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Details about Martin Robert Weale

E-mail:
Homepage:http://www.niesr.ac.uk/staff/staffdetail.php?StaffID=226
Workplace:School of Management and Business, King's College, (more information at EDIRC)
Department of Political Economy, King's College, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Martin Robert Weale.

Last updated 2017-06-15. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pwe195


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Working Papers

2016

  1. Firms’ expectations and price-setting: evidence from micro data
    Discussion Papers, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England Downloads
  2. Monetary Policy and the Current Account: Theory and Evidence
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads
    Also in Discussion Papers, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England (2016) Downloads

2015

  1. An automatic leading indicator, variable reduction and variable selection methods using small and large datasets: Forecasting the industrial production growth for euro area economies
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads
  2. Estimation of short dynamic panels in the presence of cross-sectional dependence and dynamic eterogeneity
    Discussion Papers, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England Downloads
  3. Intergenerational and Inter-Ethnic Well-Being: An Analysis for the UK
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
  4. What are the macroeconomic effects of asset purchases?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2016)

2014

  1. Who fared better? The fortunes of performance-pay and fixed-pay workers through recession
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads View citations (2)

2012

  1. Disaggregating the international business cycle
    Discussion Papers, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England Downloads
  2. Education and its Effects on Survival, Income and Health of those aged Sixty-five and over in the United Kingdom
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
  3. The Trade-off between Income and Smoking as Influences on Mortality: Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey for Men and Women aged Sixty-five and Over
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads

2011

  1. Banking crises and recessions: what can leading indicators tell us?
    Discussion Papers, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England Downloads View citations (6)
  2. Education and its Effects on the Income, Health and Survival of those aged Sixty-five and Over (This paper has been revised and is replaced by DP 393)
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
  3. Efficient Aggregation of Panel Qualitative Survey Data
    Discussion Papers in Economics, Department of Economics, University of Leicester Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2013)
  4. Generational Accounts for the United Kingdom
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
  5. Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain
    Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge Downloads
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2011) Downloads View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article in Explorations in Economic History (2012)
  6. Mortality in the British Panel Household Survey: a Test of a Standard Treatment for Non-Response
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads

2010

  1. An Empirical Investigation of Quasi-hyperbolic Discounting
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Economic Benefits of Lifelong Learning
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads View citations (1)

2009

  1. A Cost-benefit Analysis of Cataract Surgery based on the English Longitudinal Survey of Ageing
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Health Economics (2011)
  2. A Structural Dynamic Micro-Simulation Model for Policy Analysis: Application to Pension Reform, Income Tax Changes and Rising Life Expectancy
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Collective Sentiment in Qualitative Business Surveys
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
  4. Consumption, employment uncertainty, and capital losses
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
  5. Fiscal Policy, Fairness between Generations and National Saving
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Oxford Review of Economic Policy (2010)
  6. Monthly and Quarterly GDP Estimates for Interwar Britain
    Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research (2009) Downloads
  7. Pensions policy and the recession
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
  8. Saving and the National Economy
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
  9. The Economics of a Reduction in VAT
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Fiscal Studies (2009)
  10. The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Forecasting (2011)

2008

  1. Annuities and Aggregate Mortality Risk
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
  2. Are we living beyond our means? A comparison of France, Italy, Spain and the United Kingdom
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
  3. Mortality Risk and Pricing of Annuities
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
  4. Qualitative Business Surveys: Signal or Noise?
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (2011)
  5. The Influence of Unsecured Debt on Consumer Responses to an Adverse Labour Market Shock Ñ implications from a rational agent model
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
  6. Unsecured Indebtedness in the United Kingdom Ñ implications from a rational agent model
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research

2007

  1. Annuities and Aggregate Mortality Uncertainty
    WEF Working Papers, ESRC World Economy and Finance Research Programme, Birkbeck, University of London Downloads
  2. Qualitative Expectational Data as Predictors of Income and Consumption Growth: Micro Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
  3. The Rationality and Reliability of Expectations Reported by British Households: Micro Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
    Also in Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre (2007) Downloads View citations (5)

2006

  1. A Bayesian Indicator of Manufacturing Output from Qualitative Business Panel Survey Data
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads View citations (1)
  2. A General Equilibrium Analysis of Annuity Rates in the Presence of Aggregate Mortality Risk
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
  3. Equality and Efficiency: Policy for Globalisation
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
  4. Fiscal Implications of Demographic Uncertainty: Comparisons across the European Union
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
  5. Means Testing Retirement Benefits: fostering equity or discouraging savings?
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (2008)

