Details about Jesus Crespo Cuaresma

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Short-id: pcr27

Working Papers

2012

1. Dirty floating and monetary independence in Central and Eastern Europe - The role of structural breaks
   Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck
2. Drivers of convergence in eleven eastern European countries
   Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank
3. Energy Inflation and House Price Corrections
   European Economy - Economic Papers, Directorate General Economic and Monetary Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission
4. Firm growth and productivity in Belarus: new empirical evidence from the machine building industry
   Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank
5. Income convergence prospects in Europe: Assessing the role of human capital dynamics
   Department of Economics Working Papers, Vienna University of Economics, Department of Economics
6. The Effect of Marketing Spending on Sales in the Premium Car Segment: New Evidence from Germany
   Working Papers in Economics and Finance, University of Salzburg

2011

7. Ageing, productivity and wages in Austria
   ECON WPS - Vienna University of Technology Working Papers in Economic Theory and Policy, Vienna University of Technology, Institute for Mathematical Methods in Economics, Research Group Economics (ECON) View citations (2)
8. Borders redrawn: Measuring the statistical creation of international trade
   Working Papers in Economics and Finance, University of Salzburg
   See also Journal Article in The World Economy (2012)
9. Macroeconomic Aspects of European Integration: Fiscal Policy, Trade Integration and the European Business Cycle
   FIW Research Reports series, FIW View citations (2)
10. The Economic transmission of fiscal policy shocks from Western to Eastern Europe
    BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Focus on European Economic Integration (2011)

2010

11. Business cycle convergence in EMU: A first look at the second moment
    Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck View citations (7)
    Also in FIW Working Paper series, FIW (2010) View citations (1)
12. Business cycle convergence in EMU: A second look at the second moment
    FIW Working Paper series, FIW
    Also in Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck (2010)
    Working Papers in Economics and Finance, University of Salzburg (2010)
13. Can Emerging Asset Price Bubbles be Detected?
    OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing View citations (1)
14. Global Financial Crisis and the Puzzling Exchange Rate Path in CEE Countries
    Working Papers IES, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies
15. Milking The Prices: The Role of Asymmetries in the Price Transmission Mechanism for Milk Products in Austria
    Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck View citations (3)
    Also in WIFO Working Papers, WIFO View citations (3)
16. Mr. Wicksell and the global economy: What drives real interest rates?
    Working Papers, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank)
    Also in Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck (2007) View citations (3)
17. Oil and the Duration of Dictatorships
    Monash Economics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Economics
    Also in Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck View citations (3)
    Working Papers in Economics and Finance, University of Salzburg (2010) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Public Choice (2011)
18. Spatial Filtering, Model Uncertainty and the Speed of Income Convergence in Europe
    Working Papers, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank) View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck (2009) View citations (3)
19. Unpleasant surprises: sovereign default determinants and prospects
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank

2009

20. Natural disasters and human capital accumulation
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in World Bank Economic Review (2010)
21. The Determinants of Economic Growth in European Regions
    wiiw Working Papers, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw View citations (3)
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2009) View citations (6)
    Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck (2008) View citations (9)
22. The Determinants of Regional Economic Growth by Quantile
    wiiw Working Papers, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw View citations (2)

2008

23. Explaining the persistence of profits: A time-varying approach
    Vienna Economics Papers, University of Vienna, Department of Economics

2007

24. An "Almost-Too-Late" Warning Mechanism For Currency Crises
    Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck View citations (2)
    Also in BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition (2007)
    See also Journal Article in The Economics of Transition (2010)
25. Barriers to Technology Adoption, International R&D Spillovers and Growth
    Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck View citations (3)

2006

26. Interest Rate Pass-Through in Central and Eastern Europe: Reborn from Ashes Merely to Pass Away?
    William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Policy Modeling (2007)
27. Nonlinearities in Cross-Country Growth Regressions: A Bayesian Averaging of Thresholds (BAT) Approach
    Vienna Economics Papers, University of Vienna, Department of Economics View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Macroeconomics (2007)

