Details about Theo Eicher

Homepage:	http://faculty.washington.edu/te/
Phone:	206 685 8082
Postal address:	Theo Eicher Department of Economics Box 353330 University of Washington Seattle WA 98195-3330 USA
Workplace:	Department of Economics, University of Washington, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Theo Eicher.

Last updated 2024-03-05. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pei6

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Working Papers

2018

1. Constitutional rules as determinants of social infrastructure
   Wesleyan Economics Working Papers, Wesleyan University, Department of Economics View citations (12)
   Also in Post-Print, HAL (2018) View citations (9)
   See also Journal Article Constitutional rules as determinants of social infrastructure, Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (2018) View citations (9) (2018)
2. Forecasts in Times of Crises
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (3)
   See also Journal Article Forecasts in times of crises, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2019) View citations (16) (2019)

2017

3. European Influence and Economic Development
   Wesleyan Economics Working Papers, Wesleyan University, Department of Economics
   See also Journal Article European influence and economic development, Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons (2019) (2019)

2012

4. Did Established Early Warning Signals Predict the 2008 Crises?*
   Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics View citations (2)
   See also Journal Article Did established Early Warning Signals predict the 2008 crises?, European Economic Review, Elsevier (2016) View citations (22) (2016)

2011

5. Intellectual Property Rights as Development Determinants
   Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics
   See also Journal Article Intellectual property rights as development determinants, Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association (2013) View citations (7) (2013)
6. Robust FDI Determinants: Bayesian Model Averaging In The Presence Of Selection Bias
   Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics View citations (11)
   See also Journal Article Robust FDI determinants: Bayesian Model Averaging in the presence of selection bias, Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (2012) View citations (74) (2012)

2010

7. Institutions and Growth: Time Series Evidence from Natural Experiments
   Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics View citations (14)
8. Trade Creation and Diversion Revisited: Accounting for Model Uncertainty and Natural Trading Partner Effects
   Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics View citations (14)
   Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2008) View citations (9)
   See also Journal Article Trade creation and diversion revisited: Accounting for model uncertainty and natural trading partner effects, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2012) View citations (60) (2012)

2009

9. Bayesian Model Averaging and Endogeneity Under Model Uncertainty: An Application to Development Determinants
   Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics View citations (20)
10. Education, Corruption and Constitutional Reform
    Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics View citations (2)
11. In Search of WTO Trade Effects: Preferential Trade Agreements Promote Trade Strongly, But Unevenly
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (8)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics (2008) View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article In search of WTO trade effects: Preferential trade agreements promote trade strongly, but unevenly, Journal of International Economics, Elsevier (2011) View citations (126) (2011)
12. Institutions and Economic Performance: Endogeneity and Parameter Heterogeneity
    Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics View citations (62)
    Also in Discussion Papers in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics (2006) View citations (19)
    See also Journal Article Institutions and Economic Performance: Endogeneity and Parameter Heterogeneity, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2009) View citations (16) (2009)
13. Modeling uncertainty in macroeconomic growth determinants using Gaussian graphical models
    Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics
14. One Money, One Market: A Revised Benchmark
    Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics View citations (9)
    Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2009) View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article One Money, One Market: A Revised Benchmark, Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell (2011) View citations (32) (2011)

2008

15. Endogenous Strength of Intellectual Property Rights
    Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics View citations (53)
16. Germany’s Continued Productivity Slump: An Industry Analysis
    ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich
17. In Search of a Sulphur Dioxide Environmental Kuznets Curve: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach
    Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics View citations (15)

2007

18. Default Priors and Predictive Performance in Bayesian Model Averaging, with Application to Growth Determinants
    Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics View citations (13)
    See also Journal Article Default priors and predictive performance in Bayesian model averaging, with application to growth determinants, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2011) View citations (250) (2011)
19. Sources of the German Productivity Demise – Tracing the Effects of Industry-Level ICT Investment
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (12)
20. The Ifo Industry Growth Accounting Database
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (8)
21. Unraveling the Fortunates of the Fortunate: An Iterative Bayesian Model Averaging (IBMA) Approach
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (19)
    See also Journal Article Unraveling the fortunes of the fortunate: An Iterative Bayesian Model Averaging (IBMA) approach, Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (2007) View citations (37) (2007)

2006

22. Structural Policies and Growth: Time Series Evidence from a Natural Experiment
    Working Papers, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article Structural policies and growth: Time series evidence from a natural experiment, Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier (2010) View citations (51) (2010)

