Details about Menzie Chinn

E-mail:
Homepage:	http://www.ssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn
Phone:	608 262 7397
Postal address:	Department of Economics University of Wisconsin 7470 Social Science Building 1180 Observatory Drive Madison, WI 53706-1393
Workplace:	Santa Cruz Center for International Economics (SCCIE), University of California-Santa Cruz (UCSC), (more information at EDIRC) Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs, University of Wisconsin-Madison, (more information at EDIRC) National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), (more information at EDIRC) Economics Department, University of Wisconsin-Madison, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Menzie Chinn.

Last updated 2009-06-22. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pch129

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Working Papers

2009

1. A Faith-based Initiative: Does a Flexible Exchange Rate Regime Really Facilitate Current Account Adjustment?
   Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research
   Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2008) View citations
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2008) View citations
2. China's Current Account and Exchange Rate
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich View citations
   Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2009) View citations

2008

3. Assessing the Emerging Global Financial Architecture: Measuring the Trilemma's Configurations over Time
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
4. Pitfalls in Measuring Exchange Rate Misalignment: The Yuan and Other Currencies
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
5. Private Information and a Macro Model of Exchange Rates: Evidence from a Novel Data Set
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
6. The Euro May Over the Next 15 Years Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Currency
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
   Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2008) View citations
7. Why the Euro Will Rival the Dollar
   Working Papers, Faculty of economics, Department of Economics View citations
   See also Journal Article in International Finance (2008)

2007

8. Debt and Interest Rates: The U.S. and the Euro Area
   Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy View citations
9. East Asia and Global Imbalances: Saving, Investment, and Financial Development
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
10. The Overvaluation of Renminbi Undervaluation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2007) View citations
    Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research (2007) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (2007)

2006

11. Conventional and Unconventional Approaches to Exchange Rate Modeling and Assessment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Finance & Economics (2008)
12. ICT Use in the Developing World: An Analysis of Differences in Computer and Internet Penetration
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
    Also in Working Papers, NET Institute (2006)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006)
13. The Illusion of Precision and the Role of the Renminbi in Regional Integration
    Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research View citations

2005

14. A Primer on Real Effective Exchange Rates: Determinants, Overvaluation, Trade Flows and Competitive Devaluation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    See also Journal Article in Open Economies Review (2006)
15. Current Account Balances, Financial Development and Institutions: Assaying the World "Savings Glut"
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (2007)
16. Supply Capacity, Vertical Specialization and Tariff Rates: The Implications for Aggregate U.S. Trade Flow Equations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
17. Testing Uncovered Interest Parity at Short and Long Horizons during the Post-Bretton Woods Era
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
18. The Chinese Economies in Global Context: The Integration Process and Its Determinants
    Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research
    Also in Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) View citations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003) View citations
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of the Japanese and International Economies (2006)
19. The Predictive Content of Energy Futures: An Update on Petroleum, Natural Gas, Heating Oil and Gasoline
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
20. Three Current Account Balances: A "Semi-Structuralist" Interpretation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    See also Journal Article in Japan and the World Economy (2009)
21. What Matters for Financial Development? Capital Controls, Institutions, and Interactions
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (2005) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Development Economics (2006)
22. Will the Euro Eventually Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Reserve Currency?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    Also in Working Paper Series, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government (2005) View citations
    See also Chapter (2007)

2004

23. Current account and real exchange rate dynamics in the G-7 countries
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
    Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2002) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (2006)
24. Do High Oil Prices Presage Inflation? The Evidence from G-5 Countries
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz View citations
    Also in Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2004) View citations
25. Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations
    Also in Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) View citations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2002) View citations
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (2005)
26. The Determinants of the Global Digital Divide A Cross-Country Analysis of Computer and Internet Penetration
    Working Papers, Economic Growth Center, Yale University View citations
    Also in Center for Global, International and Regional Studies, Working Paper Series, Center for Global, International and Regional Studies, UC Santa Cruz (2004) View citations
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (2004) View citations
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2004) View citations
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2004) View citations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2004) View citations
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2004) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Oxford Economic Papers (2007)

2003

27. A DECOMPOSITION OF GLOBAL LINKAGES IN FINANCIAL MARKETS OVER TIME
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz View citations
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003) View citations
    Working papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management (2003) View citations
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) View citations
    See also Journal Article in The Review of Economics and Statistics (2004)
28. China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan: A Quantitative Assessment of Real and Financial Integration
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz View citations
    Also in Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research (2003) View citations
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) View citations
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2003)
    See also Journal Article in China Economic Review (2003)
29. Doomed to Deficits? Aggregate U.S. Trade Flows Re-Examined
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    See also Journal Article in Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv) (2005)
30. The Euro Area and World Interest Rates
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz View citations
    Also in Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) View citations
31. What Do We Know about Recent Exchange Rate Models? In-Sample Fit and Out-of-Sample Performance Evaluated
    Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz View citations
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2003)
    Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Working Paper Series, Center for International Economics, UC Santa Cruz (2003) View citations

