Details about Mototsugu Shintani
Access statistics for papers by Mototsugu Shintani.
Last updated 2023-01-30. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.
Short-id: psh5
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Working Papers
2020
- A Behavioral Explanation for the Puzzling Persistence of the Aggregate Real Exchange Rate
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)
- The Effects of QQE on Long-run Inflation Expectations in Japan
CARF F-Series, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo View citations (3)
- Trigonometric Trend Regressions of Unknown Frequencies with Stationary or Integrated Noise
Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, Boston University - Department of Economics
2019
- Forecasting Japanese inflation with a news-based leading indicator of economic activities
CARF F-Series, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo View citations (1)
- Sticky-Wage Models and Knowledge Capital
ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka View citations (1)
2018
- Current Account Dynamics under Information Rigidity and Imperfect Capital Mobility
ESRI Discussion paper series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) 
Also in Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2018)  ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka (2018)  CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2018) 
See also Journal Article Current account dynamics under information rigidity and imperfect capital mobility, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2019) View citations (3) (2019)
- Cyclical Part-Time Employment in an Estimated New Keynesian Model with Search Frictions
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
Also in Working Papers, Georgetown University, Department of Economics (2018) View citations (3)
- Estimating a Nonlinear New Keynesian Model with a Zero Lower Bound for Japan
Working Papers, Tokyo Center for Economic Research View citations (7)
Also in CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2018) View citations (9)
- Missing Wage Inflation? Downward Wage Rigidity and the Natural Rate of Unemployment
Bank of Japan Research Laboratory Series, Bank of Japan View citations (3)
- Missing Wage Inflation? Estimating the Natural Rate of Unemployment in a Nonlinear DSGE Model
IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan View citations (4)
2017
- Sticky-Wage Models and Knowledge Capital: A Note
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics View citations (2)
- Trend Inflation and Evolving Inflation Dynamics: A Bayesian GMM Analysis of the Generalized New Keynesian Phillips Curve
IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan View citations (4)
See also Journal Article Trend Inflation and Evolving Inflation Dynamics:A Bayesian GMM Analysis, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2023) View citations (1) (2023)
2016
- Zero interest rate policy and asymmetric price adjustment in Japan: an empirical analysis of a nonlinear DSGE model
MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (3)
2015
- Improving the Finite Sample Performance of Autoregression Estimators in Dynamic Factor Models: A Bootstrap Approach
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Improving the finite sample performance of autoregression estimators in dynamic factor models: A bootstrap approach, Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals (2018) View citations (3) (2018)
- Testing for Flexible Nonlinear Trends with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics View citations (8)
Also in Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, Boston University - Department of Economics (2015) View citations (9)
See also Journal Article Testing for Flexible Nonlinear Trends with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford (2017) View citations (9) (2017)
2014
- Noisy information, distance and law of one price dynamics across US cities
CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University 
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2012) View citations (6) Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2014) View citations (8) Discussion papers, Graduate School of Economics Project Center, Kyoto University (2012) View citations (6)
See also Journal Article Noisy information, distance and law of one price dynamics across US cities, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2015) View citations (26) (2015)
- Quasi-Bayesian Model Selection
Departmental Working Papers, Southern Methodist University, Department of Economics View citations (4)
See also Journal Article Quasi‐Bayesian model selection, Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society (2018) View citations (8) (2018)
2013
- Asymptotic Inference for Dynamic Panel Estimators of In nite Order Autoregressive Processes
KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Asymptotic inference for dynamic panel estimators of infinite order autoregressive processes, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2018) View citations (8) (2018)
- Great earthquakes, exchange rate volatility and government interventions
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics View citations (1)
2012
- Exchange rate pass-through and inflation: a nonlinear time series analysis
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics View citations (1)
Also in Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics (2009) View citations (15)
See also Journal Article Exchange rate pass-through and inflation: A nonlinear time series analysis, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2013) View citations (67) (2013)
2011
- Do Sticky Prices Increase Real Exchange Rate Volatility at the Sector Level?
