Details about Umit Ozlale

Access statistics for papers by Umit Ozlale.

Last updated 2023-03-09. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: poz18

Working Papers

2019

1. Decomposing Uncertainty in Turkey into Its Determinants
   Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

2016

2. Turkiye'de Butce Harcamalari: Farkli Dagilimlarin Ekonomik Buyumeye Etkisi
   Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum

2011

3. Turkiye�de Yapisal Butce Dengesi ve Mali Durus
   Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

2005

4. Causes and Effectiveness of Foreign Exchange Interventions for the Turkish Economy
   Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey View citations (15)
5. Estimating Output Gap for the Turkish Economy
   Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey View citations (10)
6. Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Turkey: Has it Changed and to What Extent?
   Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey View citations (35)
7. The Effectiveness of Foreign Exchange Interventions for the Turkish Economy: A Post-Crisis Period Analysis
   Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey View citations (15)
8. The Price Puzzle in Emerging Markets: Evidence from the Turkish Economy Using Model Based Risk Premium Derived from Domestic Fundamentals
   Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey View citations (14)

2004

9. Is there a flight to quality due to inflation uncertainty?
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
   See also Journal Article Is there a flight to quality due to inflation uncertainty?, Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier (2005) View citations (3) (2005)

2001

10. Measuring the Probability of Crises in the Turkish Economy
    Middle East and North Africa, EcoMod

Journal Articles

2017

1. A comparison of optimal policy rules prior to and during inflation targeting: empirical evidence from Bank of Canada
   Applied Economics, 2017, 49, (39), 3899-3911

2012

2. Türkiye’de yapısal bütçe dengesi ve mali duruş
   Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, 2012, 27, (310), 09-38

2010

3. Analysis of real oil prices via trend-cycle decomposition
   Energy Policy, 2010, 38, (7), 3676-3683 View citations (5)
4. Coordination between monetary policy and fiscal policy for an inflation targeting emerging market
   Journal of International Money and Finance, 2010, 29, (1), 123-138 View citations (21)
5. Oil prices and current account: A structural analysis for the Turkish economy
   Energy Policy, 2010, 38, (8), 4489-4496 View citations (49)

2008

6. Analyzing time-varying effects of potential output growth shocks
   Economics Letters, 2008, 98, (3), 294-300 View citations (1)
7. Assessing Selectivity and Market Timing Performance of Mutual Funds for an Emerging Market: The Case of Turkey
   Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2008, 44, (2), 87-99 View citations (1)

2007

8. An alternative method to measure the likelihood of a financial crisis in an emerging market
   Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2007, 381, (C), 329-337 View citations (3)
9. EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES AND PASS‐THROUGH: EVIDENCE FROM THE TURKISH ECONOMY
   Contemporary Economic Policy, 2007, 25, (2), 206-225 View citations (22)
10. Estimating the Output Gap in a Changing Economy
    Southern Economic Journal, 2007, 74, (1), 269-289 View citations (2)

2006

11. Do Federal Reserve policy surprises affect the risk perception in the emerging markets?
    Applied Financial Economics Letters, 2006, 2, (5), 329-332
12. The effectiveness of foreign exchange interventions under a floating exchange rate regime for the Turkish economy: a post-crisis period analysis
    Applied Economics, 2006, 38, (12), 1371-1388 View citations (11)

2005

13. Employing the extended Kalman filter in measuring the output gap
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2005, 29, (9), 1611-1622 View citations (16)
14. Is there a flight to quality due to inflation uncertainty?
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2005, 345, (3), 603-607 View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Is there a flight to quality due to inflation uncertainty?, MPRA Paper (2004) (2004)
15. THE MISSING LINK BETWEEN INFLATION UNCERTAINTY AND INTEREST RATES
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2005, 52, (2), 222-241 View citations (22)

2004

16. Measuring exchange rate misalignment in Turkey
    Applied Economics, 2004, 36, (16), 1839-1849 View citations (13)
17. The effects of different inflation risk premiums on interest rate spreads
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2004, 333, (C), 317-324 View citations (5)

2003

18. Employing Extended Kalman Filter in a Simple Macroeconomic Model
    Central Bank Review, 2003, 3, (1), 53-65 View citations (1)
19. Price stability vs. output stability: tales of federal reserve administrations
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2003, 27, (9), 1595-1610 View citations (80)

Chapters

2006

1. Sources of Growth and the Output Gap for the Turkish Economy
   A chapter in Explaining Growth in the Middle East, 2006, pp 237-266