2005

28. Non-Linear Exchange Rate Dynamics in Target Zones: A Bumpy Road Towards A Honeymoon Some Evidence from the ERM, ERM2 and Selected New EU Member States
    William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan View citations (3)
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2005) View citations (3)
29. Tracing the dynamics of competition: Evidence from company profits
    Vienna Economics Papers, University of Vienna, Department of Economics View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Inquiry (2008)

2004

30. Groth effects of inflation in Europe: How low is too low, how high is too high?
    Vienna Economics Papers, University of Vienna, Department of Economics View citations (2)
31. Interest Rate Pass-Through in New EU Member States: The Case of the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland
    William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan View citations (14)
32. The Empirics Of Growth And Inflation In Europe
    Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2004, Royal Economic Society View citations (1)
33. The fiscal smile - on the effectiveness and limits of fiscal stabilizers
    Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003, Money Macro and Finance Research Group View citations (2)
34. The monetary approach to exchange rates in the CEECs
    Macroeconomics, EconWPA View citations (2)
    Also in BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition (2003) View citations (24)
    See also Journal Article in The Economics of Transition (2005)

2003

35. "Guns or Butter?" Revisited: Robustness and Nonlinearity Issues in the Defense-Grotwth Nexus
    Vienna Economics Papers, University of Vienna, Department of Economics View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Scottish Journal of Political Economy (2006)
36. On export composition and growth
    Vienna Economics Papers, University of Vienna, Department of Economics View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv) (2005)
37. Searching for the Natural Rate of Interest: A Euro-Area Perspective
    Working Papers, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank) View citations (14)
    See also Journal Article in Empirica (2004)
38. Some million thresholds: Nonlinearity and cross-country growth regressions
    Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003, Royal Economic Society
    Also in Vienna Economics Papers, University of Vienna, Department of Economics (2002) View citations (3)
39. The Fiscal Smile: The Effectiveness and Limits of Fiscal Stabilizers
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (7)
40. The Monetary Approach to Exchange Rates in the CEECs Relations and Output Performance
    Vienna Economics Papers, University of Vienna, Department of Economics
41. The competitive environment hypothesis revisited: Nonlinearity, nonstationrity and profit persistence
    Vienna Economics Papers, University of Vienna, Department of Economics
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics (2006)

2002

42. Growth, Convergence and EU Membership
    Working Papers, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank) View citations (16)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics (2008)

2000

43. Forecasting European GDP Using Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregressive Models. A Warning
    Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies

1998

44. Deterministic Chaos versus Stochastic Processes
    Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies

Undated

45. Crude Oil Prices and the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate: A Forecasting Exercise
    Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck View citations (2)
46. Forecasting euro exchange rates: How much does model averaging help?
    Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck View citations (2)
47. Modelling and Forecasting Oil Prices: The Role of Asymmetric Cycles
    Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck
    See also Journal Article in The Energy Journal (2009)
48. On the determinants of currency crises: The role of model uncertainty
    Working Papers, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Macroeconomics (2009)

Journal Articles

2012

1. Borders Redrawn: Measuring the Statistical Creation of International Trade
   The World Economy, 2012, 35, (7), 946-952
   See also Working Paper (2011)
2. Drivers of Output Loss during the 2008–09 Crisis: A Focus on Emerging Europe
   Focus on European Economic Integration, 2012, (2), 46-64 View citations (2)
3. Neyapti, B.: Macroeconomic institutions and development
   Journal of Economics, 2012, 106, (1), 95-96