2005

  1. Developing new approaches to measuring NHS outputs and productivity
    Working Papers, Centre for Health Economics, University of York Downloads View citations (23)
  2. Fiscal implications of demographic uncertainty for the UK
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research View citations (1)
  3. Forecasting manufacturing output growth using firm-level survey data
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article in Manchester School (2005)
  4. Poverty and Debt
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
  5. Survey Expectations
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich Downloads View citations (10)
    Also in NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research (2005) View citations (3)
    Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2005) Downloads View citations (33)
    IEPR Working Papers, Institute of Economic Policy Research (IEPR) (2005) View citations (12)

    See also Chapter (2006)
  6. The Concept of Income in a General Equilibrium
    NajEcon Working Paper Reviews, www.najecon.org Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Studies (2006)
  7. The Effects of Means-Testing Pensions on Savings and Retirement
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
  8. Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: evidence from qualitative survey data
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (2007)

2004

  1. Lazy Students? A Study of Student Time Use
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
  2. National Saving and the Stability and Growth Pact
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Common Market Studies (2004)
  3. Policy Targeting with Model-Consistent Expectations
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research

2003

  1. Designing and Choosing Macroeconomic Frameworks: The Position of the UK after 4 years of the Euro
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
  2. Education and Economic Growth
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research View citations (2)
    See also Chapter (2004)
  3. Non-Linear Modelling of Household Consumption: an Examination of a Closed-Form Life-Cycle Model
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research

2002

  1. Aggregate versus Disaggregate Survey-Based Indicators of Economic Activity (revised January 2005)
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Playing the Generation Game: a re-examination of saving behaviour around retirement
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research

2001

  1. Quantification of qualitative firm-level survey data
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (2002)

2000

  1. Capital Income Taxation and Public Choice
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
  2. Cointegrating VAR models with endogenous I(0) variables: theoretical extensions and an application to UK monetary policy
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
  3. Real National Income
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Downloads
    See also Journal Article in National Institute Economic Review (1996)

1999

  1. An Automatic Leading Indicator of Economic Activity: Forecasting GDP Growth for European Countries
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Econometrics Journal (2001)
  2. Employment Security and European Labour Demand: A Panel Study Across 16 Industries
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research View citations (3)
  3. Simulating the Transmission of Wealth Inequity via Bequests
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (1998) Downloads View citations (14)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Public Economics (2001)
  4. Tests of Rank in Reduced Rank Regression Models
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
  5. The Forecasting Performance of the OECD Composite Leading Indicators for France, Germany, Italy
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research View citations (8)

1998

  1. Cost of separating budgetary policy from control of inflation: a neglected aspect of central bank independence
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Oxford Economic Papers (1998)
  2. Interpolation and measurement error: an assessment of monthly data in a VAR model
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
  3. UK Consumption in the long run: the determinants of consumer spending 1925-1995
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research View citations (6)

1997

  1. A calibrated model of saving and income distribution for the UK
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
  2. A monthly indicator of GDP
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in National Institute Economic Review (1997)
  3. Britain's fiscal problems
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (1997)
  4. Consumption and the means of payment: an empirical analysis for the United Kingdom
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research
    See also Journal Article in Economica (2001)
  5. Income distribution and income dynamics in the United Kingdom
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research View citations (14)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2001)
  6. Interpolation using a dynamic regression model: specification and Monte Carlo properties
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research View citations (1)

1996

  1. Financial Intermediation Services Indirectly Measured: Estimates for France and the UK based on the
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research View citations (1)
  2. Personal sector wealth in the United Kingdom - 1920-1956
    NIESR Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research View citations (1)

1992

  1. Education, externalities, fertility, and economic growth
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank Downloads View citations (5)
  2. Quarterly National Income Accounts for Interwar Germany, 1925, 1938
    Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge
  3. UK National Income 1920-1938: The Implications of Balanced Estimates
    Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Economic History Review (1996)

1990

  1. ON THE MEASUREMENT OF WELL-BEING
    Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge View citations (1)

1988

  1. BRITISH ECONOMIC GROWTH, 1870-1913: FACTS AND ARTEFACTS
    Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge
  2. WEALTH TARGETS, EXCHANGE RATE TARGETS AND MACROECONOMIC POLICY
    Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge View citations (6)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (1988) Downloads View citations (6)

1986

  1. Policy Design and Operation in a Macroeconomic Model with a Managed Exchange Rate under Different Expectational Regimes
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (1)

