currency traders and exchange rate dynamics: a survey of the US market
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2001, 20, (4), 439-471 Downloads View citations (186)
    See also Working Paper (2000)
  3. Market Structure and the Persistence of Sectoral Real Exchange Rates
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2001, 6, (2), 95-114 Downloads View citations (29)
    See also Working Paper (1999)

2000

  1. Before the fall: were East Asian currencies overvalued?
    Emerging Markets Review, 2000, 1, (2), 101-126 Downloads View citations (39)
    See also Working Paper (1998)
  2. The Usual Suspects? Productivity and Demand Shocks and Asia-Pacific Real Exchange Rates
    Review of International Economics, 2000, 8, (1), 20-43 Downloads View citations (28)
    See also Working Paper (1998)
  3. Three measures of East Asian currency evaluation
    Contemporary Economic Policy, 2000, 18, (2), 205-214 Downloads View citations (4)
  4. Tracking the Euro's Progress
    International Finance, 2000, 3, (3), 357-73 Downloads View citations (15)

1999

  1. International capital inflows, domestic financial intermediation and financial crises under imperfect information
    Proceedings, 1999, (Sep) Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (2000)
  2. International monetary arrangements in the Asia-Pacific before and after
    Journal of Asian Economics, 1999, 10, (3), 361-384 Downloads View citations (8)
  3. Latin America and East Asia in the context of an insurance model of currency crises
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1999, 18, (4), 659-681 Downloads View citations (32)
    See also Working Paper (1999)
  4. On the Won and Other East Asian Currencies
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 1999, 4, (2), 113-27 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (1998)

1998

  1. Financial and Capital Account Liberalization in the Pacific Basin: Korea and Taiwan During the 1980's
    International Economic Journal, 1998, 12, (1), 53-74 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper (1996)
  2. Integration, cointegration and the forecast consistency of structural exchange rate models
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1998, 17, (5), 813-830 Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper (1997)
  3. Long-run determinants of East Asian real exchange rates
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1998, (apr10) Downloads

1997

  1. Financial Repression and Capital Mobility: Why Capital Flows and Covered Interest Rate Differentials Fail to Measure Capital Market Integration
    Monetary and Economic Studies, 1997, 15, (2), 81-103 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (1995)
  2. Further Investigation of the Uncertain Unit Root in GNP
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 1997, 15, (1), 68-73 View citations (33)
    See also Working Paper (1996)
  3. Paper pushers or paper money? Empirical assessment of fiscal and monetary models of exchange rate determination
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 1997, 19, (1), 51-78 Downloads View citations (17)
  4. Whither the Yen? Implications of an Intertemporal Model of the Dollar/Yen Rate
    Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 1997, 11, (2), 228-246 Downloads View citations (8)

1996

  1. Deterministic, Stochastic, and Segmented Trends in Aggregate Output: A Cross-Country Analysis
    Oxford Economic Papers, 1996, 48, (1), 134-62 Downloads View citations (29)
    See also Working Paper (1995)
  2. How well is the United States competing? A comment on Papadakis
    Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 1996, 15, (1), 68-81 View citations (1)

1995

  1. Asia Pacific regionalism: Readings in international economic relations: Ross Garnaut and Peter Drysdale. HarperEducational in association with The Australia-Japan Research Centre, Canberra 1994, 433pp
    Journal of Asian Economics, 1995, 6, (4), 595-599 Downloads
  2. Banking on currency forecasts: How predictable is change in money?
    Journal of International Economics, 1995, 38, (1-2), 161-178 Downloads View citations (170)
  3. How sensitive are trends to data definitions? Results for East Asian and G5 countries
    Applied Economics Letters, 1995, 2, (1), 1-6 Downloads
  4. Who drives real interest rates around the Pacific Rim: the USA or Japan?
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1995, 14, (6), 801-821 Downloads View citations (54)
    See also Working Paper (1995)

1994

  1. Patterns in Exchange Rate Forecasts for Twenty-five Currencies
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1994, 26, (4), 759-70 Downloads View citations (27)

1993

  1. Exchange Rate Expectations and the Risk Premium: Tests for a Cross Section of 17 Currencies
    Review of International Economics, 1993, 1, (2), 136-44 View citations (22)
    See also Working Paper (1991)

1992

  1. Financial links around the Pacific Rim, 1982-1992
    Proceedings, 1992, (Sep) View citations (1)
    Also in Proceedings, 1992, 17-47 (1992) View citations (2)

    See also Working Paper (1993)
  2. Why Current Account Deficits Still Matter
    The World Economy, 1992, 15, (2), 221-230 Downloads

1991

  1. Beware of econometricians bearing estimates: Policy analysis in a “unit root” world
    Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 1991, 10, (4), 546-567 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Some linear and nonlinear thoughts on exchange rates
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1991, 10, (2), 214-230 Downloads View citations (23)

Chapters

2013

  1. fiscal multipliers
    Palgrave Macmillan Downloads

2011

  1. Comment on "The Fiscal Stimulus in 2009-11: Trade Openness, Fiscal Space and Exchange Rate Adjustment"
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2011, 2011, pp 343-347 Downloads

2010

  1. China's Current Account and Exchange Rate
    A chapter in China's Growing Role in World Trade, 2010, pp 231-271 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2009)
  2. Comment on "Can Parameter Instability Explain the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle?"
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2009, 2010, pp 174-179 Downloads

2009

  1. East Asia and Global Imbalances: Saving, Investment, and Financial Development
    A chapter in Financial Sector Development in the Pacific Rim, East Asia Seminar on Economics, Volume 18, 2009, pp 117-150 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2007)

2007

  1. Will the Euro Eventually Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Reserve Currency?
    A chapter in G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, 2007, pp 283-338 Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper (2006)

1997

  1. Asia Pacific Capital Markets: Integration and Implications for Economic Activity
    A chapter in Regionalism versus Multilateral Trade Arrangements, NBER-EASE Volume 6, 1997, pp 169-202 Downloads View citations (5)
 
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