Details about Serdar Ozkan

Access statistics for papers by Serdar Ozkan.

Last updated 2024-11-22. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: poz42

Working Papers

2024

1. AI Hype or Reality? Shifts in Corporate Investment after ChatGPT
   On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
2. AI Optimism and Uncertainty: What Can Earnings Calls Tell Us Post-ChatGPT?
   On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
3. Can Earnings Calls Be Used to Gauge Labor Market Tightness?
   On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
4. Consumption Dynamics and Welfare Under Non-Gaussian Earnings Risk
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (3)
   Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2024) View citations (3)
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2024) View citations (2)
   See also Journal Article Consumption dynamics and welfare under non-Gaussian earnings risk, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2024) View citations (2) (2024)
5. Does Worker Scarcity Spur Investment, Automation and Productivity? Evidence from Earnings Calls
   On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
6. Income Differences and Health Disparities: Roles of Preventive vs. Curative Medicine
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
7. Scalable versus Productive Technologies
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
   Also in PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania (2024)
8. The Recent Ins and Outs of Unemployment: Using Flows to Study Labor Market Dynamics
   On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
9. Why Are the Wealthiest So Wealthy? New Longitudinal Empirical Evidence and Implications for Theories of Wealth Inequality
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2023

10. Anatomy of Lifetime Earnings Inequality: Heterogeneity in Job Ladder Risk vs. Human Capital
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations (7)
    Also in Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2019) View citations (8)
11. Dissecting Idiosyncratic Earnings Risk
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations (1)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2020) View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article Dissecting Idiosyncratic Earnings Risk, Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association (2024) View citations (1) (2024)
12. How Job Risk and Human Capital Shape Male Lifetime Earnings Disparities
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
13. Job Mobility Patterns and Lifetime Earnings Disparities among Male Workers
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
14. Silver Spoon or Self-Made? Exploring 23 Years of Wealth Mobility
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
15. Unlike Others, the Top Earners See Strong Pay Growth Beyond Age 35
    On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
16. Why Are the Wealthiest So Wealthy? A Longitudinal Empirical Investigation
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations (5)
    Also in Working Papers, Centre for Household Finance and Macroeconomic Research (HOFIMAR), BI Norwegian Business School (2023)
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2023) View citations (5)

2022

17. Earnings Dynamics and Its Intergenerational Transmission: Evidence from Norway
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Earnings dynamics and its intergenerational transmission: Evidence from Norway, Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society (2022) View citations (11) (2022)

2019

18. Dissecting Idiosyncratic Income Risk
    2019 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (9)
19. Job Ladders and Careers
    Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

2018

20. Consumption and Savings Under Non-Gaussian Income Risk
    2018 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (3)
21. Sources of Inequality in Earnings Growth Over the Life Cycle
    2018 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (2)

2017

22. Monetary Policy, Heterogeneity, and the Housing Channel
    2017 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (22)
    Also in 2016 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2016) View citations (29)
23. The Distributions of Income and Consumption Risk: Evidence from Norwegian Registry Data
    2017 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics

2016

24. Understanding Higher-Order Moments in Earnings Dynamics: A Search-Theoretic Approach
    2016 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics

2015

25. What Do Data on Millions of U.S. Workers Reveal about Life-Cycle Earnings Dynamics?
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York View citations (59)
    See also Journal Article What Do Data on Millions of U.S. Workers Reveal About Lifecycle Earnings Dynamics?, Econometrica, Econometric Society (2021) View citations (85) (2021)
26. What Do Data on Millions of U.S. Workers Reveal about Life-Cycle Earnings Risk?
    2015 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (93)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis (2015) View citations (52)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2015) View citations (161)

2014

27. Consumption and Portfolio Choice over the Life Cycle under Extremely Leptokurtic Distribution of Earnings Changes
    2014 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics
28. How Does Earnings Risk for Americans Change During Recessions?
    FEDS Notes, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

