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Details about Athanasios Orphanides

E-mail:
Homepage:http://www.athanasiosorphanides.com
Phone:+1 (617) 324-4051
Postal address:MIT Sloan School of Management 100 Main Street, E62-481 Cambridge, MA 02142 USA
Workplace:Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), (more information at EDIRC)
Center for Financial Studies, (more information at EDIRC)
Research Center SAFE (Sustainable Architecture for Finance in Europe), House of Finance, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main (Goethe University Frankfurt), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Athanasios Orphanides.

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Working Papers

2014

  1. What Happened in Cyprus? The Economic Consequences of the Last Communist Government in Europe
    IMFS Working Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), Goethe University Frankfurt Downloads

2013

  1. Is monetary policy overburdened?
    IMFS Working Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), Goethe University Frankfurt Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Public Policy Discussion Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston (2013) Downloads View citations (2)
    BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements (2013) Downloads View citations (2)

2012

  1. Complexity and Monetary Policy
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads
    Also in CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2012) Downloads View citations (1)
    IMFS Working Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), Goethe University Frankfurt (2012) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Central Banking (2013)

2011

  1. Monetary Policy Mistakes and the Evolution of Inflation Expectations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus (2010) Downloads View citations (1)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2010) Downloads
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2010) Downloads

    See also Chapter (2012)
  2. New Paradigms in Central Banking?
    Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus Downloads
    See also Chapter (2012)

2010

  1. Evolving macroeconomic perceptions and the term structure of interest rates
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2012)
  2. Monetary Policy Lessons from the Crisis
    Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2010) Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Η Σταθερότητα του Χρηματοπιστωτικού Τομέα: Προβληματισμοί και Συμπεράσματα από την Κρίση για την Ευρώπη
    Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus Downloads

2008

  1. Economic Projections and Rules-of-Thumb for Monetary Policy
    Discussion Papers, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research Downloads View citations (11)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2008) Downloads View citations (14)
    CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2008) Downloads View citations (8)

    See also Journal Article in Review (2008)
  2. Imperfect Central Bank Communication
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Imperfect Central Bank Communication: Information versus Distraction
    Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Uppsala University, Department of Economics (2008) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Central Banking (2011)
  4. Imperfect Knowledge And The Pitfalls Of Optimal Control Monetary Policy
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2008) Downloads
    Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus (2008) Downloads

    See also Chapter (2009)
  5. LEARNING, EXPECTATIONS FORMATION, AND THE PITFALLS OF OPTIMAL CONTROL MONETARY POLICY
    CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2008) Downloads View citations (6)
    Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus (2008) Downloads View citations (7)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2008)
  6. Uncertainty and disagreement in economic forecasting
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (5)

2007

  1. Robust monetary policy with imperfect knowledge
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (42)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2007) Downloads View citations (42)
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics (2005) View citations (8)
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2007) Downloads View citations (42)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2007)
  2. Taylor rules
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (8)

2006

  1. Inflation Targeting Under Imperfect Knowledge
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics (2006) View citations (8)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) Downloads View citations (21)
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2006) Downloads View citations (9)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2006) Downloads View citations (11)

    See also Chapter (2007)
    Journal Article in Economic Review (2007)
  2. The road to price stability
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2006)

2005

  1. A quantitative exploration of the opportunistic approach to disinflation
    CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) Downloads View citations (7)
    Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1997) Downloads View citations (15)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2003) Downloads View citations (10)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2006)
  2. Inflation Scares and Forecast-Based Monetary Policy
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (48)
    Also in Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2003) Downloads View citations (22)
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2003) Downloads View citations (12)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2003) Downloads View citations (7)

    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Dynamics (2005)
  3. Monetary policy with imperfect knowledge
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 2001, Society for Computational Economics (2001) View citations (4)
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2005) Downloads View citations (11)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of the European Economic Association (2006)
  4. Term Structure Estimation with Survey Data on Interest Rate Forecasts
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (39)
    Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics (2005) View citations (40)
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2005) Downloads View citations (38)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis (2012)
  5. The Decline of Activist Stabilization Policy: Natural Rate Misperceptions, Learning and Expectations
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (59)
    Also in International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2004) Downloads View citations (1)
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics (2004) Downloads View citations (8)
    CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2004) Downloads View citations (1)
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2004) Downloads View citations (11)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2003) Downloads View citations (4)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2005)
  6. The Reform of October 1979: How it Happened and Why
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (10)
    Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2005) Downloads View citations (7)
    CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2004) Downloads
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2004) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Review (2013)
  7. The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (81)
    Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2004) Downloads View citations (7)
    CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO (2003) Downloads View citations (21)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2005)