2011 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (1)
Also in Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics (2010)  Discussion papers, Graduate School of Economics Project Center, Kyoto University (2010)  NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010) 
See also Journal Article Do sticky prices increase real exchange rate volatility at the sector level?, European Economic Review, Elsevier (2013) View citations (8) (2013)
- Finite Sample Performance of Principal Components Estimators for Dynamic Factor Models: Asymptotic vs. Bootstrap Approximations
EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics View citations (5)
- Measuring International Business Cycles by Saving for a Rainy Day
IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Measuring international business cycles by saving for a rainy day, Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons (2015) View citations (5) (2015)
2010
- Measuring Business Cycles by Saving for a Rainy Day
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc 
Also in Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2010)
- Nonlinear Forecasting Analysis Using Diffusion Indexes: An Application to Japan
Levine's Working Paper Archive, David K. Levine View citations (5)
Also in Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics (2004) View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Nonlinear Forecasting Analysis Using Diffusion Indexes: An Application to Japan, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2005) View citations (21) (2005)
- Trading volume and serial correlation in stock returns: a threshold regression approach
Discussion Papers in Economics and Business, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics
2009
- Can News Be a Major Source of Aggregate Fluctuations? A Bayesian DSGE Approach
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics View citations (44)
Also in IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan (2008) View citations (34) Levine's Working Paper Archive, David K. Levine (2008) View citations (55)
See also Journal Article Can News Be a Major Source of Aggregate Fluctuations? A Bayesian DSGE Approach, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2011) View citations (19) (2011)
- The Law of One Price Without the Border: The Role of Distance Versus Sticky Prices
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (5)
See also Journal Article The Law of One Price without the Border: The Role of Distance versus Sticky Prices, Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (2010) View citations (57) (2010)
2008
- Accounting for Persistence and Volatility of Good-Level Real Exchange Rates: The Role of Sticky Information
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (10)
Also in Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics (2008) View citations (9) Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2008) View citations (9) IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan (2008) View citations (9)
See also Journal Article Accounting for persistence and volatility of good-level real exchange rates: The role of sticky information, Journal of International Economics, Elsevier (2010) View citations (35) (2010)
- Spurious Regressions in Technical Trading: Momentum or Contrarian?
IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan View citations (1)
2006
- Menu Costs and Markov Inflation: A Theoretical Revision with New Evidence
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics View citations (3)
See also Journal Article Menu costs and Markov inflation: A theoretical revision with new evidence, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2007) View citations (28) (2007)
- Persistence in Law-Of-One-Price Deviations: Evidence from Micro-Data
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics View citations (16)
Also in Levine's Bibliography, UCLA Department of Economics (2006) View citations (26) Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics (2004) View citations (15)
See also Journal Article Persistence in law of one price deviations: Evidence from micro-data, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2008) View citations (195) (2008)
- Quantifying Inflation Pressure and Monetary Policy Response in the United States
Levine's Bibliography, UCLA Department of Economics
- Testing for a Unit Root against Transitional Autoregressive Models
Levine's Bibliography, UCLA Department of Economics View citations (2)
Also in Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics (2005) View citations (56)
2005
- On the Long-Run Variance Ratio Test for a Unit Root
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics
2004
- A Dynamic Factor Approach to Nonlinear Stability Analysis
Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings, Econometric Society
Also in Levine's Bibliography, UCLA Department of Economics (2004)  Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics (2004) 
See also Journal Article A dynamic factor approach to nonlinear stability analysis, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2008) View citations (2) (2008)
- A Nonparametric Measure of Convergence Toward Purchasing Power Parity
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics 
Also in Levine's Working Paper Archive, David K. Levine (2003) 
See also Journal Article A nonparametric measure of convergence towards purchasing power parity, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2006) View citations (15) (2006)
- Measuring Inflation Pressure and Monetary Policy Response: A General Approach Applied to US Data 1966 - 2001
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics View citations (2)
2003
- Bootstrapping GMM Estimators for Time Series
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics View citations (6)
See also Journal Article Bootstrapping GMM estimators for time series, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2006) View citations (52) (2006)
- Measuring the Economic Impact of Monetary Union: The Case of Okinawa
