Details about Ronald Demos Lee

Access statistics for papers by Ronald Demos Lee.

Last updated 2009-09-14. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: ple147

Working Papers

2009

1. Welfare and Generational Equity in Sustainable Unfunded Pension Systems
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations

2008

2. The Evolutionary Theory of Time Preferences and Intergenerational Transfers
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations

2006

3. Charting the Economic Life Cycle
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
4. Notional Defined Contribution Pension Systems in a Stochastic Context: Design and Stability
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
   See also Chapter (2006)
5. Population Aging and Intergenerational Transfers: Introducing Age into National Accounts
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations

2004

6. Random Scenario Forecasts Versus Stochastic Forecasts
   Working Papers, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center
7. Stochastic Infinite Horizon Forecasts for Social Security and Related Studies
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
8. Who Wins and Who Loses? Public Transfer Accounts for US Generations Born 1850 to 2090
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

2003

9. Key Equations in the Tuljapurkar-Lee Model of the Social Security System
   Working Papers, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center View citations
10. Stochastic Forecasts of the Social Security Trust Fund
    Working Papers, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center View citations

2001

11. Chances are...Stochastic Forecasts of the Social Security Trust Fund and Attempts to Save It
    Working Papers, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center

2000

12. From Transfers to Individual Responsibility: Implications for Savings and Capital Accumulation in Taiwan and the United States
    Arbetsrapport, Institute for Futures Studies View citations
13. Mortality Decline, Fertility, Saving and Human Capital
    Departmental Working Papers, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics

1998

14. Saving, Wealth, and Population
    Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics View citations

Undated

15. A CrossCultural Perspective on Intergenerational Transfers and the Economic Life Cycle
    Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Demography of Aging
16. Death and Taxes: How Longer Life Will Affect Social Security
    Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Demography of Aging View citations
17. History of Demography in the U.S. Since 1945
    Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Demography of Aging
18. Overlapping Generations Models with Realistic Demography: Statics and Dynamics
    Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Demography of Aging

Journal Articles

2004

1. An optimal choice problem for uniform random variables seen simultaneously or sequentially with availability depending on the observation
   Statistics & Probability Letters, 2004, 66, (1), 1-8

2003

2. Overlapping generations models with realistic demography
   Journal of Population Economics, 2003, 16, (1), 135-160 View citations
3. Rising longevity, education, savings, and growth
   Journal of Development Economics, 2003, 70, (1), 83-101 View citations
4. Saving, Wealth and the Transition from Transfers to Individual Responsibility: The Cases of Taiwan and the United States
   Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2003, 105, (3), 339-358 View citations
5. The Demographic Transition: Three Centuries of Fundamental Change
   Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2003, 17, (4), 167-190 View citations

2002

6. Children's Economic Roles in the Maya Family Life Cycle: Cain, Caldwell, and Chayanov Revisited
   Population and Development Review, 2002, 28, (3), 475-499
7. Malthus in state space: Macro economic-demographic relations in English history, 1540 to 1870
   Journal of Population Economics, 2002, 15, (2), 195-220 View citations

2001

8. Mortality decline and long-run economic growth
   Journal of Public Economics, 2001, 80, (3), 485-507 View citations
9. The fiscal impact of population change
   Conference Series ; [Proceedings], 2001 View citations

2000

10. Immigration, Social Security, and Broader Fiscal Impacts
    American Economic Review, 2000, 90, (2), 350-354 View citations
11. Long-Term Population Projections and the US Social Security System
    Population and Development Review, 2000, 26, (1), 137-143 View citations

1999

12. Will Aging Baby Boomers Bust the Federal Budget?
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1999, 13, (1), 117-140 View citations

1998

13. Uncertain Demographic Futures and Social Security Finances
    American Economic Review, 1998, 88, (2), 237-41 View citations

1997

14. Corrigendum Famine, revolte, and the dynastic cycle Population dynamics in historic China
    Journal of Population Economics, 1997, 10, (2), 235-236

1996

15. Moral money? LETS and the social construction of local economic geographies in Southeast England
    Environment and Planning A, 1996, 28, (8), 1377-1394

1995

16. Look after the pounds and the people will look after themselves: social reproduction, regulation, and social exclusion in western Europe
    Environment and Planning A, 1995, 27, (10), 1577-1594

1994

17. Famine, Revolt, and the Dynastic Cycle: Population Dynamics in Historic China
    Journal of Population Economics, 1994, 7, (4), 351-78

1993

18. Accidental and Systematic Change in Population History: Homeostasis in a Stochastic Setting
    Explorations in Economic History, 1993, 30, (1), 1-30 View citations
19. Modeling and forecasting the time series of US fertility: Age distribution, range, and ultimate level
    International Journal of Forecasting, 1993, 9, (2), 187-202 View citations

1992

20. Modeling and forecasting US sex differentials in mortality
    International Journal of Forecasting, 1992, 8, (3), 393-411 View citations
21. Stochastic demographic forecasting
    International Journal of Forecasting, 1992, 8, (3), 315-327 View citations

1988

22. Intergenerational Flows of Time and Goods: Consequences of Slowing Population Growth
    Journal of Political Economy, 1988, 96, (3), 618-51 View citations

1976

23. A dynamic feedback approach to modelling spatial population density
    Environment and Planning A, 1976, 8, (7), 753-766

1974

24. A Markovian entropy-maximizing model of population distribution
    Environment and Planning A, 1974, 6, (6), 693-702

1973

25. Population in Preindustrial England: An Econometric Analysis
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1973, 87, (4), 581-607

Chapters

2008

1. The Demographic Transition and Economic Growth in the Pacific Rim
   A chapter in The Economic Consequences of Demographic Change in East Asia, NBER-EASE Volume 19, 2008

2006

2. Notional Defined Contribution Pension Systems in a Stochastic Context: Design and Stability
   A chapter in Social Security Policy in a Changing Environment, 2006 View citations
   See also Working Paper (2006)

2002

3. The Fiscal Effects of Population Aging in the U.S.: Assessing the Uncertainties
   A chapter in Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 16, 2002, pp 141-180 View citations

1998

4. Stochastic Forecasts for Social Security
   A chapter in Frontiers in the Economics of Aging, 1998, pp 393-428 View citations

1993

5. Population dynamics: Equilibrium, disequilibrium, and consequences of fluctuations
   Chapter 19 in Handbook of Population and Family Economics, 1993, vol. 1, Part B, pp 1063-1115 View citations

1980

6. A Historical Perspective on Economic Aspects of the Population Explosion: The Case of Preindustrial England
   A chapter in Population and Economic Change in Developing Countries, 1980, pp 517-566 View citations