2013

29. Taxation of human capital and wage inequality: a cross-country analysis
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (46)
    Also in Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis (2009) View citations (28)
    IFS Working Papers, Institute for Fiscal Studies (2009) View citations (48)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2009) View citations (33)
    See also Journal Article Taxation of Human Capital and Wage Inequality: A Cross-Country Analysis, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (2014) View citations (77) (2014)
30. The nature of countercyclical income risk
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (15)
    Also in Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis (2012) View citations (8)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2012) View citations (25)
    See also Journal Article The Nature of Countercyclical Income Risk, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (2014) View citations (212) (2014)
31. What Do Data on Millions of U.S. Workers Say About Labor Income Risk?
    2013 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (11)
32. What Do Data on Millions of U.S. Workers Say About Life Cycle Income Risk?
    Working Papers, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center View citations (6)

2012

33. Income Risk in Recessions
    2012 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics

2011

34. Income Differences and Health Care Expenditures over the Life Cycle
    2011 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (20)
35. On the Persistence of Income Shocks over the Life Cycle: Evidence, Theory, and Implications,Second Version
    PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania

2010

36. On the Persistence of Income Shocks over the Life Cycle: Evidence and Implications, Second Version
    PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania View citations (3)

2009

37. On the Persistence of Income Shocks over the Life Cycle: Evidence and Implications
    PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania View citations (4)
38. Taxation of Human Capital and Cross-Country Trends in Wage Inequality
    2009 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (3)

2008

39. Cross-country Differences in Inequality and Growth Trends: The Role of Human Capital and Labor Market Policies
    2008 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics

Journal Articles

2024

1. Consumption dynamics and welfare under non-Gaussian earnings risk
   Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2024, 169, (C) View citations (2)
   See also Working Paper Consumption Dynamics and Welfare Under Non-Gaussian Earnings Risk, NBER Working Papers (2024) View citations (3) (2024)
2. Dissecting Idiosyncratic Earnings Risk
   Journal of the European Economic Association, 2024, 22, (2), 617-668 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper Dissecting Idiosyncratic Earnings Risk, Working Papers (2023) View citations (1) (2023)

2023

3. Anatomy of Lifetime Earnings Inequality: Heterogeneity in Job-Ladder Risk versus Human Capital
   Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics, 2023, 1, (3), 506 - 550 View citations (10)
4. Where Do the Wealthiest Get Their Wealth?
   The Regional Economist, 2023

2022

5. Earnings dynamics and its intergenerational transmission: Evidence from Norway
   Quantitative Economics, 2022, 13, (4), 1707-1746 View citations (11)
   See also Working Paper Earnings Dynamics and Its Intergenerational Transmission: Evidence from Norway, Working Papers (2022) View citations (6) (2022)

2021

6. What Do Data on Millions of U.S. Workers Reveal About Lifecycle Earnings Dynamics?
   Econometrica, 2021, 89, (5), 2303-2339 View citations (85)
   See also Working Paper What Do Data on Millions of U.S. Workers Reveal about Life-Cycle Earnings Dynamics?, Staff Reports (2015) View citations (59) (2015)

2017

7. Heterogeneous Scarring Effects of Full-Year Nonemployment
   American Economic Review, 2017, 107, (5), 369-73 View citations (20)

2014

8. Effect of Banking Regulation on Performance: Evidence from Turkey
   Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2014, 50, (4), 196-211 View citations (9)
9. Taxation of Human Capital and Wage Inequality: A Cross-Country Analysis
   The Review of Economic Studies, 2014, 81, (2), 818-850 View citations (77)
   See also Working Paper Taxation of human capital and wage inequality: a cross-country analysis, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2013) View citations (46) (2013)
10. The Nature of Countercyclical Income Risk
    Journal of Political Economy, 2014, 122, (3), 621 - 660 View citations (212)
    See also Working Paper The nature of countercyclical income risk, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2013) View citations (15) (2013)

2013

11. On the Persistence of Income Shocks over the Life Cycle: Evidence, Theory, and Implications
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2013, 16, (3), 452-476 View citations (94)
    See also Software Item Code and data files for "On the Persistence of Income Shocks over the Life Cycle: Evidence, Theory, and Implications", Computer Codes (2012) (2012)

Software Items

2012

1. Code and data files for "On the Persistence of Income Shocks over the Life Cycle: Evidence, Theory, and Implications"
   Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics
   See also Journal Article On the Persistence of Income Shocks over the Life Cycle: Evidence, Theory, and Implications, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2013) View citations (94) (2013)