Journal Articles

2016

  1. The Effect of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Firms in the United Kingdom
    International Journal of Central Banking, 2016, 12, (3), 161-195 Downloads
  2. The effect of lifelong learning on men’s wages
    Empirical Economics, 2016, 51, (2), 737-762 Downloads
  3. Variable Annuities and Aggregate Mortality Risk
    National Institute Economic Review, 2016, 237, (1), R55-R61 Downloads
  4. What are the macroeconomic effects of asset purchases?
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2016, 79, (C), 81-93 Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Working Paper (2015)

2014

  1. Education and its effects on income and mortality of men aged sixty-five and over in Great Britain
    Labour Economics, 2014, 27, (C), 71-82 Downloads

2013

  1. EFFICIENT AGGREGATION OF PANEL QUALITATIVE SURVEY DATA
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2013, 28, (4), 580-603 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2011)

2012

  1. Monthly GDP estimates for inter-war Britain
    Explorations in Economic History, 2012, 49, (4), 543-556 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
  2. Uncertain Uncertainty
    British Actuarial Journal, 2012, 17, (03), 542-561 Downloads

2011

  1. A cost-benefit analysis of cataract surgery based on the English Longitudinal Survey of Ageing
    Journal of Health Economics, 2011, 30, (4), 730-739 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2009)
  2. Ageing and health care expenditure in EU-15
    The European Journal of Health Economics, 2011, 12, (5), 469-478 Downloads View citations (13)
  3. Qualitative business surveys: signal or noise?
    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 2011, 174, (2), 327-348 View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper (2008)
  4. The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 27, (4), 1128-1146 Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (2009)

2010

  1. ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE UNDER LABOUR
    National Institute Economic Review, 2010, 212, (1), R2-R14 Downloads
  2. FINANCIAL REGULATION AND COMMERCIAL PROTECTION: SHOULD POLICY CHANGE?
    National Institute Economic Review, 2010, 211, (1), F4-F11 Downloads
  3. Fiscal policy, fairness between generations, and national saving
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2010, 26, (1), 87-116 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2009)
  4. UNEMPLOYMENT AND REAL WAGES IN THE GREAT DEPRESSION
    National Institute Economic Review, 2010, 214, (1), R51-R61 Downloads

2009

  1. COMMENTARY: FISCAL POLICY AND THE FISCAL POSITION
    National Institute Economic Review, 2009, 208, (1), 4-8 Downloads
  2. COMMENTARY: INTERNATIONAL RECESSION AND RECOVERY
    National Institute Economic Review, 2009, 209, (1), 4-7 Downloads
  3. COMMENTARY: THE BURDEN OF THE NATIONAL DEBT
    National Institute Economic Review, 2009, 210, (1), 4-8 Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Commentary: Growth Prospects and Financial Services
    National Institute Economic Review, 2009, 207, (1), 4-9 Downloads View citations (1)
  5. DATA ON THE CREDIT CRUNCH
    National Institute Economic Review, 2009, 207, (1), 71-72 Downloads
  6. James Meade
    Economic Journal, 2009, 119, (541), F423-F429 Downloads
  7. The Economics of a Reduction in VAT*
    Fiscal Studies, 2009, 30, (1), 17-30 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2009)

2008

  1. Commentary: the Banking Crisis and the Economy
    National Institute Economic Review, 2008, 204, (1), 4-8 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Commentary: the Policy Framework
    National Institute Economic Review, 2008, 206, (1), 68-73 Downloads
  3. High Oil Prices: Implications and Prospects
    National Institute Economic Review, 2008, 205, (1), 4-7 Downloads
  4. Incidence-based estimates of life expectancy of the healthy for the UK: coherence between transition probabilities and aggregate life-tables
    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 2008, 171, (1), 203-222 Downloads View citations (4)
  5. Means Testing Retirement Benefits: fostering equity or discouraging savings?
    Economic Journal, 2008, 118, (528), 556-590 Downloads View citations (55)
    See also Working Paper (2006)

2007

  1. A New Approach To Measuring Health System Output and Productivity
    National Institute Economic Review, 2007, 200, (1), 105-116 Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in National Institute Economic Review, 2007, 200, (1), 105-117 (2007) Downloads View citations (10)
  2. Commentary: Interest rates and business returns
    National Institute Economic Review, 2007, 201, (1), 4-7 Downloads
  3. Following the Atkinson Review: the quality of public sector output
    Economic & Labour Market Review, 2007, 1, (7), 22-26 Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Northern Rock: Solutions and Problems
    National Institute Economic Review, 2007, 202, (1), 4-8 Downloads View citations (2)
  5. Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: Evidence from qualitative survey data
    Economics Letters, 2007, 94, (2), 245-252 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2006