2004

23. Trade, Foreign Direct Investment or Acquisition: Optimal Entry Modes for Multinationals
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article Trade, foreign direct investment or acquisition: Optimal entry modes for multinationals, Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier (2005) View citations (47) (2005)

2003

24. Effects of differential taxation on factor accumulation and growth
    Working Papers in Economics, Universitat de Barcelona. Espai de Recerca en Economia View citations (1)

2002

25. Search in Research: An Evolutionary Approach to Technical Change and Growth
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics
    Also in Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington, Department of Economics at the University of Washington (2000)
    Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics (2000)
26. Tax reforms and inequality: theoretical and empirical implications
    Working Papers in Economics, Universitat de Barcelona. Espai de Recerca en Economia

2001

27. Politics and Trade Policy: An Empirical Investigation
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
    Also in Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics (2000) View citations (1)
    Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington, Department of Economics at the University of Washington (2000) View citations (2)

2000

28. Financial Liberalization and Capital Flow Reversals
    Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington, Department of Economics at the University of Washington
    Also in Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics (2000)
29. Inequality and Growth: The Dual Role of Human Capital in Development
    Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers, Econometric Society View citations (4)
    Also in G.R.E.Q.A.M., Universite Aix-Marseille III (1999) View citations (1)
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2000) View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Inequality and growth: the dual role of human capital in development, Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier (2001) View citations (58) (2001)

1998

30. Market Structure and Productivity Revisited: Endogenous Productivity, Training and Market Shares
    Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics
    Also in Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington, Department of Economics at the University of Washington (1998) View citations (1)
31. Scale, Congestion, and Growth
    Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington, Department of Economics at the University of Washington
    Also in Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics (1998) View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article Scale, Congestion and Growth, Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science (2000) View citations (3) (2000)

1997

32. Non-Scale Growth in an Open Economy
    Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington, Department of Economics at the University of Washington
    Also in Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics (1997)
33. Risk and Financial Development. A Comparative Case Study of Mexico and Indonesia
    Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics
    Also in Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington, Department of Economics at the University of Washington (1997)
    See also Journal Article Risk and financial development: a comparative case study of Mexico and Indonesia, Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1996) (1996)
34. The Human Capital Dimension to Foreign Direct Investment: Training, Adverse Selection and Firm Location
    Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics View citations (10)
    Also in Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington, Department of Economics at the University of Washington (1997) View citations (7)
35. Toward a General Model of Economic Growth
    Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics
    Also in Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington, Department of Economics at the University of Washington (1997)

Undated

36. Inequality and Growth
    Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington, Department of Economics at the University of Washington View citations (23)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Washington, Department of Economics View citations (33)
37. Transitional Dynamics in Non-Scale Growth Models
    Computing in Economics and Finance 1997, Society for Computational Economics View citations (14)

Journal Articles

2024

1. Housing Prices and Land Use Regulations: A Study of 250 Major US Cities
   Journal of Economic Analysis, 2024, 3, (1), 27-57

2023

2. IMF trade forecasts for crisis countries: Bias, inefficiency, and their origins
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2023, 39, (4), 1615-1639 View citations (2)
3. The accuracy of IMF crises nowcasts
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2023, 39, (1), 431-449 View citations (1)

2019

4. European influence and economic development
   Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, 2019, 52, (2), 667-734
   Also in Canadian Journal of Economics, 2019, 52, (2), 667-734 (2019)
   See also Working Paper European Influence and Economic Development, Wesleyan Economics Working Papers (2017) (2017)
5. Forecasts in times of crises
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2019, 35, (3), 1143-1159 View citations (16)
   See also Working Paper Forecasts in Times of Crises, IMF Working Papers (2018) View citations (3) (2018)

2018

6. Constitutional rules as determinants of social infrastructure
   Journal of Macroeconomics, 2018, 57, (C), 182-209 View citations (9)
   See also Working Paper Constitutional rules as determinants of social infrastructure, Wesleyan Economics Working Papers (2018) View citations (12) (2018)

2016

7. Did established Early Warning Signals predict the 2008 crises?
   European Economic Review, 2016, 81, (C), 103-114 View citations (22)
   See also Working Paper Did Established Early Warning Signals Predict the 2008 Crises?*, Working Papers (2012) View citations (2) (2012)
8. The elusive effects of trade on growth: Export diversity and economic take-off
   Canadian Journal of Economics, 2016, 49, (1), 264-295 View citations (9)
   Also in Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, 2016, 49, (1), 264-295 (2016) View citations (10)

