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Details about Ronald Demos Lee

Homepage:http://ceda.berkeley.edu/peoplenew/rlee.html
Workplace:Center on the Economics and Demography of Aging (CEDA), University of California-Berkeley, (more information at EDIRC)
Department of Economics, University of California-Berkeley, (more information at EDIRC)
Department of Demography

Access statistics for papers by Ronald Demos Lee.

Last updated 2017-03-31. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: ple147


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Working Papers

2017

  1. How the Growing Gap in Life Expectancy May Affect Retirement Benefits and Reforms
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads

2016

  1. Macroeconomics, Aging and Growth
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads

2014

  1. Is low fertility really a problem? Population aging, dependency, and consumption
    Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL View citations (5)

2013

  1. Propagation and Smoothing of Shocks in Alternative Social Security Systems
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads

2012

  1. Macroeconomic Implications of Demographic Changes: A Global Perspective
    IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan Downloads
  2. Vieillisement de la population et économie générationnelle: principales conclusions
    Documentos de Proyectos, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL) Downloads

2011

  1. El envejecimiento de la población y la economía generacional: resultados principales
    Documentos de Proyectos, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL) Downloads

2010

  1. O envelhecimento da população e a economia geracional: principais resultados
    Documentos de Proyectos, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL) Downloads

2009

  1. Welfare and Generational Equity in Sustainable Unfunded Pension Systems
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Public Economics (2011)

2008

  1. The Evolutionary Theory of Time Preferences and Intergenerational Transfers
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization (2010)

2007

  1. Notional Defined Contribution Pension Systems in a Stochastic Context: Design and Stability
    Berkeley Olin Program in Law & Economics, Working Paper Series, Berkeley Olin Program in Law & Economics Downloads
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) Downloads View citations (11)

    See also Chapter (2009)

2006

  1. Charting the Economic Life Cycle
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (16)
  2. Population Aging and Intergenerational Transfers: Introducing Age into National Accounts
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (29)
    See also Chapter (2009)

2004

  1. Random Scenario Forecasts Versus Stochastic Forecasts
    Working Papers, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Stochastic Infinite Horizon Forecasts for Social Security and Related Studies
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Who Wins and Who Loses? Public Transfer Accounts for US Generations Born 1850 to 2090
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Population and Development Review (2010)

2003

  1. Key Equations in the Tuljapurkar-Lee Model of the Social Security System
    Working Papers, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Stochastic Forecasts of the Social Security Trust Fund
    Working Papers, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center Downloads View citations (11)

2001

  1. Chances are...Stochastic Forecasts of the Social Security Trust Fund and Attempts to Save It
    Working Papers, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center Downloads

2000

  1. From Transfers to Individual Responsibility: Implications for Savings and Capital Accumulation in Taiwan and the United States
    Arbetsrapport, Institute for Futures Studies Downloads View citations (8)
  2. Mortality Decline, Fertility, Saving and Human Capital
    Departmental Working Papers, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics

1998

  1. Saving, Wealth, and Population
    Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics View citations (44)

Undated

  1. A CrossCultural Perspective on Intergenerational Transfers and the Economic Life Cycle
    Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Demography of Aging View citations (1)
  2. Death and Taxes: How Longer Life Will Affect Social Security
    Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Demography of Aging View citations (2)
  3. History of Demography in the U.S. Since 1945
    Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Demography of Aging
  4. Overlapping Generations Models with Realistic Demography: Statics and Dynamics
    Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Demography of Aging

Journal Articles

2016

  1. Conséquences macroéconomiques du vieillissement de la population
    Revue d'économie financière, 2016, n° 122, (2), 83-102 Downloads

2015

  1. Becker and the Demographic Transition
    JODE - Journal of Demographic Economics, 2015, 81, (1), 67-74 Downloads View citations (1)

2014

  1. Macroeconomic Consequences of Population Aging in the United States: Overview of a National Academy Report
    American Economic Review, 2014, 104, (5), 234-39 Downloads View citations (3)

2013

  1. Extending the Lee-Carter Method to Model the Rotation of Age Patterns of Mortality Decline for Long-Term Projections
    Demography, 2013, 50, (6), 2037-2051 Downloads View citations (5)
  2. Intergenerational Transfers, the Biological Life Cycle, and Human Society
    Population and Development Review, 2013, 38, 23-35 Downloads

2011

  1. Fiscal Externalities of Becoming a Parent
    Population and Development Review, 2011, 37, (2), 241-266 View citations (1)
  2. Generational Economics in a Changing World
    Population and Development Review, 2011, 37, (Supplement 1), 115-142 View citations (4)
  3. Introduction: The Landscape of Demographic Transition and Its Aftermath
    Population and Development Review, 2011, 37, (Supplement 1), 1-7 View citations (3)
  4. Welfare and generational equity in sustainable unfunded pension systems
    Journal of Public Economics, 2011, 95, (1), 16-27 Downloads View citations (13)
    Also in Journal of Public Economics, 2011, 95, (1-2), 16-27 (2011) Downloads View citations (14)