  1. Commentary
    National Institute Economic Review, 2006, 196, (1), 4-9 Downloads
    Also in National Institute Economic Review, 2000, 172, (1), 4-7 (2000) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 1999, 170, (1), 4-7 (1999) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2000, 173, (1), 4-8 (2000) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 1999, 169, (1), 4-7 (1999) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2002, 180, (1), 4-7 (2002) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2003, 184, (1), 4-8 (2003) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2001, 175, (1), 4-7 (2001) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2001, 177, (1), 4-7 (2001) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2002, 182, (1), 4-7 (2002) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2003, 183, (1), 4-7 (2003) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 1997, 162, (1), 3-6 (1997) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 1999, 168, (1), 4-7 (1999) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 1998, 165, (1), 4-6 (1998) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2002, 181, (1), 4-7 (2002) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 1999, 167, (1), 4-7 (1999) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2001, 176, (1), 4-8 (2001) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2000, 171, (1), 4-8 (2000) Downloads
  2. Commentary: Immigration and Its Effects
    National Institute Economic Review, 2006, 198, (1), 4-9 Downloads
  3. Commentary: The Housing Market and Government Policy
    National Institute Economic Review, 2006, 195, (1), 4-8 Downloads
  4. Savings and the Economy: Introduction
    National Institute Economic Review, 2006, 198, (1), 59-60 Downloads
  5. The Concept of Income in a General Equilibrium
    Review of Economic Studies, 2006, 73, (1), 219-249 Downloads View citations (32)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  6. The UK Savings Gap
    National Institute Economic Review, 2006, 198, (1), 97-111 Downloads

2005

  1. An Indicator of Monthly GDP and an Early Estimate of Quarterly GDP Growth
    Economic Journal, 2005, 115, (501), F108-F129 Downloads View citations (37)
  2. Are we Saving Enough? The Macroeconomics of the Savings Gap
    National Institute Economic Review, 2005, 191, (1), 79-93 Downloads
  3. Commentary: Oil and the Economy
    National Institute Economic Review, 2005, 194, (1), 4-7 Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Commentary: Pensions and Pension Policy
    National Institute Economic Review, 2005, 193, (1), 4-10 Downloads
  5. Commentary: The UK Economy
    National Institute Economic Review, 2005, 191, (1), 4-7 Downloads
    Also in National Institute Economic Review, 2003, 186, (1), 4-7 (2003) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2004, 189, (1), 4-7 (2004) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2004, 188, (1), 4-7 (2004) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2003, 185, (1), 4-4 (2003) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2004, 187, (1), 4-7 (2004) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2004, 190, (1), 4-7 (2004) Downloads
  6. FORECASTING MANUFACTURING OUTPUT GROWTH USING FIRM-LEVEL SURVEY DATA
    Manchester School, 2005, 73, (4), 479-499 Downloads View citations (20)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  7. Means testing and retirement choice in Europe: a comparison of the British and Danish systems
    Fiscal Studies, 2005, 26, (1), 83-118
  8. The Labour Government’s Economic Record and Economic Prospects
    National Institute Economic Review, 2005, 192, (1), 4-10 Downloads

2004

  1. Economic Performance in France, Germany and the United Kingdom: 1997–2002
    National Institute Economic Review, 2004, 188, (1), 83-99 Downloads
  2. National Saving and the Stability and Growth Pact
    Journal of Common Market Studies, 2004, 42, (5), 1033-1038 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  3. Prospects for the UK Economy
    National Institute Economic Review, 2004, 188, (1), 36-55 Downloads

2003

  1. Business Cycles and Turning Points: A Survey of Statistical Techniques
    National Institute Economic Review, 2003, 183, (1), 90-106 Downloads View citations (7)
  2. Choosing the Rate
    New Economy, 2003, 10, (2), 66-72 Downloads
  3. Designing and Choosing Macroeconomic Frameworks: The Position of the UK after Four Years of the Euro
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2003, 19, (1), 132-148 View citations (1)
  4. Fiscal Demand Management
    National Institute Economic Review, 2003, 185, (1), 5-8 Downloads View citations (1)
  5. The UK Economy
    National Institute Economic Review, 2003, 184, (1), 36-42 Downloads
    Also in National Institute Economic Review, 2001, 178, (1), 48-53 (2001) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2002, 181, (1), 47-54 (2002) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2002, 179, (1), 44-50 (2002) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2003, 183, (1), 34-40 (2003) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2001, 175, (1), 8-15 (2001) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2001, 177, (1), 8-14 (2001) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2002, 180, (1), 34-40 (2002) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 2002, 182, (1), 37-43 (2002) Downloads
  6. The national balance sheet
    National Institute Economic Review, 2003, 184, (1), 43-44 Downloads

