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Details about Peter von zur Muehlen

E-mail:
Homepage:https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Peter_Von_zur_Muehlen
Phone:571-328-1783
Postal address:10435 Hunter View Road Vienna, VA 22181
Workplace:Macroeconomic and Quantitative Studies Section, Federal Reserve Board (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Peter von zur Muehlen.

Last updated 2022-10-31. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pvo94


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Working Papers

2011

  1. A predictive multi-agent approach to model systems with linear rational expectations
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

2006

  1. Robustifying Learnability
    2006 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics Downloads
    Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2006) Downloads View citations (1)
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics (2005) Downloads
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2005) Downloads View citations (4)

    See also Journal Article Robustifying learnability, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2009) Downloads View citations (7) (2009)

2004

  1. Inflation in the 1970s in the U.S.: Misspecification, Learning and Sunspots
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics
    Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics (2003)

2003

  1. Avoiding Nash Inflation: Bayesian and Robust Responses to Model Uncertainty
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2002) Downloads View citations (26)

    See also Journal Article Avoiding Nash Inflation: Bayesian and Robus Responses to Model Uncertainty, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2004) Downloads View citations (3) (2004)

2002

  1. Monetary Policy, Asset Prices, and Misspecification: the robust approach to bubbles with model uncertainty
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics View citations (9)

2001

  1. Activist vs. non-activist monetary policy: optimal rules under extreme uncertainty
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (24)
  2. Avoiding Nash Inflation: does robust policy help?
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2001, Society for Computational Economics View citations (1)
  3. The effect of past and future economic fundamentals on spending and pricing behavior in the FRB/US macroeconomic model
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads

2000

  1. MONETARY POLICY ATTENUATION AS ROBUST RESPONSE TO MISSPECIFIED DYNAMICS IN A FORWARD LOOKING MODEL
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2000, Society for Computational Economics
  2. Robust monetary policy with misspecified models: does model uncertainty always call for attenuated policy?
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Journal Article Robust monetary policy with misspecified models: Does model uncertainty always call for attenuated policy?, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2001) Downloads View citations (140) (2001)

1999

  1. Simplicity versus optimality the choice of monetary policy rules when agents must learn
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Journal Article Simplicity versus optimality: The choice of monetary policy rules when agents must learn, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2001) Downloads View citations (47) (2001)
  2. Why is the Fed So Reluctant to React?
    Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics

1997

  1. Expectations, learning and the costs of disinflation: experiments using the FRB/US model
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (16)

1990

  1. Here's looking at you: modelling and policy use of auction price expectations
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
  2. Optimal interest rate rules with information from money and auction markets
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
    See also Journal Article An Optimal Interest Rate Rule with Information from Money and Auction Markets, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (1994) Downloads View citations (1) (1994)
  3. Predicting inflation with commodity prices
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
  4. Some problems with identification in parametric models
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
  5. Sticky inflation and interest rate rules with auction prices
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

1989

  1. Co-integration: is it a property of the real world?
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (2)

1988

  1. On a problem in identifying linear parametric models
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
    Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1988)

1987

  1. Further thoughts on testing for casuality with econometric models
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
    See also Journal Article Further thoughts on testing for causality with econometric models, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (1988) Downloads View citations (11) (1988)

1986

  1. Forecasting money demand with econometric models
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (3)

1984

  1. The foundations of econometrics: are there any?
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (8)

1983

  1. On logical validity and econometric modelling: the case of money supply
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (1)

1982

  1. A maximum probability approach to short-run policy
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article A maximum probability approach to short-run policy, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (1981) Downloads View citations (5) (1981)
  2. A measure of the cost of money market volatility associated with money stock targeting
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
  3. The short-run volatility of money stock targeting
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (11)
    See also Journal Article The short-run volatility of money stock targeting, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1982) Downloads View citations (9) (1982)
  4. Two papers on the volatility of money stock targeting
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

1979

  1. Monopolistic competition and sequential search
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Monopolistic competition and sequential search, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (1980) Downloads View citations (6) (1980)

1977

  1. Optimal bands in short-run monetary policy
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
  2. Some partial equilibrium of tax reform on corporate policy
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

