Details about Ronald Demos Lee

Access statistics for papers by Ronald Demos Lee.

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Short-id: ple147

Working Papers

2012

1. Macroeconomic Implications of Demographic Changes: A Global Perspective
   IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan

2009

2. Welfare and Generational Equity in Sustainable Unfunded Pension Systems
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)
   See also Journal Article in Journal of Public Economics (2011)

2008

3. The Evolutionary Theory of Time Preferences and Intergenerational Transfers
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization (2010)

2007

4. Notional Defined Contribution Pension Systems in a Stochastic Context: Design and Stability
   Berkeley Olin Program in Law & Economics, Working Paper Series, Berkeley Olin Program in Law & Economics
   Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (2)
   See also Chapter (2009)

2006

5. Charting the Economic Life Cycle
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (10)
6. Population Aging and Intergenerational Transfers: Introducing Age into National Accounts
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (17)
   See also Chapter (2009)

2004

7. Random Scenario Forecasts Versus Stochastic Forecasts
   Working Papers, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center View citations (2)
8. Stochastic Infinite Horizon Forecasts for Social Security and Related Studies
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (3)
9. Who Wins and Who Loses? Public Transfer Accounts for US Generations Born 1850 to 2090
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)
   See also Journal Article in Population and Development Review (2010)

2003

10. Key Equations in the Tuljapurkar-Lee Model of the Social Security System
    Working Papers, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center View citations (1)
11. Stochastic Forecasts of the Social Security Trust Fund
    Working Papers, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center View citations (12)

2001

12. Chances are...Stochastic Forecasts of the Social Security Trust Fund and Attempts to Save It
    Working Papers, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center

2000

13. From Transfers to Individual Responsibility: Implications for Savings and Capital Accumulation in Taiwan and the United States
    Arbetsrapport, Institute for Futures Studies View citations (8)
14. Mortality Decline, Fertility, Saving and Human Capital
    Departmental Working Papers, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics

1998

15. Saving, Wealth, and Population
    Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics View citations (36)

Undated

16. A CrossCultural Perspective on Intergenerational Transfers and the Economic Life Cycle
    Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Demography of Aging View citations (1)
17. Death and Taxes: How Longer Life Will Affect Social Security
    Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Demography of Aging View citations (1)
18. History of Demography in the U.S. Since 1945
    Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Demography of Aging
19. Overlapping Generations Models with Realistic Demography: Statics and Dynamics
    Working Papers, University of California at Berkeley, Demography of Aging

Journal Articles

2011

1. Fiscal Externalities of Becoming a Parent
   Population and Development Review, 2011, 37, (2), 241-266
2. Generational Economics in a Changing World
   Population and Development Review, 2011, 37, (Supplement 1), 115-142 View citations (1)
3. Introduction: The Landscape of Demographic Transition and Its Aftermath
   Population and Development Review, 2011, 37, (Supplement 1), 1-7
4. Welfare and generational equity in sustainable unfunded pension systems
   Journal of Public Economics, 2011, 95, (1), 16-27
   Also in Journal of Public Economics, 2011, 95, (1-2), 16-27 (2011)
   See also Working Paper (2009)

2010

5. Some macroeconomic aspects of global population aging
   Demography, 2010, 47, (1), S151-S172 View citations (1)
6. The evolutionary theory of time preferences and intergenerational transfers
   Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2010, 76, (3), 451-464
   See also Working Paper (2008)
7. Who Wins and Who Loses? Public Transfer Accounts for US Generations Born 1850 to 2090
   Population and Development Review, 2010, 36, (1), 1-26 View citations (2)
   See also Working Paper (2004)

2005

8. Coherent mortality forecasts for a group of populations: An extension of the lee-carter method
   Demography, 2005, 42, (3), 575-594 View citations (3)
9. Stochastic Infinite Horizon Forecasts for US Social Security Finances
   National Institute Economic Review, 2005, 194, (1), 82-93

2003

10. Overlapping generations models with realistic demography
    Journal of Population Economics, 2003, 16, (1), 135-160 View citations (21)
11. Rising longevity, education, savings, and growth
    Journal of Development Economics, 2003, 70, (1), 83-101 View citations (49)
12. Saving, Wealth and the Transition from Transfers to Individual Responsibility: The Cases of Taiwan and the United States
    Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2003, 105, (3), 339-358 View citations (7)
13. The Demographic Transition: Three Centuries of Fundamental Change
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2003, 17, (4), 167-190 View citations (77)

2002

14. Children's Economic Roles in the Maya Family Life Cycle: Cain, Caldwell, and Chayanov Revisited
    Population and Development Review, 2002, 28, (3), 475-499
15. Malthus in state space: Macro economic-demographic relations in English history, 1540 to 1870
    Journal of Population Economics, 2002, 15, (2), 195-220 View citations (25)