2011

4. Determinants of Foreign Currency Loans in CESEE Countries: A Meta-Analysis
   Focus on European Economic Integration, 2011, (4), 69-87 View citations (2)
5. Determinants of Regional Economic Growth by Quantile
   Regional Studies, 2011, 45, (6), 809-826 View citations (4)
6. How different is Africa? A comment on Masanjala and Papageorgiou
   Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2011, 26, (6), 1041-1047 View citations (1)
7. Human capital, age structure and growth fluctuations
   Applied Economics, 2011, 43, (28), 4311-4329 View citations (1)
8. Oil and the duration of dictatorships
   Public Choice, 2011, 148, (3), 505-530 View citations (2)
   See also Working Paper (2010)
9. The Economic Transmission of Fiscal Policy Shocks from Western to Eastern Europe
   Focus on European Economic Integration, 2011, (2), 44-68
   See also Working Paper (2011)
10. The role of age‐structured education data for economic growth forecasts
    Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 30, (2), 249-267

2010

11. An almost-too-late warning mechanism for currency crises
    The Economics of Transition, 2010, 18, (1), 123-141
    See also Working Paper (2007)
12. Could Markets Have Helped Predict the Puzzling Exchange Rate Path in CESEE Countries during the Current Crisis?
    Focus on European Economic Integration, 2010, (1), 32-48
13. Demography, Education, and Democracy: Global Trends and the Case of Iran
    Population and Development Review, 2010, 36, (2), 253-281
14. Modeling and Predicting the EUR/USD Exchange Rate: The Role of Nonlinear Adjustments to Purchasing Power Parity
    Monetary Policy & the Economy, 2010, (2), 64-76
15. Natural Disasters and Human Capital Accumulation
    World Bank Economic Review, 2010, 24, (2), 280-302 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2009)
16. Regional Convergence in Europe and the Role of Urban Agglomerations
    Focus on European Economic Integration, 2010, (3), 64–78

2009

17. Determinants of Crude Oil Prices: Supply, Demand, Cartel or Speculation?
    Monetary Policy & the Economy, 2009, (4), 111-136
18. Economic Growth Determinants for European Regions: Is Central and Eastern Europe Different?
    Focus on European Economic Integration, 2009, (3), 22-37 View citations (1)
19. Modelling and Forecasting Oil Prices: The Role of Asymmetric Cycles
    The Energy Journal, 2009, Volume 30, (Number 3), 81-90 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper
20. On the determinants of currency crises: The role of model uncertainty
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2009, 31, (4), 621-632 View citations (6)
    Also in Focus on European Economic Integration, 2007, (2), 54-68 (2007) View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper
21. On the effectiveness and limits of fiscal stabilizers
    Applied Economics, 2009, 43, (9), 1079-1086 View citations (1)
22. Simple but Effective: The OeNB’s Forecasting Model for Selected CESEE Countries
    Focus on European Economic Integration, 2009, (4), 82-95

2008

23. Determinants of Currency Crises: A Conflict of Generations?
    Focus on European Economic Integration, 2008, (1), 126-141
24. Four Monetary Policy Strategies in Comparison: How to Deal with Financial Instability?
    Monetary Policy & the Economy, 2008, (3), 65-102 View citations (1)
25. Fundamentals, the exchange rate and prospects for the current and future EU enlargements: evidence from Bulgaria, Croatia, Romania and Turkey
    Empirica, 2008, 35, (2), 195-211 View citations (6)
26. Growth, convergence and EU membership
    Applied Economics, 2008, 40, (5), 643-656 View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (2002)
27. NATURAL DISASTERS AS CREATIVE DESTRUCTION? EVIDENCE FROM DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
    Economic Inquiry, 2008, 46, (2), 214-226 View citations (36)
28. TRACING THE DYNAMICS OF COMPETITION: EVIDENCE FROM COMPANY PROFITS
    Economic Inquiry, 2008, 46, (2), 208-213 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
29. The Impact of EU Enlargement in 2004 and 2007 on FDI and Migration Flows - Gravity Analysis of Factor Mobility
    Monetary Policy & the Economy, 2008, (2), 101-120