2014

9. Two-Stage Bayesian Model Averaging in Endogenous Variable Models
   Econometric Reviews, 2014, 33, (1-4), 122-151 View citations (17)

2013

10. Intellectual property rights as development determinants
    Canadian Journal of Economics, 2013, 46, (1), 4-22 View citations (7)
    Also in Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, 2013, 46, (1), 4-22 (2013) View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper Intellectual Property Rights as Development Determinants, Working Papers (2011) (2011)

2012

11. Robust FDI determinants: Bayesian Model Averaging in the presence of selection bias
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2012, 34, (3), 637-651 View citations (74)
    See also Working Paper Robust FDI Determinants: Bayesian Model Averaging In The Presence Of Selection Bias, Working Papers (2011) View citations (11) (2011)
12. Trade creation and diversion revisited: Accounting for model uncertainty and natural trading partner effects
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2012, 27, (2), 296-321 View citations (60)
    See also Working Paper Trade Creation and Diversion Revisited: Accounting for Model Uncertainty and Natural Trading Partner Effects, Working Papers (2010) View citations (14) (2010)

2011

13. Default priors and predictive performance in Bayesian model averaging, with application to growth determinants
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2011, 26, (1), 30-55 View citations (250)
    See also Working Paper Default Priors and Predictive Performance in Bayesian Model Averaging, with Application to Growth Determinants, Working Papers (2007) View citations (13) (2007)
14. In search of WTO trade effects: Preferential trade agreements promote trade strongly, but unevenly
    Journal of International Economics, 2011, 83, (2), 137-153 View citations (126)
    See also Working Paper In Search of WTO Trade Effects: Preferential Trade Agreements Promote Trade Strongly, But Unevenly, IMF Working Papers (2009) View citations (8) (2009)
15. One Money, One Market: A Revised Benchmark
    Review of International Economics, 2011, 19, (3), 419-435 View citations (32)
    See also Working Paper One Money, One Market: A Revised Benchmark, Working Papers (2009) View citations (9) (2009)

2010

16. Structural policies and growth: Time series evidence from a natural experiment
    Journal of Development Economics, 2010, 91, (1), 169-179 View citations (51)
    See also Working Paper Structural Policies and Growth: Time Series Evidence from a Natural Experiment, Working Papers (2006) View citations (7) (2006)

2009

17. Education, corruption, and the distribution of income
    Journal of Economic Growth, 2009, 14, (3), 205-231 View citations (40)
18. Institutions and Economic Performance: Endogeneity and Parameter Heterogeneity
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2009, 41, (1), 197-219 View citations (16)
    Also in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2009, 41, (1), 197-219 (2009) View citations (57)
    See also Working Paper Institutions and Economic Performance: Endogeneity and Parameter Heterogeneity, Working Papers (2009) View citations (62) (2009)
19. Institutions and Growth in OECD Countries
    ifo DICE Report, 2009, 7, (02), 24-29 View citations (1)

2008

20. Der deutsche Produktivitätsabschwung: Ursachenforschung auf Branchenebene
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2008, 61, (15), 33-40 View citations (1)
21. Dynamic effects of terms of trade shocks: The impact on debt and growth
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2008, 27, (6), 876-896 View citations (25)
22. Endogenous strength of intellectual property rights: Implications for economic development and growth
    European Economic Review, 2008, 52, (2), 237-258 View citations (62)
23. In search of an environmental Kuznets curve in sulphur dioxide concentrations: a Bayesian model averaging approach
    Environment and Development Economics, 2008, 13, (6), 795-822 View citations (13)
24. Institutionen und Wirtschaftswachstum in den OECD-Ländern
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2008, 61, (11), 28-36 View citations (10)
25. Institutions, Development and Economic Growth. Edited by THEO S. EICHER and CECILIA GARCIA‐PENALOSA
    Economica, 2008, 75, (299), 608-610
26. The Rise and Fall of German Productivity Software Investment as the Decisive Driver
    CESifo Economic Studies, 2008, 54, (3), 386-413 View citations (1)

