Details about Justin Wolfers

Access statistics for papers by Justin Wolfers.

Last updated 2013-05-13. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pwo9

Working Papers

2013

1. Subjective Well-Being and Income: Is There Any Evidence of Satiation?
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
   Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2013)
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2013)
2. Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich
   Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2013)
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2013)
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2013)
   See also Journal Article in The Journal of Legal Studies (2012)
3. The New Stylized Facts About Income and Subjective Well-Being
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
   Also in CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2013)
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2013)
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2012)

2012

4. Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
   Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2012)
   CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2012)
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2012)
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2012)

2011

5. How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (7)
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2011)
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2011)
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2011) View citations (1)
   CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2011)
6. Trust in Public Institutions over the Business Cycle
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich View citations (7)
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2011) View citations (8)
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2011) View citations (7)
   CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2011) View citations (2)
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2011) View citations (7)
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2011) View citations (7)
   See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2011)

2010

7. Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich View citations (8)
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2010) View citations (4)
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010) View citations (6)
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2010) View citations (16)
   See also Journal Article in Journal of Political Economy (2010)
8. Subjective Well-Being, Income, Economic Development and Growth
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) View citations (6)
   Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2010) View citations (7)
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2010) View citations (7)
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010) View citations (7)
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2010) View citations (14)

2009

9. The Paradox of Declining Female Happiness
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (28)
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2009) View citations (12)
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2009) View citations (12)
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2009) View citations (12)
   See also Journal Article in American Economic Journal: Economic Policy (2009)

2008

10. Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (61)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2008) View citations (74)
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2008) View citations (49)
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2008) View citations (99)
    See also Journal Article in Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (2008)
11. Happiness Inequality in the United States
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (15)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2008) View citations (11)
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2008) View citations (14)
    See also Journal Article in The Journal of Legal Studies (2008)
12. The Promise of Prediction Markets
    Working paper, Regulation2point0 View citations (6)

2007

13. Marriage and Divorce: Changes and their Driving Forces
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (96)
    Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2007) View citations (77)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2007) View citations (88)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2007) View citations (80)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Perspectives (2007)
14. Racial Discrimination Among NBA Referees
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) View citations (14)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2007) View citations (29)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2007) View citations (15)
    See also Journal Article in The Quarterly Journal of Economics (2010)

2006

15. Aggregate Shocks or Aggregate Information? Costly Information and Business Cycle Comovement
    Working Papers, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2006) View citations (1)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (1)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006)
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2006)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2007)
16. An Information-Based Explanation for Industry Comovement
    2006 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics
17. Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University (2005)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) View citations (2)
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2006) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in The Economic Record (2006)
18. Diagnosing Discrimination: Stock Returns and CEO Gender
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (16)
    Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2006) View citations (16)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (16)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of the European Economic Association (2006)
19. Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (5)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2006) View citations (5)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) View citations (5)
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2006) View citations (5)
20. Happiness and the Human Development Index: Australia Is Not a Paradox
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) View citations (17)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (14)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University (2005)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article in Australian Economic Review (2006)
21. Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (10)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (33)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2006) View citations (6)
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2006) View citations (6)
22. Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty and Risk
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (3)
    Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2005) View citations (13)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2005) View citations (7)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (4)
    Working paper, Regulation2point0 (2005) View citations (9)
    See also Chapter (2005)
23. Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections
    Working paper, Regulation2point0
    Also in Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business (2006) View citations (3)
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2006) View citations (25)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (1)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2006) View citations (1)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in The Quarterly Journal of Economics (2007)
24. Party Influence in Congress and the Economy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (9)
    Also in Working paper, Regulation2point0 (2006)
25. Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (1)
    Also in Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business (2006) View citations (1)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (1)
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) (2006) View citations (1)
26. Uses and Abuses of Empirical Evidence in the Death Penalty Debate
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) View citations (11)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) View citations (21)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (7)

2005

27. Measuring the Effects of Employment Protection on Job Flows: Evidence from Seasonal Cycles
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics View citations (8)

2004

28. Disagreement about Inflation Expectations
    Yale School of Management Working Papers, Yale School of Management View citations (21)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003) View citations (104)
    Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business (2003) View citations (94)
    Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research (2003) View citations (116)
    See also Chapter (2004)
29. Experimental Political Betting Markets and the 2004 Election
    Working paper, Regulation2point0 View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article in The Economists' Voice (2004)
30. Prediction Markets
    Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business View citations (95)
    Also in Discussion Papers, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (2004) View citations (56)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2004) View citations (93)
    Working paper, Regulation2point0 (2004) View citations (65)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Perspectives (2004)

