Details about Dongho Song

Access statistics for papers by Dongho Song.

Last updated 2024-10-08. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pso450

Working Papers

2025

1. The Comovement of Voter Preferences: Insights from U.S. Presidential Election Prediction Markets Beyond Polls
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

2024

2. Are We Fragmented Yet? Measuring Geopolitical Fragmentation and Its Causal Effect
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (5)
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2024)
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2024) View citations (6)
   PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania (2024) View citations (6)

2023

3. Inflation and Real Activity over the Business Cycle
   Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (5)
   Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2023) View citations (5)

2022

4. Leaning Against the Data: Policymaker Communications under State-Based Forward Guidance
   Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

2021

5. Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (15)
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2021)
   PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania (2020) View citations (41)
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (2020) View citations (19)
   See also Journal Article Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic, International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking (2024) View citations (3) (2024)
6. The Real Channel for Nominal Bond-Stock Puzzles
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2021)

2020

7. Deciphering Federal Reserve Communication via Text Analysis of Alternative FOMC Statements
   Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City View citations (9)
8. The Long-Term Impact of the COVID-19 Unemployment Shock on Life Expectancy and Mortality Rates
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (11)
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2020) View citations (11)
   See also Journal Article The long-term impact of the COVID-19 unemployment shock on life expectancy and mortality rates, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2023) View citations (3) (2023)
9. The Term Structure of Covered Interest Rate Parity Violations
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article The Term Structure of Covered Interest Rate Parity Violations, Journal of Finance, American Finance Association (2024) (2024)
10. The term structure of CIP violations
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (3)

2019

11. Benchmark Interest Rates When the Government is Risky
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2019) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Benchmark interest rates when the government is risky, Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier (2021) View citations (12) (2021)
12. The Term Structure of Equity Risk Premia
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article The term structure of equity risk premia, Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier (2021) View citations (8) (2021)

2018

13. News-driven uncertainty fluctuations
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article News-Driven Uncertainty Fluctuations, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2023) View citations (1) (2023)
14. Sovereign Credit Risk and Exchange Rates: Evidence from CDS Quanto Spreads
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (18)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2018) View citations (13)

2017

15. Fearing the Fed: How Wall Street Reads Main Street
    2017 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Fearing the Fed: How wall street reads main street, Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier (2024) View citations (1) (2024)

2016

16. Bond Market Exposures to Macroeconomic and Monetary Policy Risks
    Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics View citations (3)
    Also in PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania (2014) View citations (20)
    See also Journal Article Bond Market Exposures to Macroeconomic and Monetary Policy Risks, The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies (2017) View citations (54) (2017)

2014

17. Identifying Long-Run Risks: A Bayesian Mixed-Frequency Approach
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (23)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (2013) View citations (12)
    2013 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2013) View citations (24)
    See also Journal Article Identifying Long‐Run Risks: A Bayesian Mixed‐Frequency Approach, Econometrica, Econometric Society (2018) View citations (47) (2018)

2013

18. Improving GDP Measurement: A Measurement-Error Perspective
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (15)
    Also in PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania (2013) View citations (15)
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (2013) View citations (27)
    See also Journal Article Improving GDP measurement: A measurement-error perspective, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2016) View citations (45) (2016)
19. Real-Time Forecasting with a Mixed-Frequency VAR
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (58)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis (2012) View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article Real-Time Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency VAR, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2015) View citations (168) (2015)

2011

20. Improving GDP Measurement: A Forecast Combination Perspective
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (11)
    Also in PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania (2011) View citations (2)
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (2011) View citations (6)

Journal Articles

2024

1. Fearing the Fed: How wall street reads main street
   Journal of Financial Economics, 2024, 153, (C) View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper Fearing the Fed: How Wall Street Reads Main Street, 2017 Meeting Papers (2017) View citations (6) (2017)
2. Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic
   International Journal of Central Banking, 2024, 20, (4), 275-320 View citations (3)
   See also Working Paper Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic, NBER Working Papers (2021) View citations (15) (2021)
3. The Term Structure of Covered Interest Rate Parity Violations
   Journal of Finance, 2024, 79, (3), 2077-2114
   See also Working Paper The Term Structure of Covered Interest Rate Parity Violations, NBER Working Papers (2020) View citations (1) (2020)

2023

4. News-Driven Uncertainty Fluctuations
   Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2023, 41, (3), 968-982 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper News-driven uncertainty fluctuations, Working Papers (2018) View citations (1) (2018)
5. The long-term impact of the COVID-19 unemployment shock on life expectancy and mortality rates
   Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2023, 146, (C) View citations (3)
   See also Working Paper The Long-Term Impact of the COVID-19 Unemployment Shock on Life Expectancy and Mortality Rates, NBER Working Papers (2020) View citations (11) (2020)

2021

6. Benchmark interest rates when the government is risky
   Journal of Financial Economics, 2021, 140, (1), 74-100 View citations (12)
   See also Working Paper Benchmark Interest Rates When the Government is Risky, NBER Working Papers (2019) View citations (1) (2019)
7. The term structure of equity risk premia
   Journal of Financial Economics, 2021, 142, (3), 1209-1228 View citations (8)
   See also Working Paper The Term Structure of Equity Risk Premia, NBER Working Papers (2019) View citations (8) (2019)

2018

8. Identifying Long‐Run Risks: A Bayesian Mixed‐Frequency Approach
   Econometrica, 2018, 86, (2), 617-654 View citations (47)
   See also Working Paper Identifying Long-Run Risks: A Bayesian Mixed-Frequency Approach, NBER Working Papers (2014) View citations (23) (2014)

2017

9. Bond Market Exposures to Macroeconomic and Monetary Policy Risks
   The Review of Financial Studies, 2017, 30, (8), 2761-2817 View citations (54)
   See also Working Paper Bond Market Exposures to Macroeconomic and Monetary Policy Risks, Boston College Working Papers in Economics (2016) View citations (3) (2016)

2016

10. Improving GDP measurement: A measurement-error perspective
    Journal of Econometrics, 2016, 191, (2), 384-397 View citations (45)
    See also Working Paper Improving GDP Measurement: A Measurement-Error Perspective, NBER Working Papers (2013) View citations (15) (2013)

2015

11. Real-Time Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency VAR
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2015, 33, (3), 366-380 View citations (168)
    See also Working Paper Real-Time Forecasting with a Mixed-Frequency VAR, NBER Working Papers (2013) View citations (58) (2013)