Details about Kesten Charles Green

Access statistics for papers by Kesten Charles Green.

Last updated 2009-09-24. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pgr97

Working Papers

2009

1. Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
2. Validity of Climate Change Forecasting for Public Policy Decision Making
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany

2008

3. Assessing probabilistic forecasts about particular situations
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
4. Predicting elections from politicians’ faces
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations

2007

5. Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations
6. Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
   See also Journal Article in Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting (2007)
7. Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations

2005

8. Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share
   Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics
9. Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods
   Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics
10. The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts?
    Others, EconWPA
    See also Journal Article in Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting (2005)

2004

11. Further evidence on game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts
    Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics
12. Structured analogies for forecasting
    Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics View citations
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Forecasting (2007)
13. Value of Expertise For Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts
    Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics View citations

Journal Articles

2008

1. Should We Define Forecast Error as E = F - A Or E = A - F?
   Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2008, (10), 38-40

2007

2. Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared
   Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2007, (8), 17-20
   See also Working Paper (2007)
3. Structured analogies for forecasting
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2007, 23, (3), 365-376 View citations
   See also Working Paper (2004)

2005

4. Game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts: Further evidence
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2005, 21, (3), 463-472 View citations
5. The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts?
   Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2005, (2), 50-52
   See also Working Paper (2005)

2002

6. Embroiled in a conflict: who do you call?
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2002, 18, (3), 389-395
7. Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: a comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2002, 18, (3), 321-344 View citations