2004

  1. Monetary policy in deflation: the liquidity trap in history and practice
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (22)
    See also Journal Article in The North American Journal of Economics and Finance (2004)
  2. The Macroeconomic Consequences of Terrorism
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich Downloads View citations (52)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2004)

2003

  1. Historical monetary policy analysis and the Taylor rule
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (169)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2003)
  2. Imperfect Knowledge, Inflation Expectations, and Monetary Policy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (102)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2002) Downloads View citations (9)
    CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2003) Downloads View citations (29)
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2002) Downloads View citations (29)

    See also Chapter (2004)
  3. Inflation Scares and Monetary Policy
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics
  4. Price Stability and Monetary Policy Effectiveness when Nominal Interest Rates are Bounded at Zero
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2003) Downloads View citations (8)
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2003) Downloads View citations (43)
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1998) Downloads View citations (77)

    See also Journal Article in The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics (2004)
  5. Robust monetary policy rules with unknown natural rates
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (69)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2002) Downloads View citations (61)

    See also Journal Article in Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (2002)

2002

  1. Activist stabilization policy and inflation: The Taylor rule in the 1970s
    CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) Downloads
    Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2000) Downloads View citations (24)
  2. Monetary policy rules and the Great Inflation
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (96)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2002)

2001

  1. Monetary policy rules, macroeconomic stability and inflation: a view from the trenches
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (47)
    Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2001) Downloads View citations (26)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2004)
  2. The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gaps in Real Time
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2001, Society for Computational Economics View citations (10)
  3. The Unreliability of Output Gap Estimates in Real Time
    CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO Downloads View citations (24)
    Also in Macroeconomics, EconWPA (1999) Downloads View citations (57)
    Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers, Econometric Society (2000) Downloads
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1999) Downloads View citations (53)

    See also Journal Article in The Review of Economics and Statistics (2002)

2000

  1. Monetary policy when the nominal short-term interest rate is zero
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (22)
    See also Journal Article in The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics (2003)
  2. The quest for prosperity without inflation
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (55)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) (1999) Downloads View citations (65)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2003)

1999

  1. Efficient monetary policy design near price stability
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of the Japanese and International Economies (2000)
  2. Errors in the measurement of the output gap and the design of monetary policy
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economics and Business (2000)
  3. Inflation zone targeting
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in European Economic Review (2000)
  4. Optimal discretion
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Scandinavian Journal of Economics (2002)
  5. War and Democracy
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Political Economy (2001)

1998

  1. Monetary policy evaluation with noisy information
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (101)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2003)
  2. Monetary policy rules based on real-time data
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (75)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2001)
  3. P* revisited: money-based inflation forecasts with a changing equilibrium velocity
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economics and Business (2000)

1997

  1. An investigation into the magnitude of foreign conflicts
    Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City View citations (1)
  2. Earnings forecasts and the predictability of stock returns: evidence from trading the S&P
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (16)

1996

  1. Compensation incentives and risk taking behavior: evidence from mutual funds
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Inflation, volatility and growth
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (20)
    See also Journal Article in International Finance (1999)
  3. The opportunistic approach to disinflation
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (37)
    See also Journal Article in International Finance (2002)

1994

  1. Estimating the interest rate sensitivity of liquid retail deposit values
    Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
    Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1994) View citations (5)
  2. Leverage as a State Variable for Employment, Inventory Accumulation, andFixed Investment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1994) View citations (15)
  3. Optimal reform postponement
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (1996)
  4. Taxation and intergenerational transfers with family size heterogeneity: do parents with more children prefer higher taxes?
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (1996)

1993

  1. Optimal consumption dynamics with non-concave habit forming utility
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (1994)
  2. The empirical properties of a monetary aggregates that adds bond and stock funds to M2
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Proceedings (1994)

1992

  1. Labor hoarding when unemployment is a worker discipline device
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
    See also Journal Article in Scandinavian Journal of Economics (1993)
  2. Rational addiction with learning and regret
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Political Economy (1995)
  3. The timing of stabilizations
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (1996)

Journal Articles

2013

  1. Complexity and Monetary Policy
    International Journal of Central Banking, 2013, 9, (1), 167-204 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2012)
  2. The Reform of October 1979: How It Happened and Why
    Review, 2013, (Nov), 487-542 Downloads
    Also in Review, 2005, (Mar), 187-236 (2005) Downloads View citations (7)

    See also Working Paper (2005)

2012

  1. Commentary: the United States labor market: status quio pr a new normal?
    Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 2012, 453-462 Downloads
  2. Evolving macroeconomic perceptions and the term structure of interest rates
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2012, 36, (2), 239-254 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  3. Term Structure Estimation with Survey Data on Interest Rate Forecasts
    Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2012, 47, (01), 241-272 Downloads View citations (24)
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2011

