Details about Tim Willems

Access statistics for papers by Tim Willems.

Last updated 2023-02-24. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pwi194

Working Papers

2024

1. Life-cycle Forces make Monetary Policy Transmission Wealth-centric
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

2022

2. Revisiting the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Through an Industry-Level Differential Approach
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (3)
3. Sovereign Debt Sustainability and Central Bank Credibility
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (9)
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2021)
   See also Journal Article Sovereign Debt Sustainability and Central Bank Credibility, Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews (2022) View citations (10) (2022)

2020

4. Investor Sentiment, Sovereign Debt Mispricing, and Economic Outcomes
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (3)
5. Online Appendix to "What Do Monetary Contractions Do? Evidence From\ Large Tightenings"
   Online Appendices, Review of Economic Dynamics View citations (3)
   See also Journal Article What Do Monetary Contractions Do? Evidence From Large Tightenings, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2020) View citations (4) (2020)

2019

6. Public Debt Sustainability
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (70)

2018

7. A Note on Optimal Experimentation under Risk Aversion
   CERGE-EI Working Papers, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague
   See also Journal Article A note on optimal experimentation under risk aversion, Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier (2019) View citations (1) (2019)
8. On the Macroeconomic Consequences of Over-Optimism
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (10)
   Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2018) View citations (7)
   See also Journal Article On the Macroeconomic Consequences of Over-Optimism, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association (2022) View citations (12) (2022)
9. What Do Monetary Contractions Do? Evidence From Large, Unanticipated Tightenings
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (2)

2017

10. Evaluating the Impact of Non-Financial IMF Programs Using the Synthetic Control Method
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (8)

2016

11. Dictators Walking the Mogadishu Line: How Men Become Monsters and Monsters Become Men
    SALDRU Working Papers, Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit, University of Cape Town View citations (1)
    Also in Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank (2016) View citations (1)
    Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2014)
    HiCN Working Papers, Households in Conflict Network (2014)
    See also Journal Article Dictators Walking the Mogadishu Line: How Men Become Monsters and Monsters Become Men, The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank (2018) (2018)

2015

12. The Benefits of Forced Experimentation: Striking Evidence from the London Underground Network
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (3)
    Also in LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2015) View citations (4)
    Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2015) View citations (4)
    CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE (2015) View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article The Benefits of Forced Experimentation: Striking Evidence from the London Underground Network, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College (2017) View citations (47) (2017)
13. The upside of London Tube strikes
    CentrePiece - The magazine for economic performance, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE

2014

14. Learning dynamics and support for economic reforms: why good news can be bad
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (2)
    Also in Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute (2012) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Learning Dynamics and Support for Economic Reforms: Why Good News Can Be Bad, The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank (2016) (2016)

2013

15. Actively Learning by Pricing: A Model of an Experimenting Seller
    Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article Actively Learning by Pricing: A Model of an Experimenting Seller, Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (2017) (2017)
16. Optimal Learning on Climate Change: Why Climate Sceptics Should Reduce Emissions
    OxCarre Working Papers, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford View citations (2)
    Also in Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute (2012) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Optimal learning on climate change: Why climate skeptics should reduce emissions, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier (2015) View citations (15) (2015)
17. Political Accountability and Policy Experimentation: Why to Elect Left-Handed Politicians?
    Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics View citations (1)
18. What are the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks? Evidence from Dollarized Countries
    Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute
19. What shall we do with the bad dictator?
    Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics View citations (4)

2012

20. Imperfect Information, Lagged Labor Adjustment and the Great Moderation
    Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article Imperfect information, lagged labour adjustment, and the Great Moderation, Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press (2013) View citations (5) (2013)

2011

21. Identifying US Monetary Policy Shocks through Sign Restrictions in Dollarized Countries
    Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute View citations (2)
22. Labor Market Matching under Imperfect Information
    Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute View citations (1)
23. Using Dollarized Countries to Analyze the Effects of US Monetary Policy Shocks
    2011 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (4)