    See also Working Paper (2009)

2010

  1. El envejecimiento de la población, las transferencias intergeneracionales y el crecimiento económico: América Latina en el contexto mundial
    Notas de Población, 2010 Downloads
  2. Nuevos enfoques sobre las cuentas nacionales de transferencias para la política fiscal, los programas sociales y las transferencias familiares de los países
    Notas de Población, 2010 Downloads
  3. Some macroeconomic aspects of global population aging
    Demography, 2010, 47, (1), S151-S172 Downloads View citations (14)
  4. The evolutionary theory of time preferences and intergenerational transfers
    Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2010, 76, (3), 451-464 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2008)
  5. Who Wins and Who Loses? Public Transfer Accounts for US Generations Born 1850 to 2090
    Population and Development Review, 2010, 36, (1), 1-26 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2004)

2005

  1. Coherent mortality forecasts for a group of populations: An extension of the lee-carter method
    Demography, 2005, 42, (3), 575-594 Downloads View citations (53)
  2. Stochastic Infinite Horizon Forecasts for US Social Security Finances
    National Institute Economic Review, 2005, 194, (1), 82-93 Downloads View citations (2)

2003

  1. Overlapping generations models with realistic demography
    Journal of Population Economics, 2003, 16, (1), 135-160 Downloads View citations (49)
  2. Rising longevity, education, savings, and growth
    Journal of Development Economics, 2003, 70, (1), 83-101 Downloads View citations (89)
  3. Saving, Wealth and the Transition from Transfers to Individual Responsibility: The Cases of Taiwan and the United States
    Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2003, 105, (3), 339-358 Downloads View citations (16)
  4. Sustainable Social Security: What Would It Cost?
    National Tax Journal, 2003, 56, (1), 27-43 Downloads View citations (6)
  5. The Demographic Transition: Three Centuries of Fundamental Change
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2003, 17, (4), 167-190 Downloads View citations (161)

2002

  1. Children's Economic Roles in the Maya Family Life Cycle: Cain, Caldwell, and Chayanov Revisited
    Population and Development Review, 2002, 28, (3), 475-499 Downloads
  2. Malthus in state space: Macro economic-demographic relations in English history, 1540 to 1870
    Journal of Population Economics, 2002, 15, (2), 195-220 Downloads View citations (47)

2001

  1. Evaluating the performance of the lee-carter method for forecasting mortality
    Demography, 2001, 38, (4), 537-549 Downloads View citations (47)
  2. Mortality decline and long-run economic growth
    Journal of Public Economics, 2001, 80, (3), 485-507 Downloads View citations (103)
  3. The fiscal impact of population change
    Conference Series ; [Proceedings], 2001, 46 Downloads View citations (18)

2000

  1. Immigration, Social Security, and Broader Fiscal Impacts
    American Economic Review, 2000, 90, (2), 350-354 Downloads View citations (30)
  2. Long-Term Population Projections and the US Social Security System
    Population and Development Review, 2000, 26, (1), 137-143 Downloads View citations (3)

1999

  1. Will Aging Baby Boomers Bust the Federal Budget?
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1999, 13, (1), 117-140 Downloads View citations (27)

1998

  1. Uncertain Demographic Futures and Social Security Finances
    American Economic Review, 1998, 88, (2), 237-41 Downloads View citations (23)

1997

  1. Corrigendum Famine, revolte, and the dynastic cycle Population dynamics in historic China
    Journal of Population Economics, 1997, 10, (2), 235-236 Downloads
  2. Death and Taxes: Longer life, consumption, and social security
    Demography, 1997, 34, (1), 67-81 Downloads View citations (16)

1995

  1. Una Perspectiva Transcu/tural de las Transferencias lntergeneracionales
    Notas de Población, 1995 Downloads

1994

  1. Famine, Revolt, and the Dynastic Cycle: Population Dynamics in Historic China
    Journal of Population Economics, 1994, 7, (4), 351-78 View citations (3)
  2. Fertility Decline in Prussia: Estimating Influences on Supply, Demand, and Degree of Control
    Demography, 1994, 31, (2), 347-373 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Modelación y proyección de la mortalidad en Chile
    Notas de Población, 1994 Downloads View citations (3)
  4. Population Age Structure, Intergenerational Transfer, and Wealth: A New Approach, with Applications to the United States
    Journal of Human Resources, 1994, 29, (4) Downloads View citations (8)

1993

  1. Accidental and Systematic Change in Population History: Homeostasis in a Stochastic Setting
    Explorations in Economic History, 1993, 30, (1), 1-30 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Modeling and forecasting the time series of US fertility: Age distribution, range, and ultimate level
    International Journal of Forecasting, 1993, 9, (2), 187-202 Downloads View citations (24)