  1. Imperfect Central Bank Communication: Information versus Distraction
    International Journal of Central Banking, 2011, 7, (2), 3-39 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2008)

2009

  1. Recent Policy Challenges through the Lens of Economic Forecasts
    Cyprus Economic Policy Review, 2009, 3, (2), 73-79 Downloads

2008

  1. Economic projections and rules of thumb for monetary policy
    Review, 2008, (Jul), 307-324 Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper (2008)
  2. Learning, expectations formation, and the pitfalls of optimal control monetary policy
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2008, 55, (Supplement 1), S80-S96 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2008)

2007

  1. Inflation targeting under imperfect knowledge
    Economic Review, 2007, 1-23 Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Chapter (2007)
    Working Paper (2006)
  2. Robust monetary policy with imperfect knowledge
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007, 54, (5), 1406-1435 Downloads View citations (47)
    See also Working Paper (2007)
  3. The bond market term premium: what is it, and how can we measure it?
    BIS Quarterly Review, 2007 Downloads View citations (7)

2006

  1. A quantitative exploration of the opportunistic approach to disinflation
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2006, 53, (8), 1877-1893 Downloads View citations (22)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  2. Monetary Policy with Imperfect Knowledge
    Journal of the European Economic Association, 2006, 4, (2-3), 366-375 Downloads View citations (24)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  3. The Road to Price Stability
    American Economic Review, 2006, 96, (2), 178-181 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2006)

2005

  1. Comment on: "The incredible Volcker disinflation"
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2005, 52, (5), 1017-1023 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Expectations, learning and monetary policy
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2005, 29, (11), 1807-1808 Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Inflation scares and forecast-based monetary policy
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2005, 8, (2), 498-527 Downloads View citations (47)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  4. Introduction
    Proceedings, 2005, 1-16
  5. Real-time data and monetary policy
    The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2005, 16, (3), 271-276 Downloads View citations (5)
  6. The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2005, 37, (3), 583-601 View citations (62)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  7. The decline of activist stabilization policy: Natural rate misperceptions, learning, and expectations
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2005, 29, (11), 1927-1950 Downloads View citations (37)
    Also in Proceedings, 2003 (2003) Downloads

    See also Working Paper (2005)

2004

  1. Erratum to "Monetary policy in deflation: the liquidity trap in history and practice" [North Am. J. Econ. Finance 15 (1) (2004) 101-124]
    The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2004, 15, (2), 265-265 Downloads
  2. Monetary Policy Rules, Macroeconomic Stability, and Inflation: A View from the Trenches
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2004, 36, (2), 151-75 View citations (90)
    See also Working Paper (2001)
  3. Monetary policy in deflation: the liquidity trap in history and practice
    The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2004, 15, (1), 101-124 Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  4. Price Stability and Monetary Policy Effectiveness when Nominal Interest Rates are Bounded at Zero
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2004, 4, (1), 1-25 Downloads View citations (31)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
  5. Summary of papers presented at the conference "models and monetary policy: research in the tradition of Dale Henderson, Richard Porter, and Peter Tinsley"
    Federal Reserve Bulletin, 2004, (Sum), 289-295 Downloads
  6. The macroeconomic consequences of terrorism
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2004, 51, (5), 1007-1032 Downloads View citations (54)
    See also Working Paper (2004)

2003

  1. Historical monetary policy analysis and the Taylor rule
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2003, 50, (5), 983-1022 Downloads View citations (171)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
  2. Monetary Policy When the Nominal Short-Term Interest Rate is Zero
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2003, 3, (1), 1-65 Downloads View citations (47)
    See also Working Paper (2000)
  3. Monetary policy evaluation with noisy information
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2003, 50, (3), 605-631 Downloads View citations (134)
    See also Working Paper (1998)
  4. The quest for prosperity without inflation
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2003, 50, (3), 633-663 Downloads View citations (175)
    See also Working Paper (2000)

2002

  1. Comment on the Conduct of Monetary Policy with a Shrinking Stock of Government Debt
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2002, 34, (3), 883-86 View citations (1)
  2. Monetary-Policy Rules and the Great Inflation
    American Economic Review, 2002, 92, (2), 115-120 Downloads View citations (104)
    See also Working Paper (2002)
  3. Optimal Discretion
    Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2002, 104, (2), 261-76 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (1999)
  4. Robust Monetary Policy Rules with Unknown Natural Rates
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2002, 33, (2), 63-146 Downloads View citations (131)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
  5. The Opportunistic Approach to Disinflation
    International Finance, 2002, 5, (1), 47-71 Downloads View citations (89)
    See also Working Paper (1996)
  6. The Unreliability of Output-Gap Estimates in Real Time
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2002, 84, (4), 569-583 Downloads View citations (269)
    See also Working Paper (2001)