2002

  1. Business Cycle Analysis
    National Institute Economic Review, 2002, 182, (1), 57-57 Downloads
  2. Quantification of Qualitative Firm-Level Survey Data
    Economic Journal, 2002, 112, (478), C117-C135 Downloads View citations (20)
    See also Working Paper (2001)

2001

  1. An automatic leading indicator of economic activity: forecasting GDP growth for European countries
    Econometrics Journal, 2001, 4, (1), 37 View citations (38)
    See also Working Paper (1999)
  2. Commentary: The Economic Situation
    National Institute Economic Review, 2001, 178, (1), 4-8 Downloads
  3. Consumption and the Means of Payment: An Empirical Analysis for the United Kingdom
    Economica, 2001, 68, (271), 293-316 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (1997)
  4. Income distribution and income dynamics in the United Kingdom
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2001, 16, (5), 599-617 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper (1997)
  5. Simulating the transmission of wealth inequality via bequests
    Journal of Public Economics, 2001, 79, (1), 93-128 Downloads View citations (58)
    See also Working Paper (1999)
  6. The Information Content of Consumer Surveys
    National Institute Economic Review, 2001, 178, (1), 44-47 Downloads View citations (1)
  7. The Performance of the National Institute’s UK Forecasts
    National Institute Economic Review, 2001, 178, (1), 69-72 Downloads

2000

  1. 1300 Years of the Pound Sterling
    National Institute Economic Review, 2000, 172, (1), 78-89 Downloads
  2. Christopher Dow On Major Recessions
    National Institute Economic Review, 2000, 173, (1), 89-105 Downloads
  3. The Average Earnings Index
    Economic Journal, 2000, 110, (461), F100-121 Downloads View citations (1)

1999

  1. Cities: introduction
    National Institute Economic Review, 1999, 170, (1), 59-59 Downloads
  2. Education and public policy
    Fiscal Studies, 1999, 20, (4), 351-386 Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Monetary and Fiscal Policy in Euroland
    Journal of Common Market Studies, 1999, 37, (1), 153-162 Downloads

1998

  1. Commentary and UK Policy Implications
    National Institute Economic Review, 1998, 164, (1), 4-6 Downloads
    Also in National Institute Economic Review, 1998, 163, (1), 4-6 (1998) Downloads
  2. Commentary: The UK and the world liquidity crisis
    National Institute Economic Review, 1998, 166, (1), 4-7 Downloads
  3. Costs of Separating Budgetary Policy from Control of Inflation: A Neglected Aspect of Central Bank Independence
    Oxford Economic Papers, 1998, 50, (3), 449-67 View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper (1998)
  4. Fiscal report
    National Institute Economic Review, 1998, 165, (1), 25-34 Downloads
    Also in National Institute Economic Review, 1997, 160, (1), 26-35 (1997) Downloads
  5. Measurement Error with Accounting Constraints: Point and Interval Estimation for Latent Data with an Application to U.K. Gross Domestic Product
    Review of Economic Studies, 1998, 65, (1), 109-134 Downloads View citations (3)
  6. Optimal Monetary Policy
    National Institute Economic Review, 1998, 164, (1), 100-109 Downloads
  7. Pension finance in a calibrated model of saving and income distribution for the UK
    National Institute Economic Review, 1998, 166, (1), 97-107 Downloads
  8. Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Modelling
    National Institute Economic Review, 1998, 164, (1), 63-64 Downloads

1997

  1. A Monthly Indicator of GDP
    National Institute Economic Review, 1997, 161, (1), 84-89 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper (1997)
  2. Britain's Fiscal Problems
    Economic Journal, 1997, 107, (443), 1142-56 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (1997)
  3. Economic Prospects for the UK and Policy Recommendations
    National Institute Economic Review, 1997, 161, (1), 3-5 Downloads
    Also in National Institute Economic Review, 1997, 159, (1), 3-5 (1997) Downloads
    National Institute Economic Review, 1997, 160, (1), 3-6 (1997) Downloads
  4. Personal Sector Wealth in the United Kingdom, 1920-56
    Review of Income and Wealth, 1997, 43, (3), 297-318 View citations (5)
  5. Sustainable public debt
    New Economy, 1997, 4, (2), 78-82 Downloads