1992

  1. Modeling and forecasting US sex differentials in mortality
    International Journal of Forecasting, 1992, 8, (3), 393-411 Downloads View citations (177)
  2. Stochastic demographic forecasting
    International Journal of Forecasting, 1992, 8, (3), 315-327 Downloads View citations (10)

1989

  1. U.S. births and limit cycle Models
    Demography, 1989, 26, (1), 99-115 Downloads View citations (1)

1988

  1. Intergenerational Flows of Time and Goods: Consequences of Slowing Population Growth
    Journal of Political Economy, 1988, 96, (3), 618-51 Downloads View citations (6)

1987

  1. Population dynamics of humans and other animals
    Demography, 1987, 24, (4), 443-465 Downloads View citations (19)

1980

  1. Age Structure, Intergenerational Transfers and Economic Growth: an Overview
    Revue Économique, 1980, 31, (6), 1129-1156 Downloads View citations (17)

1977

  1. Target Fertility, Contraception, And Aggregate Rates: Toward A Formal Synthesis
    Demography, 1977, 14, (4), 455-479 Downloads

1974

  1. The formal dynamics of controlled populations and the echo, the boom and the bust
    Demography, 1974, 11, (4), 563-585 Downloads View citations (9)

1973

  1. Population in Preindustrial England: An Econometric Analysis
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1973, 87, (4), 581-607 Downloads View citations (13)

Edited books

2011

  1. Population Aging and the Generational Economy
    Books, Edward Elgar Publishing Downloads View citations (22)

2008

  1. Demographic Change and Fiscal Policy
    Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press View citations (1)

2001

  1. Demographic Change and Fiscal Policy
    Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press View citations (2)

Chapters

2014

  1. National Transfer Accounts and intergenerational transfers
    Chapter 12 in International Handbook on Ageing and Public Policy, 2014, pp 153-164 Downloads View citations (1)

2011

  1. Introducing age into national accounts
    Chapter 3 in Population Aging and the Generational Economy, 2011 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Lifecycles, support systems, and generational flows: patterns and change
    Chapter 4 in Population Aging and the Generational Economy, 2011 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Population aging and the generational economy: key findings
    Chapter 1 in Population Aging and the Generational Economy, 2011 Downloads View citations (24)
  4. Private transfers in comparative perspective
    Chapter 8 in Population Aging and the Generational Economy, 2011 Downloads View citations (1)
  5. The changing shape of the economic lifecycle in the United States, 1960 to 2003
    Chapter 15 in Population Aging and the Generational Economy, 2011 Downloads
  6. Theorectical aspects of National Transfer Accounts
    Chapter 2 in Population Aging and the Generational Economy, 2011 Downloads

2010

  1. Comment on "Long-Term Effects of Early-Life Development: Evidence from the 1959-1961 China Famine"
    A chapter in The Economic Consequences of Demographic Change in East Asia, NBER-EASE Volume 19, 2010, pp 345-348 Downloads
  2. The Demographic Transition and Economic Growth in the Pacific Rim
    A chapter in The Economic Consequences of Demographic Change in East Asia, NBER-EASE Volume 19, 2010, pp 19-55 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Will Demographic Change Undermine Asia’s Growth Prospects?
    Chapter 3 in Asian Regionalism in the World Economy, 2010 Downloads

2009

  1. Notional Defined Contribution Pension Systems in a Stochastic Context: Design and Stability
    A chapter in Social Security Policy in a Changing Environment, 2009, pp 43-68 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2007)
  2. Population Aging and Intergenerational Transfers: Introducing Age into National Accounts
    A chapter in Developments in the Economics of Aging, 2009, pp 89-122 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2006)

2007

  1. Transfers, Capital and Consumption Over the Demographic Transition
    Chapter 6 in Population Aging, Intergenerational Transfers and the Macroeconomy, 2007 Downloads View citations (5)

2002

  1. The Fiscal Effects of Population Aging in the U.S.: Assessing the Uncertainties
    A chapter in Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 16, 2002, pp 141-180 Downloads View citations (7)

1998

  1. Stochastic Forecasts for Social Security
    A chapter in Frontiers in the Economics of Aging, 1998, pp 393-428 Downloads View citations (13)

1993

  1. Population dynamics: Equilibrium, disequilibrium, and consequences of fluctuations
    Chapter 19 in Handbook of Population and Family Economics, 1993, vol. 1, Part B, pp 1063-1115 Downloads View citations (1)

1980

  1. A Historical Perspective on Economic Aspects of the Population Explosion: The Case of Preindustrial England
    A chapter in Population and Economic Change in Developing Countries, 1980, pp 517-566 Downloads View citations (8)
 
Page updated 2017-08-18