2010

24. Visualizing the Invisible: Estimating the New Keynesian Output Gap via a Bayesian Approach
    Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute View citations (7)

Journal Articles

2022

1. On the Macroeconomic Consequences of Over-Optimism
   American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2022, 14, (1), 38-59 View citations (12)
   See also Working Paper On the Macroeconomic Consequences of Over-Optimism, IMF Working Papers (2018) View citations (10) (2018)
2. Sovereign Debt Sustainability and Central Bank Credibility
   Annual Review of Financial Economics, 2022, 14, (1), 75-93 View citations (10)
   See also Working Paper Sovereign Debt Sustainability and Central Bank Credibility, IMF Working Papers (2022) View citations (9) (2022)

2020

3. What Do Monetary Contractions Do? Evidence From Large Tightenings
   Review of Economic Dynamics, 2020, 38, 41-58 View citations (4)
   See also Working Paper Online Appendix to "What Do Monetary Contractions Do? Evidence From\ Large Tightenings", Online Appendices (2020) View citations (3) (2020)
   Software Item Code and data files for "What Do Monetary Contractions Do? Evidence From Large Tightenings", Computer Codes (2020) (2020)

2019

4. A note on optimal experimentation under risk aversion
   Journal of Economic Theory, 2019, 179, (C), 476-487 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper A Note on Optimal Experimentation under Risk Aversion, CERGE-EI Working Papers (2018) (2018)

2018

5. Dictators Walking the Mogadishu Line: How Men Become Monsters and Monsters Become Men
   The World Bank Economic Review, 2018, 32, (3), 584-609
   See also Working Paper Dictators Walking the Mogadishu Line: How Men Become Monsters and Monsters Become Men, SALDRU Working Papers (2016) View citations (1) (2016)

2017

6. Actively Learning by Pricing: A Model of an Experimenting Seller
   Economic Journal, 2017, 127, (604), 2216-2239
   See also Working Paper Actively Learning by Pricing: A Model of an Experimenting Seller, Economics Series Working Papers (2013) View citations (8) (2013)
7. Dissecting fiscal multipliers under the fiscal theory of the price level
   European Economic Review, 2017, 95, (C), 62-83 View citations (15)
8. The Benefits of Forced Experimentation: Striking Evidence from the London Underground Network
   The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2017, 132, (4), 2019-2055 View citations (47)
   See also Working Paper The Benefits of Forced Experimentation: Striking Evidence from the London Underground Network, CEPR Discussion Papers (2015) View citations (3) (2015)

2016

9. Learning Dynamics and Support for Economic Reforms: Why Good News Can Be Bad
   The World Bank Economic Review, 2016, 30, (1), 1-23
   See also Working Paper Learning dynamics and support for economic reforms: why good news can be bad, Policy Research Working Paper Series (2014) View citations (2) (2014)

2015

10. Optimal learning on climate change: Why climate skeptics should reduce emissions
    Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2015, 70, (C), 17-33 View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper Optimal Learning on Climate Change: Why Climate Sceptics Should Reduce Emissions, OxCarre Working Papers (2013) View citations (2) (2013)

2013

11. Analyzing the effects of US monetary policy shocks in dollarized countries
    European Economic Review, 2013, 61, (C), 101-115 View citations (7)
12. Imperfect information, lagged labour adjustment, and the Great Moderation
    Oxford Economic Papers, 2013, 65, (2), 219-239 View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper Imperfect Information, Lagged Labor Adjustment and the Great Moderation, Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers (2012) View citations (4) (2012)

Chapters

2016

1. Time-consistency and Dictator Punishment: Discretion Rather than Rules?
   Palgrave Macmillan

Software Items

2020

1. Code and data files for "What Do Monetary Contractions Do? Evidence From Large Tightenings"
   Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics
   See also Journal Article What Do Monetary Contractions Do? Evidence From Large Tightenings, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2020) View citations (4) (2020)