2007

27. Institutional Determinants of Economic Performance in OECD Countries – An Institutions Climate Index
    ifo DICE Report, 2007, 5, (01), 38-49 View citations (1)
28. Sources of the German Productivity Demise: Tracing the Effects of Industry-Level Information and Communication Technology Investment
    German Economic Review, 2007, 8, (2), 211-236 View citations (1)
    Also in German Economic Review, 2007, 8, (2), 211-236 (2007) View citations (2)
29. Special Issue on Productivity Growth
    German Economic Review, 2007, 8, (2), 123-124
    Also in German Economic Review, 2007, 8, (2), 123-124 (2007)
30. Unraveling the fortunes of the fortunate: An Iterative Bayesian Model Averaging (IBMA) approach
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2007, 29, (3), 494-514 View citations (37)
    See also Working Paper Unraveling the Fortunates of the Fortunate: An Iterative Bayesian Model Averaging (IBMA) Approach, CESifo Working Paper Series (2007) View citations (19) (2007)

2005

31. Trade, foreign direct investment or acquisition: Optimal entry modes for multinationals
    Journal of Development Economics, 2005, 77, (1), 207-228 View citations (47)
    See also Working Paper Trade, Foreign Direct Investment or Acquisition: Optimal Entry Modes for Multinationals, CESifo Working Paper Series (2004) View citations (4) (2004)

2002

32. Protection for Sale: An Empirical Investigation: Comment
    American Economic Review, 2002, 92, (5), 1702-1710 View citations (78)

2001

33. Financial Liberalizations and Capital Flow Reversals―Optimal Policy for Short and Long Term Debt Management―
    Economic Review, 2001, 52, (4), 300-314 View citations (2)
34. Financial liberalization, openness and convergence
    The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2001, 13, (4), 443-459 View citations (1)
35. Inequality and growth: the dual role of human capital in development
    Journal of Development Economics, 2001, 66, (1), 173-197 View citations (58)
    See also Working Paper Inequality and Growth: The Dual Role of Human Capital in Development, Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers (2000) View citations (4) (2000)
36. Transitional dynamics in a two-sector non-scale growth model
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2001, 25, (1-2), 85-113 View citations (62)

2000

37. Optimal Policy for Financial Market Liberalizations: Decentralization and Capital Flow Reversals
    German Economic Review, 2000, 1, (1), 19-42 View citations (12)
    Also in German Economic Review, 2000, 1, (1), 19-42 (2000) View citations (12)
38. Scale, Congestion and Growth
    Economica, 2000, 67, (267), 325-346 View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Scale, Congestion, and Growth, Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington (1998) (1998)

1999

39. Convergence in a Two-Sector Nonscale Growth Model
    Journal of Economic Growth, 1999, 4, (4), 413-28 View citations (46)
40. International Capital Markets and Non-scale Growth
    Review of International Economics, 1999, 7, (2), 171-88 View citations (17)
41. Non-scale Models of Economic Growth
    Economic Journal, 1999, 109, (457), 394-415 View citations (87)
42. Trade, development and converging growth rates: Dynamic gains from trade reconsidered
    Journal of International Economics, 1999, 48, (1), 179-198 View citations (32)
43. Training, adverse selection and appropriate technology: Development and growth in a small open economy
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1999, 23, (5-6), 727-746 View citations (10)

1996

44. Interaction Between Endogenous Human Capital and Technological Change
    The Review of Economic Studies, 1996, 63, (1), 127-144 View citations (122)
45. Risk and financial development: a comparative case study of Mexico and Indonesia
    Proceedings, 1996, 147-179
    See also Working Paper Risk and Financial Development. A Comparative Case Study of Mexico and Indonesia, Working Papers (1997) (1997)

Books

2009

1. Information Technology and Productivity Growth
   Books, Edward Elgar Publishing View citations (11)

Edited books

2007

1. Inequality and Growth: Theory and Policy Implications, vol 1
   MIT Press Books, The MIT Press View citations (1)

2006

2. Institutions, Development, and Economic Growth, vol 1
   MIT Press Books, The MIT Press View citations (10)

Chapters

2005

1. Comment
   Springer
2. Political Support or Contributions: An Empirical Investigation of US Trade Policy
   Springer

2004

3. Market Structure and Innovation Revisited: Endogenous Productivity, Training and Market Shares
   Chapter 2 in Human Capital, Trade and Public Policy in Rapidly Growing Economies, 2004, pp 21-41

Editor

1. European Economic Review
   Elsevier