2001

16. Evaluating the performance of the lee-carter method for forecasting mortality
    Demography, 2001, 38, (4), 537-549 View citations (6)
17. Mortality decline and long-run economic growth
    Journal of Public Economics, 2001, 80, (3), 485-507 View citations (63)
18. The fiscal impact of population change
    Conference Series ; [Proceedings], 2001 View citations (15)

2000

19. Immigration, Social Security, and Broader Fiscal Impacts
    American Economic Review, 2000, 90, (2), 350-354 View citations (15)
20. Long-Term Population Projections and the US Social Security System
    Population and Development Review, 2000, 26, (1), 137-143 View citations (3)

1999

21. Will Aging Baby Boomers Bust the Federal Budget?
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1999, 13, (1), 117-140 View citations (19)

1998

22. Uncertain Demographic Futures and Social Security Finances
    American Economic Review, 1998, 88, (2), 237-41 View citations (19)

1997

23. Corrigendum Famine, revolte, and the dynastic cycle Population dynamics in historic China
    Journal of Population Economics, 1997, 10, (2), 235-236
24. Death and Taxes: Longer life, consumption, and social security
    Demography, 1997, 34, (1), 67-81 View citations (6)

1994

25. Famine, Revolt, and the Dynastic Cycle: Population Dynamics in Historic China
    Journal of Population Economics, 1994, 7, (4), 351-78
26. Fertility Decline in Prussia: Estimating Influences on Supply, Demand, and Degree of Control
    Demography, 1994, 31, (2), 347-373
27. Population Age Structure, Intergenerational Transfer, and Wealth: A New Approach, with Applications to the United States
    Journal of Human Resources, 1994, 29, (4) View citations (1)

1993

28. Accidental and Systematic Change in Population History: Homeostasis in a Stochastic Setting
    Explorations in Economic History, 1993, 30, (1), 1-30
29. Modeling and forecasting the time series of US fertility: Age distribution, range, and ultimate level
    International Journal of Forecasting, 1993, 9, (2), 187-202 View citations (14)

1992

30. Modeling and forecasting US sex differentials in mortality
    International Journal of Forecasting, 1992, 8, (3), 393-411 View citations (45)
31. Stochastic demographic forecasting
    International Journal of Forecasting, 1992, 8, (3), 315-327 View citations (8)

1989

32. U.S. births and limit cycle Models
    Demography, 1989, 26, (1), 99-115 View citations (1)

1988

33. Intergenerational Flows of Time and Goods: Consequences of Slowing Population Growth
    Journal of Political Economy, 1988, 96, (3), 618-51 View citations (5)

1987

34. Population dynamics of humans and other animals
    Demography, 1987, 24, (4), 443-465 View citations (7)

1980

35. Age Structure, Intergenerational Transfers and Economic Growth: an Overview
    Revue Économique, 1980, 31, (6), 1129-1156 View citations (5)

1977

36. Target Fertility, Contraception, And Aggregate Rates: Toward A Formal Synthesis
    Demography, 1977, 14, (4), 455-479

1974

37. The formal dynamics of controlled populations and the echo, the boom and the bust
    Demography, 1974, 11, (4), 563-585 View citations (2)

1973

38. Population in Preindustrial England: An Econometric Analysis
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1973, 87, (4), 581-607 View citations (6)

Edited books

2008

1. Demographic Change and Fiscal Policy
   Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press

Chapters

2010

1. Comment on "Long-Term Effects of Early-Life Development: Evidence from the 1959-1961 China Famine"
   A chapter in The Economic Consequences of Demographic Change in East Asia, NBER-EASE Volume 19, 2010, pp 345-348
2. The Demographic Transition and Economic Growth in the Pacific Rim
   A chapter in The Economic Consequences of Demographic Change in East Asia, NBER-EASE Volume 19, 2010, pp 19-55 View citations (1)

2009

3. Notional Defined Contribution Pension Systems in a Stochastic Context: Design and Stability
   A chapter in Social Security Policy in a Changing Environment, 2009, pp 43-68 View citations (4)
   See also Working Paper (2007)
4. Population Aging and Intergenerational Transfers: Introducing Age into National Accounts
   A chapter in Developments in the Economics of Aging, 2009, pp 89-122 View citations (3)
   See also Working Paper (2006)

2002

5. The Fiscal Effects of Population Aging in the U.S.: Assessing the Uncertainties
   A chapter in Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 16, 2002, pp 141-180 View citations (4)

1998

6. Stochastic Forecasts for Social Security
   A chapter in Frontiers in the Economics of Aging, 1998, pp 393-428 View citations (10)

1993

7. Population dynamics: Equilibrium, disequilibrium, and consequences of fluctuations
   Chapter 19 in Handbook of Population and Family Economics, 1993, vol. 1, Part B, pp 1063-1115 View citations (1)

1980

8. A Historical Perspective on Economic Aspects of the Population Explosion: The Case of Preindustrial England
   A chapter in Population and Economic Change in Developing Countries, 1980, pp 517-566 View citations (8)