2001

  1. Economic conditions, elections, and the magnitude of foreign conflicts
    Journal of Public Economics, 2001, 80, (1), 121-140 Downloads View citations (10)
  2. Expectations, open market operations, and changes in the federal funds rate (commentary)
    Review, 2001, (Jul), 33-58 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Monetary Policy Rules Based on Real-Time Data
    American Economic Review, 2001, 91, (4), 964-985 Downloads View citations (431)
    See also Working Paper (1998)
  4. War and Democracy
    Journal of Political Economy, 2001, 109, (4), 776-810 Downloads View citations (43)
    See also Working Paper (1999)

2000

  1. Efficient Monetary Policy Design near Price Stability
    Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 2000, 14, (4), 327-365 Downloads View citations (71)
    See also Working Paper (1999)
  2. Errors in the measurement of the output gap and the design of monetary policy
    Journal of Economics and Business, 2000, 52, (1-2), 117-141 Downloads View citations (110)
    See also Working Paper (1999)
  3. Inflation zone targeting
    European Economic Review, 2000, 44, (7), 1351-1387 Downloads View citations (84)
    See also Working Paper (1999)
  4. P revisited: money-based inflation forecasts with a changing equilibrium velocity
    Journal of Economics and Business, 2000, 52, (1-2), 87-100 Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Working Paper (1998)

1999

  1. Inflation, Volatility and Growth
    International Finance, 1999, 2, (1), 117-38 Downloads View citations (27)
    See also Working Paper (1996)

1998

  1. Myopia and Addictive Behaviour
    Economic Journal, 1998, 108, (446), 75-91 Downloads View citations (17)

1996

  1. Optimal reform postponement
    Economics Letters, 1996, 52, (3), 299-307 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (1994)
  2. Taxation and Intergenerational Transfers with Family-Size Heterogeneity: Do Parents with More Children Prefer Higher Taxes?
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1996, 28, (2), 162-77 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (1994)
  3. The timing of stabilizations
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1996, 20, (1-3), 257-279 Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (1992)

1995

  1. Rational Addiction with Learning and Regret
    Journal of Political Economy, 1995, 103, (4), 739-58 Downloads View citations (99)
    See also Working Paper (1992)
  2. War Politics: An Economic, Rational-Voter Framework
    American Economic Review, 1995, 85, (4), 828-46 Downloads View citations (65)

1994

  1. Optimal consumption dynamics with non-concave habit-forming utility
    Economics Letters, 1994, 44, (1-2), 67-72 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (1993)
  2. The empirical properties of a monetary aggregate that adds bond and stock funds to M2
    Proceedings, 1994, (Nov), 31-51 Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in Review, 1994, (Nov), 31-51 (1994) Downloads View citations (4)

    See also Working Paper (1993)

1993

  1. Labor Hoarding When Unemployment Is a Worker Discipline Device
    Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 1993, 95, (1), 111-18 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (1992)

Books

2013

  1. The Great Inflation: The Rebirth of Modern Central Banking
    NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)

Edited books

2013

  1. The Great Inflation
    National Bureau of Economic Research Books, University of Chicago Press

Chapters

2013

  1. European crisis and its implications for global inflation dynamics
    A chapter in Globalisation and inflation dynamics in Asia and the Pacific, 2013, vol. 70, pp 131-135 Downloads

2012

  1. Introduction to "The Great Inflation"
    A chapter in The Great Inflation: The Rebirth of Modern Central Banking, 2012, pp 1-22 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Monetary Policy Mistakes and the Evolution of Inflation Expectations
    A chapter in The Great Inflation: The Rebirth of Modern Central Banking, 2012, pp 255-288 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
  3. New Paradigms in Central Banking?
    SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2011)

2009

  1. Imperfect Knowledge and the Pitfalls of Optimal Control Monetary Policy
    Chapter 4 in Monetary Policy under Uncertainty and Learning, 2009, vol. 13, pp 115-144 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2008)

2007

  1. Inflation Targeting under Imperfect Knowledge
    Chapter 4 in Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting, 2007, vol. 11, pp 077-123 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
    Journal Article in Economic Review (2007)

2004

  1. Imperfect Knowledge, Inflation Expectations, and Monetary Policy
    A chapter in The Inflation-Targeting Debate, 2004, pp 201-246 Downloads View citations (44)
    See also Working Paper (2003)

1990

  1. Money, inflation and growth
    Chapter 06 in Handbook of Monetary Economics, 1990, vol. 1, pp 223-261 Downloads View citations (66)
 
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