2002

32. Capital Account Liberalization, Institutions and Financial Development: Cross Country Evidence
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
33. Incomes, Exchange Rates and the U.S. Trade Deficit, Once Again
    Center for Global, International and Regional Studies, Working Paper Series, Center for Global, International and Regional Studies, UC Santa Cruz View citations
    See also Journal Article in International Finance (2004)
34. Productivity and the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate Puzzle
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations

2000

35. Currency Traders and Exchange Rate Dynamics: A Survey of the U.S. Market
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (2001)
36. Fin de Siecle Real Interest Parity
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
37. How Do UK-Based Foreign Exchange Dealers Think Their Market Operates?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    Also in Working Papers, Warwick Business School, Financial Econometrics Research Centre (1999) View citations
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (1999) View citations
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Finance & Economics (2004)
38. International Capital Inflows, Domestic Financial Intermediation and Financial Crises under Imperfect Information
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    See also Journal Article in Proceedings (1999)
39. Medium-Term Determinants of Current Accounts in Industrial and Developing Countries - An Empirical Exploration
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2000) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Economics (2003)
40. Testing Uncovered Interest Parity at Short and Long Horizons
    Discussion Paper Series, Hamburg Institute of International Economics View citations

1999

41. Are Macroeconomic Forecasts Informative? Cointegration Evidence from the ASA-NBER Surveys
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
42. Latin America and East Asia in the Context of an Insurance Model of Currency Crises
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (1999)
43. Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Traders
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
44. Market Structure and the Persistence of Sectoral Real Exchange Rates
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Finance & Economics (2001)
45. Measuring Misalignment - Purchasing Power Parity and East Asian Currencies in the 1990s
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
46. Traders, Market Microstructure and Exchange Rate Dynamics
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations

1998

47. Before the Fall: Were East Asian Currencies Overvalued?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    See also Journal Article in Emerging Markets Review (2000)
48. Long-Horizon Uncovered Interest Rate Parity
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
49. On the Won and Other East Asian Currencies
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    Also in Working Papers, Economisch Institut voor het Midden en Kleinbedrijf- (1997)
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1997) View citations
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Finance & Economics (1999)
50. The Current Account and the Real Exchange Rate: A Structural VAR Analysis of Major Currencies
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    Also in Working Papers, California Irvine - School of Social Sciences (1998) View citations
51. The usual suspects? Productivity and demand shocks and Asia-Pacific real exchange rates
    Working Papers, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank) View citations
    Also in Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1997) View citations
    Working Papers, Economisch Institut voor het Midden en Kleinbedrijf- (1997) View citations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1997) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Review of International Economics (2000)

1997

52. Integration, Cointegration and the Forecast Consistency of Structural Exchange Rate Models
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    Also in International Finance, EconWPA (1995) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (1998)
53. Monetary Policy in Japan, Germany and the United States: Does One Size Fit All?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
54. Real Exchange Rate Levels, Productivity and Demand Shocks: Evidence from a Panel of 14 Countries
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1996) View citations
55. Sectoral Productivity, Government Spending and Real Exchange Rates: Empirical Evidence for OECD Countries
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations

1996

56. Financial and Capital Account Liberalization in the Pacific Basin: Korea and Taiwan during the 1980's
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
    Also in International Finance, EconWPA (1995)
    See also Journal Article in International Economic Journal (1998)
57. Further Investigation of the Uncertain Unit Root in GNP
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    Also in Econometrics, EconWPA (1995) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (1997)

1995

58. Asia-Pacific Capital Markets: Measurement of Integration and the Implications for Economic Activity
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
59. Deterministic, stochastic and segmented trends in aggregate output: A cross-country analysis
    Macroeconomics, EconWPA View citations
    See also Journal Article in Oxford Economic Papers (1996)
60. Financial Repression and Capital Mobility: Why Capital Flows and Covered Interest Rate Differentials Fail to Measure Capital Market Integration
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    See also Journal Article in Monetary and Economic Studies (1997)
61. How sensitive are estimated trends to data definitions? Results for East Asian and G-5 countries
    Macroeconomics, EconWPA
62. More survey data on exchange rate expectations: More currencies, more horizons, more tests
    International Finance, EconWPA View citations
63. National, regional and international capital markets: Measurement and implications for domestic financial fragility
    International Finance, EconWPA View citations
64. The relative influence of US and Japan on real interest rates around the Pacific Rim
    International Finance, EconWPA View citations
65. Whither the Yen? Implications of an intertemporal model of the Yen/Dollar rate
    International Finance, EconWPA View citations
66. Who drives real interest rates around the Pacific Rim: the US or Japan?
    Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (1995)