1996

  1. An Assessment of OECD and UK Leading Indicators
    National Institute Economic Review, 1996, 156, (1), 63-71 Downloads
  2. Economic Prospects and Policy Recommendations
    National Institute Economic Review, 1996, 158, (1), 5-6 Downloads
  3. Real National Income
    National Institute Economic Review, 1996, 155, (1), 90-97 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2000)
  4. The Performance of National Institute Economic Forecasts
    National Institute Economic Review, 1996, 156, (1), 55-62 Downloads
  5. The net national product and exhaustible resources: The effects of foreign trade
    Journal of Public Economics, 1996, 61, (1), 21-47 Downloads View citations (33)
  6. UK national income, 1920-1938: the implications of balanced estimates
    Economic History Review, 1996, 49, (1), 101-115 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (1992)

1995

  1. Monetary Union and the Assignment Problem
    Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 1995, 97, (2), 201-22 View citations (2)

1994

  1. An input-output table for 1841
    Economic History Review, 1994, 47, (3), 545-566 Downloads View citations (7)
  2. Do We Really Want an Independent Central Bank?
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1994, 10, (3), 61-77 View citations (1)
  3. Fiscal Policy and the National Debt
    National Institute Economic Review, 1994, 147, (1), 50-61 Downloads View citations (1)

1993

  1. A Critical Evaluation of Rate of Return Analysis
    Economic Journal, 1993, 103, (418), 729-37 Downloads View citations (11)

1992

  1. Estimation of Data Measured with Error and Subject to Linear Restrictions
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1992, 7, (2), 167-74 Downloads View citations (6)
  2. Imperfect competition in an open economy
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 1992, 14, (5), 599-629 Downloads
  3. On measuring the quality of life
    World Development, 1992, 20, (1), 119-131 Downloads View citations (85)
  4. The Assessment: Higher Education: The State of Play
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1992, 8, (2), 1-18 View citations (2)
  5. The Benefits of Higher Education: A Comparison of Universities and Polytechnics
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1992, 8, (2), 35-47 View citations (5)

1991

  1. Balanced estimates of UK GDP 1870-1913
    Explorations in Economic History, 1991, 28, (1), 54-63 Downloads View citations (7)
  2. Balancing the National Accounts: Comments on Papers By Andy Blake and Nigel Pain (NIESR) and Peter Kenny (CSO)
    National Institute Economic Review, 1991, 135, (1), 86-90 Downloads
  3. Effective protection and economic recovery in the United Kingdom during the 1930s
    Economic History Review, 1991, 44, (2), 328-338 Downloads View citations (6)

1990

  1. Monetary Integration and the Balance of Payments
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1990, 6, (3), 68-81 View citations (1)
  2. Wealth constraints and consumer behaviour
    Economic Modelling, 1990, 7, (2), 165-178 Downloads View citations (2)

1988

  1. Exchange-Rate Targets and Wage Formation
    National Institute Economic Review, 1988, 123, (1), 48-64 Downloads

1987

  1. The stock exchange in a macroeconometric model
    Economic Modelling, 1987, 4, (3), 341-354 Downloads

1986

  1. Developments in new Keynesian policy formation
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1986, 10, (1-2), 185-189 Downloads
  2. The Structure of Personal Sector Short-term Asset Holdings
    The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, 1986, 54, (2), 141-61 View citations (4)

1985

  1. Testing Linear Hypotheses on National Account Data
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1985, 67, (4), 685-89 Downloads View citations (13)

1984

  1. A Balanced System of National Accounts for the United Kingdom
    Review of Income and Wealth, 1984, 30, (4), 461-85 View citations (5)
  2. Quantity and Price Effects in an Analysis of World Trade Based on an Accounting Matrix
    Review of Income and Wealth, 1984, 30, (1), 85-117

Books

2009

  1. Reconciliation of National Income and Expenditure
    Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press
    Also in Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press (1996)

Edited books

2000

  1. Econometric Modelling
    Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press View citations (12)

Chapters

2006

  1. Survey Expectations
    Elsevier Downloads View citations (68)
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2004

  1. Education and Economic Growth
    Chapter 4 in International Handbook on the Economics of Education, 2004 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2003)
 
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