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics 
See also Journal Article Measuring the Economic Impact of Monetary Union: The Case of Okinawa, The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (2004) View citations (4) (2004)
- Nonparametric Neural Network Estimation of Lyapunov Exponents and a Direct Test for Chaos
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics View citations (2)
Also in LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2003) View citations (1) LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2002)  STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE (2003) View citations (2) LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2002)  STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE (2002) 
See also Journal Article Nonparametric neural network estimation of Lyapunov exponents and a direct test for chaos, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2004) View citations (66) (2004)
2002
- Persistence in Law-of-One-Price Deviations: Evidence From Micro-Price Data
NajEcon Working Paper Reviews, www.najecon.org View citations (21)
Also in Levine's Working Paper Archive, David K. Levine (2002) View citations (20)
2001
- Is There Chaos in the World Economy? A Nonparametric Test Using Consistent Standard Errors
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics View citations (1)
Also in FMG Discussion Papers, Financial Markets Group (2001) View citations (4)
See also Journal Article Is There Chaos in the World Economy? A Nonparametric Test Using Consistent Standard Errors, International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association (2003) View citations (33) (2003)
2000
- A Simple Cointegrating Rank Test Without Vector Autoregression
Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics 
See also Journal Article A simple cointegrating rank test without vector autoregression, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2001) View citations (17) (2001)
Journal Articles
2023
- Trend Inflation and Evolving Inflation Dynamics:A Bayesian GMM Analysis
Review of Economic Dynamics, 2023, 51, 506-520 View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Trend Inflation and Evolving Inflation Dynamics: A Bayesian GMM Analysis of the Generalized New Keynesian Phillips Curve, IMES Discussion Paper Series (2017) View citations (4) (2017)
2020
- Macroeconomic forecasting using factor models and machine learning: an application to Japan
Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 2020, 58, (C) View citations (8)
2019
- Current account dynamics under information rigidity and imperfect capital mobility
Journal of International Money and Finance, 2019, 92, (C), 153-176 View citations (3)
See also Working Paper Current Account Dynamics under Information Rigidity and Imperfect Capital Mobility, ESRI Discussion paper series (2018) (2018)
2018
- Asymptotic inference for dynamic panel estimators of infinite order autoregressive processes
Journal of Econometrics, 2018, 204, (2), 147-158 View citations (8)
See also Working Paper Asymptotic Inference for Dynamic Panel Estimators of In nite Order Autoregressive Processes, KIER Working Papers (2013) View citations (1) (2013)
- Improving the finite sample performance of autoregression estimators in dynamic factor models: A bootstrap approach
Econometric Reviews, 2018, 37, (4), 360-379 View citations (3)
See also Working Paper Improving the Finite Sample Performance of Autoregression Estimators in Dynamic Factor Models: A Bootstrap Approach, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers (2015) View citations (2) (2015)
- Quasi‐Bayesian model selection
Quantitative Economics, 2018, 9, (3), 1265-1297 View citations (8)
See also Working Paper Quasi-Bayesian Model Selection, Departmental Working Papers (2014) View citations (4) (2014)
2017
- Testing for Flexible Nonlinear Trends with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2017, 79, (5), 822-850 View citations (9)
See also Working Paper Testing for Flexible Nonlinear Trends with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers (2015) View citations (8) (2015)
2015
- Measuring international business cycles by saving for a rainy day
Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, 2015, 48, (4), 1266-1290 View citations (5)
Also in Canadian Journal of Economics, 2015, 48, (4), 1266-1290 (2015) View citations (5)
See also Working Paper Measuring International Business Cycles by Saving for a Rainy Day, IMES Discussion Paper Series (2011) View citations (1) (2011)
- Noisy information, distance and law of one price dynamics across US cities
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2015, 74, (C), 52-66 View citations (26)
See also Working Paper Noisy information, distance and law of one price dynamics across US cities, CAMA Working Papers (2014) (2014)
2014
- Real exchange rate dynamics in sticky wage models
Economics Letters, 2014, 123, (2), 160-163 View citations (3)
2013
- Consistent co‐trending rank selection when both stochastic and non‐linear deterministic trends are present
Econometrics Journal, 2013, 16, (3), 473-484 View citations (1)
- Do sticky prices increase real exchange rate volatility at the sector level?
European Economic Review, 2013, 62, (C), 58-72 View citations (8)
See also Working Paper Do Sticky Prices Increase Real Exchange Rate Volatility at the Sector Level?, 2011 Meeting Papers (2011) View citations (1) (2011)
- Exchange rate pass-through and inflation: A nonlinear time series analysis
Journal of International Money and Finance, 2013, 32, (C), 512-527 View citations (67)
See also Working Paper Exchange rate pass-through and inflation: a nonlinear time series analysis, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers (2012) View citations (1) (2012)
- THE INF-T TEST FOR A UNIT ROOT AGAINST ASYMMETRIC EXPONENTIAL SMOOTH TRANSITION AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS
The Japanese Economic Review, 2013, 64, (1), 3-15 View citations (6)
2012
- Spurious regressions in technical trading
