Details about John Mikael Juselius

Access statistics for papers by John Mikael Juselius.

Last updated 2023-02-24. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pju98

Working Papers

2024

1. Aggregate Debt Servicing and the Limit on Private Credit
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

2022

2. The scarring effects of deep contractions
   Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland View citations (11)
   Also in BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements (2022) View citations (12)
3. When uncertainty decouples expected and unexpected losses
   BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements
   Also in Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2022)

2021

4. Could corporate credit losses turn out higher than expected?
   BoF Economics Review, Bank of Finland View citations (7)
   Also in BIS Bulletins, Bank for International Settlements (2021)

2020

5. Dealing with the costs of the COVID-19 pandemic – what are the fiscal options?
   BoF Economics Review, Bank of Finland View citations (2)
6. Forecasting expected and unexpected losses
   Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland View citations (1)
   Also in BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements (2020) View citations (1)

2018

7. Going With the Flows: New Borrowing, Debt Service and the Transmission of Credit Booms
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (19)
   Also in Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2018) View citations (1)
8. Monetary policy in the grip of a pincer movement
   BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements View citations (14)
   See also Chapter Monetary Policy in the Grip of a Pincer Movement, Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, Central Bank of Chile (2019) View citations (5) (2019)
9. The enduring link between demography and inflation
   Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland View citations (5)
   Also in BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements (2018) View citations (21)
10. Why So Low for So Long? A Long-Term View of Real Interest Rates
    PIER Discussion Papers, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research View citations (27)
    Also in BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements (2017) View citations (67)

2017

11. Accounting for debt service: The painful legacy of credit booms
    Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland View citations (2)
    Also in BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements (2017) View citations (26)
12. Debt Service: The Painful Legacy of Credit Booms
    2017 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (14)
13. Monetary Policy, the Financial Cycle and Ultra-low Interest Rates
    PIER Discussion Papers, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research View citations (65)
    Also in Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2016) View citations (3)
    BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements (2016) View citations (50)
    See also Journal Article Monetary Policy, the Financial Cycle, and Ultra-Low Interest Rates, International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking (2017) View citations (63) (2017)

2016

14. Leverage dynamics and the burden of debt
    Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland
    See also Journal Article Leverage Dynamics and the Burden of Debt, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford (2020) View citations (7) (2020)
15. The age-structure–inflation puzzle
    Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland View citations (4)

2015

16. Can demography affect inflation and monetary policy?
    BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements View citations (53)
17. Leverage dynamics and the real burden of debt
    BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements View citations (51)
18. Rethinking Potential Output: Embedding Information about the Financial Cycle
    PIER Discussion Papers, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research View citations (5)
    Also in BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements (2013) View citations (180)
    See also Journal Article Rethinking potential output: embedding information about the financial cycle, Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press (2017) View citations (42) (2017)

2014

19. A parsimonious approach to incorporating economic information in measures of potential output
    BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements View citations (82)

2009

20. Do markup dynamics reflect fundamentals or changes in conduct?
    Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Do markup dynamics reflect fundamentals or changes in conduct?, Empirical Economics, Springer (2015) (2015)
21. Tests for Cointegration Rank and the Initial Condition
    Working Papers, Hanken School of Economics
    See also Journal Article Tests for cointegration rank and the initial condition, Empirical Economics, Springer (2012) (2012)

2008

22. Cointegration implications of linear rational expectation models
    Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland
23. Testing the New Keynesian Model on U.S. and Euro Area Data
    Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article Testing the New Keynesian Model on U.S. and Euro Area Data, Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) (2008) View citations (5) (2008)

Journal Articles

2021

1. Inflation and demography through time
   Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2021, 128, (C) View citations (12)

2020

2. Leverage Dynamics and the Burden of Debt
   Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2020, 82, (2), 347-364 View citations (7)
   See also Working Paper Leverage dynamics and the burden of debt, Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers (2016) (2016)

2018

3. La política monetaria cercada por un movimiento de pinzas
   Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), 2018, 21, (2), 004-044
4. Long-acting reversible contraception free of charge, method initiation, and abortion rates in Finland
   American Journal of Public Health, 2018, 108, (4), 538-543

2017

5. Monetary Policy, the Financial Cycle, and Ultra-Low Interest Rates
   International Journal of Central Banking, 2017, 13, (3), 55-89 View citations (63)
   See also Working Paper Monetary Policy, the Financial Cycle and Ultra-low Interest Rates, PIER Discussion Papers (2017) View citations (65) (2017)
6. Rethinking potential output: embedding information about the financial cycle
   Oxford Economic Papers, 2017, 69, (3), 655-677 View citations (42)
   See also Working Paper Rethinking Potential Output: Embedding Information about the Financial Cycle, PIER Discussion Papers (2015) View citations (5) (2015)
7. Sustainable Financial Obligations and Crisis Cycles
   Econometrics, 2017, 5, (2), 1-23 View citations (2)

2015

8. Do markup dynamics reflect fundamentals or changes in conduct?
   Empirical Economics, 2015, 48, (3), 1119-1147
   See also Working Paper Do markup dynamics reflect fundamentals or changes in conduct?, Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers (2009) View citations (1) (2009)
9. How much income is used for debt payments? A new database for debt service ratios
   BIS Quarterly Review, 2015 View citations (41)

2014

10. Evaluating early warning indicators of banking crises: Satisfying policy requirements
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2014, 30, (3), 759-780 View citations (222)

2013

11. Equilibrium Unemployment with Capital Investments under Labour Market Imperfections
    Finnish Economic Papers, 2013, 26, (2), 72-94

2012

12. Do debt service costs affect macroeconomic and financial stability?
    BIS Quarterly Review, 2012 View citations (117)
13. Tests for cointegration rank and the initial condition
    Empirical Economics, 2012, 42, (3), 667-691
    See also Working Paper Tests for Cointegration Rank and the Initial Condition, Working Papers (2009) (2009)

2011

14. Testing Steady‐State Restrictions of Linear Rational Expectations Models when Data are Highly Persistent
    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2011, 73, (3), 315-334 View citations (3)
15. The Relevant Market for Production and Wholesale of Electricity in the Nordic Countries: An Econometric Study
    Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2011, 113, (1), 167-189 View citations (7)

2008

16. Long-run relationships between labor and capital: Indirect evidence on the elasticity of substitution
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2008, 30, (2), 739-756 View citations (11)
17. Testing the New Keynesian Model on U.S. and Euro Area Data
    Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), 2008, 2, 1-26 View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper Testing the New Keynesian Model on U.S. and Euro Area Data, Economics Discussion Papers (2008) View citations (7) (2008)

Chapters

2019

1. Monetary Policy in the Grip of a Pincer Movement
   Chapter 10 in Monetary Policy and Financial Stability: Transmission Mechanisms and Policy Implications, 2019, vol. 26, pp 311-356 View citations (5)
   See also Working Paper Monetary policy in the grip of a pincer movement, Bank for International Settlements (2018) View citations (14) (2018)