1994

67. Patterns in Exchange Rate Forecasts for 25 Currencies
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    Also in Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley (1993) View citations

1993

68. Financial Links around the Pacific Rim: 1982-1992
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations
    Also in Pacific Basin Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1993)
    See also Journal Article in Proceedings (1992)

1992

69. Financial and Currency Integration in the European Monetary System: The Statistical Record
    Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley View citations

1991

70. Exchange Rate Expectations and the Risk Premium: Tests For a Cross- Section of 17 Currencies
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    See also Journal Article in Review of International Economics (1993)
71. The Stabilizing Properties of a Nominal GNP Rule in an Open Economy
    Economics Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley

Undated

72. Interest Parity at Short and Long Horizons
    Working Papers, Humboldt University, Sonderforschungsbereich 373 View citations
73. The Empirical Determinants of the Euro: Short and Long Run Perspectives
    Working Papers, Humboldt University, Sonderforschungsbereich 373 View citations

Journal Articles

2009

1. Pitfalls in Measuring Exchange Rate Misalignment
   Open Economies Review, 2009, 20, (2), 183-206
2. Three current account balances: A "Semi-Structuralist" interpretation
   Japan and the World Economy, 2009, 21, (2), 202-212
   See also Working Paper (2005)

2008

3. Conventional and unconventional approaches to exchange rate modelling and assessment
   International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2008, 13, (1), 2-13 View citations
   See also Working Paper (2006)
4. Global Current Account Imbalances: American Fiscal Policy versus East Asian Savings
   Review of International Economics, 2008, 16, (3), 479-498
5. Non-linearities, Business Cycles and Exchange Rates
   Economic Notes, 2008, 37, (3), 219-239
6. Why the Euro Will Rival the Dollar*
   International Finance, 2008, 11, (1), 49-73 View citations
   See also Working Paper (2008)

2007

7. Current account balances, financial development and institutions: Assaying the world "saving glut"
   Journal of International Money and Finance, 2007, 26, (4), 546-569 View citations
   See also Working Paper (2005)
8. PRICE-BASED MEASUREMENT OF FINANCIAL GLOBALIZATION: A CROSS-COUNTRY STUDY OF INTEREST RATE PARITY
   Pacific Economic Review, 2007, 12, (4), 419-444
9. THE FOG ENCIRCLING THE RENMINBI DEBATE
   The Singapore Economic Review (SER), 2007, 52, (03), 403-418 View citations
10. The determinants of the global digital divide: a cross-country analysis of computer and internet penetration
    Oxford Economic Papers, 2007, 59, (1), 16-44 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2004)
11. The overvaluation of Renminbi undervaluation
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2007, 26, (5), 762-785 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2007)

2006

12. A Primer on Real Effective Exchange Rates: Determinants, Overvaluation, Trade Flows and Competitive Devaluation
    Open Economies Review, 2006, 17, (1), 115-143 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2005)
13. Current account and real exchange rate dynamics in the G7 countries
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2006, 25, (2), 257-274 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2004)
14. Lessons from the First Financial Crises of the 21st Century
    International Finance, 2006, 9, (2), 281-294
15. The (partial) rehabilitation of interest rate parity in the floating rate era: Longer horizons, alternative expectations, and emerging markets
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2006, 25, (1), 7-21 View citations
16. The Chinese economies in global context: The integration process and its determinants
    Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 2006, 20, (1), 128-153 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2005)
17. What matters for financial development? Capital controls, institutions, and interactions
    Journal of Development Economics, 2006, 81, (1), 163-192 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2005

18. Dimensions of financial integration in Greater China: money markets, banks and policy effects
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2005, 10, (2), 117-132 View citations
19. Doomed to Deficits? Aggregate U.S. Trade Flows Re-Examined
    Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), 2005, 141, (3), 460-485 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2003)
20. Empirical exchange rate models of the nineties: Are any fit to survive?
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2005, 24, (7), 1150-1175 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2004)
21. Why the renminbi might be overvalued (but probably isn’t)
    Proceedings, 2005 View citations

2004

22. A Decomposition of Global Linkages in Financial Markets Over Time
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2004, 86, (3), 705-722 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2003)
23. How do UK-based foreign exchange dealers think their market operates?
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2004, 9, (4), 289-306 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2000)
24. Incomes, Exchange Rates and the US Trade Deficit, Once Again
    International Finance, 2004, 7, (3), 451-469 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2002)