2007

30. Interest rate pass-through in central and Eastern Europe: Reborn from ashes merely to pass away?
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 2007, 29, (2), 209-225 View citations (19)
    Also in Focus on European Economic Integration, 2006, (1), 88 - 111 (2006) View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
31. Is the Ricardian Equivalence Proposition an 'Aerie Fairy' Theory for Europe?
    Economica, 2007, 74, (296), 682-694 View citations (4)
32. Nonlinearities in cross-country growth regressions: A Bayesian Averaging of Thresholds (BAT) approach
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2007, 29, (3), 541-554 View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
33. Predicting Currency Crises Using the Term Structure of Relative Interest Rates: Case Studies of the Czech Republic
    Focus on European Economic Integration, 2007, (1), 135-149 View citations (1)
34. Price Level Convergence in Europe: Did the Introduction of the Euro Matter?
    Monetary Policy & the Economy, 2007, (1), 100-113 View citations (5)
35. The natural rate of interest: which concept? which estimation method? which policy conclusions?
    Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 2007, 29, (4), 667-688 View citations (1)

2006

36. 'GUNS OR BUTTER?' REVISITED: ROBUSTNESS AND NONLINEARITY ISSUES IN THE DEFENSE-GROWTH NEXUS
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2006, 53, (4), 523-541 View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
37. Convergence of educational attainment levels in the OECD: More data, more problems?
    Economics of Education Review, 2006, 25, (2), 173-178 View citations (2)
38. Measuring monetary independence: Evidence from a group of new EU member countries
    Journal of Comparative Economics, 2006, 34, (1), 24-43 View citations (10)
39. Oil Price Shock, Energy Prices and Inflation — A Comparison of Austria and the EU
    Monetary Policy & the Economy, 2006, (1), 53–77 View citations (2)
40. The competitive environment hypothesis revisited: non-linearity, nonstationarity and profit persistence
    Applied Economics, 2006, 38, (4), 465-472 View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2003)

2005

41. Beating the random walk in Central and Eastern Europe
    Journal of Forecasting, 2005, 24, (3), 189-201 View citations (11)
42. On Export Composition and Growth
    Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), 2005, 141, (1), 33-49 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
43. The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Activity and Inflation in the Euro Area: A Reassessment
    Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), 2005, 141, (2), 318-342 View citations (4)
    See also Chapter (2005)
44. The monetary approach to exchange rates in the CEECs
    The Economics of Transition, 2005, 13, (2), 395-416 View citations (55)
    See also Working Paper (2004)

2004

45. A non-linear defence-growth nexus? evidence from the US economy
    Defence and Peace Economics, 2004, 15, (1), 71-82 View citations (10)
46. Exchange Rate Developments and Fundamentals in Four EU Accession and Candidate Countries: Bulgaria, Croatia, Romania and Turkey
    Focus on European Economic Integration, 2004, (2), 119 - 137
47. Forecasting electricity spot-prices using linear univariate time-series models
    Applied Energy, 2004, 77, (1), 87-106 View citations (17)
48. Forecasting exchange rates in transition economies: A comparison of multivariate time series models
    Empirical Economics, 2004, 29, (4), 787-801
49. Nonlinear Exchange Rate Dynamics in Target Zones: A Bumpy Road Toward a Honeymoon
    Some Evidence from the ERM, ERM II and Selected New EU Member States
    Focus on European Economic Integration, 2004, (1), 46 - 69
50. Searching for the natural rate of interest: a euro area perspective
    Empirica, 2004, 31, (2), 185-204 View citations (26)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
51. Using pre-EMU money market rates to assess monetary policy in the euro area
    Economic Modelling, 2004, 21, (6), 1003-1014 View citations (1)

2003

52. Okun's Law Revisited
    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2003, 65, (4), 439-451 View citations (2)

Chapters

2005

1. The term structure as a predictor of real activity and inflation in the euro area: a reassessment
   A chapter in Investigating the relationship between the financial and real economy, 2005, vol. 22, pp 177-92 View citations (2)
   See also Journal Article in Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv) (2005)