Journal of Econometrics, 2012, 169, (2), 301-309 View citations (5)
2011
- Can News Be a Major Source of Aggregate Fluctuations? A Bayesian DSGE Approach
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2011, 43, (1), 1-29 View citations (19)
Also in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2011, 43, (1), 1-29 (2011) View citations (114)
See also Working Paper Can News Be a Major Source of Aggregate Fluctuations? A Bayesian DSGE Approach, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers (2009) View citations (44) (2009)
- Nonparametric lag selection for nonlinear additive autoregressive models
Economics Letters, 2011, 111, (2), 131-134
2010
- Accounting for persistence and volatility of good-level real exchange rates: The role of sticky information
Journal of International Economics, 2010, 81, (1), 48-60 View citations (35)
See also Working Paper Accounting for Persistence and Volatility of Good-Level Real Exchange Rates: The Role of Sticky Information, NBER Working Papers (2008) View citations (10) (2008)
- The Law of One Price without the Border: The Role of Distance versus Sticky Prices
Economic Journal, 2010, 120, (544), 462-480 View citations (57)
See also Working Paper The Law of One Price Without the Border: The Role of Distance Versus Sticky Prices, NBER Working Papers (2009) View citations (5) (2009)
2008
- A dynamic factor approach to nonlinear stability analysis
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2008, 32, (9), 2788-2808 View citations (2)
See also Working Paper A Dynamic Factor Approach to Nonlinear Stability Analysis, Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings (2004) (2004)
- Persistence in law of one price deviations: Evidence from micro-data
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2008, 55, (3), 629-644 View citations (195)
See also Working Paper Persistence in Law-Of-One-Price Deviations: Evidence from Micro-Data, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers (2006) View citations (16) (2006)
- Reassessing Cyclical Changes in Workers' Labor Market Status: Gross Flows and the Types of Workers Who Determine Them
ILR Review, 2008, 61, (2), 244-257 View citations (7)
2007
- Menu costs and Markov inflation: A theoretical revision with new evidence
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007, 54, (3), 753-784 View citations (28)
See also Working Paper Menu Costs and Markov Inflation: A Theoretical Revision with New Evidence, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers (2006) View citations (3) (2006)
2006
- A nonparametric measure of convergence towards purchasing power parity
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2006, 21, (5), 589-604 View citations (15)
See also Working Paper A Nonparametric Measure of Convergence Toward Purchasing Power Parity, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers (2004) (2004)
- Bootstrapping GMM estimators for time series
Journal of Econometrics, 2006, 133, (2), 531-555 View citations (52)
See also Working Paper Bootstrapping GMM Estimators for Time Series, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers (2003) View citations (6) (2003)
- Chaotic monetary dynamics with confidence
Journal of Macroeconomics, 2006, 28, (1), 228-252 View citations (15)
- Does the prediction horizon matter for the forward premium anomaly? Evidence from panel data
Economics Letters, 2006, 93, (2), 255-260 View citations (5)
- ON THE ALTERNATIVE LONG-RUN VARIANCE RATIO TEST FOR A UNIT ROOT
Econometric Theory, 2006, 22, (3), 347-372 View citations (9)
2005
- Nonlinear Forecasting Analysis Using Diffusion Indexes: An Application to Japan
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2005, 37, (3), 517-38 View citations (21)
See also Working Paper Nonlinear Forecasting Analysis Using Diffusion Indexes: An Application to Japan, Levine's Working Paper Archive (2010) View citations (5) (2010)
2004
- Measuring the Economic Impact of Monetary Union: The Case of Okinawa
The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2004, 86, (4), 858-867 View citations (4)
See also Working Paper Measuring the Economic Impact of Monetary Union: The Case of Okinawa, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers (2003) (2003)
- Nonparametric neural network estimation of Lyapunov exponents and a direct test for chaos
Journal of Econometrics, 2004, 120, (1), 1-33 View citations (66)
See also Working Paper Nonparametric Neural Network Estimation of Lyapunov Exponents and a Direct Test for Chaos, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers (2003) View citations (2) (2003)
2003
- Is There Chaos in the World Economy? A Nonparametric Test Using Consistent Standard Errors
International Economic Review, 2003, 44, (1), 331-357 View citations (33)
See also Working Paper Is There Chaos in the World Economy? A Nonparametric Test Using Consistent Standard Errors, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers (2001) View citations (1) (2001)
2002
- An Eastern Asian Macroeconometric LINK model (in Japanese)
Economic Analysis, 2002, 164, 3-205 View citations (1)
2001
- A simple cointegrating rank test without vector autoregression
Journal of Econometrics, 2001, 105, (2), 337-362 View citations (17)
See also Working Paper A Simple Cointegrating Rank Test Without Vector Autoregression, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers (2000) (2000)
1998
- Capital mobility in the world economy: an alternative test
Journal of International Money and Finance, 1998, 17, (5), 741-756 View citations (54)
1996
- EXCESS SMOOTHNESS OF CONSUMPTION IN JAPAN
The Japanese Economic Review, 1996, 47, (3), 271-285 View citations (2)
- The effect of demographics on the Japanese housing market
Regional Science and Urban Economics, 1996, 26, (2), 189-201 View citations (31)
1994
- Cointegration and Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis: Japanese Evidence with International Comparisons
Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 1994, 8, (2), 144-172 View citations (8)
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