2003

25. China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan: A quantitative assessment of real and financial integration
    China Economic Review, 2003, 14, (3), 281-303 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2003)
26. Medium-term determinants of current accounts in industrial and developing countries: an empirical exploration
    Journal of International Economics, 2003, 59, (1), 47-76 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2000)

2001

27. Corrigendum to ''Before the fall: were East Asian currencies overvalued?'': [Emerging Markets Review 1 (2000) 101-126]
    Emerging Markets Review, 2001, 2, (1), 87-87
28. Currency traders and exchange rate dynamics: a survey of the US market
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2001, 20, (4), 439-471 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2000)
29. Market Structure and the Persistence of Sectoral Real Exchange Rates
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2001, 6, (2), 95-114 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1999)

2000

30. Before the fall: were East Asian currencies overvalued?
    Emerging Markets Review, 2000, 1, (2), 101-126 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1998)
31. The Usual Suspects? Productivity and Demand Shocks and Asia-Pacific Real Exchange Rates
    Review of International Economics, 2000, 8, (1), 20-43 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1998)
32. Three measures of East Asian currency evaluation
    Contemporary Economic Policy, 2000, 18, (2), 205-214 View citations
33. Tracking the Euro's Progress
    International Finance, 2000, 3, (3), 357-73 View citations

1999

34. International capital inflows, domestic financial intermediation and financial crises under imperfect information
    Proceedings, 1999, (Sep) View citations
    See also Working Paper (2000)
35. International monetary arrangements in the Asia-Pacific before and after
    Journal of Asian Economics, 1999, 10, (3), 361-384 View citations
36. Latin America and East Asia in the context of an insurance model of currency crises
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1999, 18, (4), 659-681 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1999)
37. On the Won and Other East Asian Currencies
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 1999, 4, (2), 113-27 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1998)

1998

38. FINANCIAL AND CAPITAL ACCOUNT LIBERALIZATION IN THE PACIFIC BASIN: KOREA AND TAIWAN DURING THE 1980'S
    International Economic Journal, 1998, 12, (1), 53-74
    See also Working Paper (1996)
39. Integration, cointegration and the forecast consistency of structural exchange rate models
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1998, 17, (5), 813-830 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1997)
40. Long-run determinants of East Asian real exchange rates
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 1998, (Apr 10)

1997

41. Financial Repression and Capital Mobility: Why Capital Flows and Covered Interest Rate Differentials Fail to Measure Capital Market Integration
    Monetary and Economic Studies, 1997, 15, (2), 81-103
    See also Working Paper (1995)
42. Further Investigation of the Uncertain Unit Root in GNP
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 1997, 15, (1), 68-73 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1996)
43. Paper pushers or paper money? Empirical assessment of fiscal and monetary models of exchange rate determination
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 1997, 19, (1), 51-78 View citations
44. Whither the Yen? Implications of an Intertemporal Model of the Dollar/Yen Rate
    Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 1997, 11, (2), 228-246 View citations

1996

45. Deterministic, Stochastic, and Segmented Trends in Aggregate Output: A Cross-Country Analysis
    Oxford Economic Papers, 1996, 48, (1), 134-62 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1995)

1995

46. Asia Pacific regionalism: Readings in international economic relations: Ross Garnaut and Peter Drysdale. HarperEducational in association with The Australia-Japan Research Centre, Canberra 1994, 433pp
    Journal of Asian Economics, 1995, 6, (4), 595-599
47. Banking on currency forecasts: How predictable is change in money?
    Journal of International Economics, 1995, 38, (1-2), 161-178 View citations
48. How Sensitive Are Trends to Data Definitions? Results for East Asian and G5 Countries
    Applied Economics Letters, 1995, 2, (1), 1-6 View citations
49. Who drives real interest rates around the Pacific Rim: the USA or Japan?
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1995, 14, (6), 801-821 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1995)

1994

50. Patterns in Exchange Rate Forecasts for Twenty-five Currencies
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1994, 26, (4), 759-70 View citations

1993

51. Exchange Rate Expectations and the Risk Premium: Tests for a Cross Section of 17 Currencies
    Review of International Economics, 1993, 1, (2), 136-44 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1991)

1992

52. Financial links around the Pacific Rim, 1982-1992
    Proceedings, 1992, 17-47
    Also in Proceedings, 1992, (Sep) (1992)
    See also Working Paper (1993)

1991

53. Some linear and nonlinear thoughts on exchange rates
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1991, 10, (2), 214-230 View citations

Chapters

2007

1. Will the Euro Eventually Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Reserve Currency?
   A chapter in G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, 2007, pp 283-338 View citations
   See also Working Paper (2005)

1997

2. Asia Pacific Capital Markets: Integration and Implications for Economic Activity
   A chapter in Regionalism versus Multilateral Trade Arrangements, NBER-EASE Volume 6, 1997, pp 169-202 View citations