1976

  1. Anticipating a price freeze or how not to get caught with your prices down
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
  2. On the rationality of discontinuous monetary policy
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

1972

  1. Optimal price adjustment: tests of a price equation in U.S. manufacturing
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

1971

  1. N-person dynamic oligopoly: the case of conjectured price variations under certainty
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
  2. On the optimal monopoly price over time
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
  3. Price behavior in U.S. manufacturing: an application of dynamic monopoly pricing
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Undated

  1. Expectations, Learning and the Design of Monetary Policy Rules
    Computing in Economics and Finance 1997, Society for Computational Economics Downloads

Journal Articles

2022

  1. Prices and Taxes in a Ramsey Climate Policy Model under Heterogeneous Beliefs and Ambiguity
    Economies, 2022, 10, (10), 1-56 Downloads
  2. THE STATE OF ECONOMETRICS AFTER JOHN W. PRATT, ROBERT SCHLAIFER, BRIAN SKYRMS, AND ROBERT L. BASMANN
    Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, 2022, 84, (2), 627-654 Downloads
  3. The Role of Coefficient Drivers of Time-Varying Coefficients in Estimating the Total Effects of a Regressor on the Dependent Variable of an Equation
    JRFM, 2022, 15, (8), 1-14 Downloads

2017

  1. On the Interpretation of Instrumental Variables in the Presence of Specification Errors: A Reply
    Econometrics, 2017, 5, (3), 1-3 Downloads View citations (2)

2009

  1. Robustifying learnability
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2009, 33, (2), 296-316 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper Robustifying Learnability, 2006 Meeting Papers (2006) Downloads (2006)

2004

  1. Avoiding Nash Inflation: Bayesian and Robus Responses to Model Uncertainty
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2004, 7, (4), 869-899 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Avoiding Nash Inflation: Bayesian and Robust Responses to Model Uncertainty, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2003) Downloads View citations (2) (2003)

2001

  1. Robust monetary policy with misspecified models: Does model uncertainty always call for attenuated policy?
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2001, 25, (6-7), 911-949 Downloads View citations (140)
    See also Working Paper Robust monetary policy with misspecified models: does model uncertainty always call for attenuated policy?, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2000) Downloads View citations (14) (2000)
  2. Simplicity versus optimality: The choice of monetary policy rules when agents must learn
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2001, 25, (1-2), 245-279 Downloads View citations (47)
    See also Working Paper Simplicity versus optimality the choice of monetary policy rules when agents must learn, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (1999) Downloads View citations (14) (1999)

1994

  1. An Optimal Interest Rate Rule with Information from Money and Auction Markets
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1994, 26, (4), 917-33 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Optimal interest rate rules with information from money and auction markets, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (1990) (1990)

1990

  1. Comparing forecasts from fixed and variable coefficient models: The case of money demand
    International Journal of Forecasting, 1990, 6, (4), 469-477 Downloads View citations (3)

1988

  1. Further thoughts on testing for causality with econometric models
    Journal of Econometrics, 1988, 39, (1-2), 105-147 Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper Further thoughts on testing for casuality with econometric models, Special Studies Papers (1987) (1987)

1984

  1. The Impossibility of Causality Testing
    Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, 1984, 36, (3), 19 Downloads View citations (14)

1982

  1. Policy Robustness: Specification and Simulation of a Monthly Money Market Model
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1982, 14, (4), 829-56 Downloads View citations (16)
  2. The short-run volatility of money stock targeting
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1982, 10, (2), 215-237 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper The short-run volatility of money stock targeting, Special Studies Papers (1982) View citations (11) (1982)

1981

  1. A maximum probability approach to short-run policy
    Journal of Econometrics, 1981, 15, (1), 31-48 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper A maximum probability approach to short-run policy, Special Studies Papers (1982) View citations (2) (1982)

1980

  1. Monopolistic competition and sequential search
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1980, 2, (1), 257-281 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper Monopolistic competition and sequential search, Special Studies Papers (1979) View citations (1) (1979)
  2. The 'flexible accelerator' and optimization with a finite horizon
    Economics Letters, 1980, 5, (1), 21-27 Downloads

1979

  1. Price dispersion in atomistic competition
    Economics Letters, 1979, 3, (4), 327-332 Downloads
 
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