2003

31. Bargaining in the Shadow of the Law: Divorce Laws and Family Distress
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (21)
    Also in Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business (2003) View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article in The Quarterly Journal of Economics (2006)
32. Did Unilateral Divorce Laws Raise Divorce Rates? A Reconciliation and New Results
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (31)
    Also in Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business (2003) View citations (19)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2006)
33. Is Business Cycle Volatility Costly? Evidence from Surveys of Subjective Well-Being
    Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business View citations (18)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003) View citations (26)
    See also Journal Article in International Finance (2003)
34. What Do Financial Markets Think of War in Iraq?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (21)
    Also in Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business (2003) View citations (18)

2002

35. Are Voters Rational? Evidence from Gubernatorial Elections
    Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business View citations (20)

1999

36. The Role of Shocks and Institutions in the Rise of European Unemployment: The Aggregate Evidence
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (168)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (2000)

Journal Articles

2012

1. BIASED REFEREES?: RECONCILING RESULTS WITH THE NBA'S ANALYSIS
   Contemporary Economic Policy, 2012, 30, (3), 320-328
2. Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress
   The Journal of Legal Studies, 2012, 41, (2), 459 - 493
   See also Working Paper (2013)

2011

3. Trust in Public Institutions over the Business Cycle
   American Economic Review, 2011, 101, (3), 281-87 View citations (4)
   See also Working Paper (2011)

2010

4. Explaining the Favorite-Long Shot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?
   Journal of Political Economy, 2010, 118, (4), 723-746 View citations (4)
   See also Working Paper (2010)
5. Racial Discrimination Among NBA Referees
   The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2010, 125, (4), 1859-1887 View citations (11)
   See also Working Paper (2007)

2009

6. Estimating the Impact of the Death Penalty on Murder
   American Law and Economics Review, 2009, 11, (2), 249-309
7. The Paradox of Declining Female Happiness
   American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2009, 1, (2), 190-225 View citations (12)
   See also Working Paper (2009)
8. Using Markets to Inform Policy: The Case of the Iraq War
   Economica, 2009, 76, (302), 225-250 View citations (17)

2008

9. Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox
   Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2008, 39, (1 (Spring)), 1-102 View citations (78)
   See also Working Paper (2008)
10. Happiness Inequality in the United States
    The Journal of Legal Studies, 2008, 37, (S2), S33-S79 View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper (2008)
11. Racial Bias in the NBA: Implications in Betting Markets
    Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 2008, 4, (2), 7 View citations (2)

2007

12. Aggregate shocks or aggregate information? Costly information and business cycle comovement
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007, 54, (Supplement 1), 37-55 View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
13. Marriage and Divorce: Changes and their Driving Forces
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2007, 21, (2), 27-52 View citations (77)
    See also Working Paper (2007)
14. Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence From Prediction Markets and Close Elections
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2007, 122, (2), 807-829 View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (2006)

2006

15. Bargaining in the Shadow of the Law: Divorce Laws and Family Distress
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2006, 121, (1), 267-288 View citations (60)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
16. Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets
    The Economic Record, 2006, 82, (258), 325-340 View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
17. Diagnosing Discrimination: Stock Returns and CEO Gender
    Journal of the European Economic Association, 2006, 4, (2-3), 531-541 View citations (16)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
18. Did Unilateral Divorce Laws Raise Divorce Rates? A Reconciliation and New Results
    American Economic Review, 2006, 96, (5), 1802-1820 View citations (47)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
19. Happiness and the Human Development Index: Australia Is Not a Paradox
    Australian Economic Review, 2006, 39, (2), 176-184 View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
20. Letter: A Reply to Rubin on the Death Penalty
    The Economists' Voice, 2006, 3, (5), 5
21. New uses for new macro derivatives
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2006, (Aug 25)
22. Point Shaving: Corruption in NCAA Basketball
    American Economic Review, 2006, 96, (2), 279-283 View citations (14)
23. The Death Penalty: No Evidence for Deterrence
    The Economists' Voice, 2006, 3, (5), 3 View citations (3)

2004

24. Experimental Political Betting Markets and the 2004 Election
    The Economists' Voice, 2004, 1, (2), 1 View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
25. Prediction Markets
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2004, 18, (2), 107-126 View citations (65)
    See also Working Paper (2004)

2003

26. Is Business Cycle Volatility Costly? Evidence from Surveys of Subjective Well-Being
    International Finance, 2003, 6, (1), 1-26 View citations (30)
    See also Working Paper (2003)

2000

27. The Role of Shocks and Institutions in the Rise of European Unemployment: The Aggregate Evidence
    Economic Journal, 2000, 110, (462), C1-33 View citations (596)
    See also Working Paper (1999)

Chapters

2009

1. Comment on "Marriage and Divorce since World War II: Analyzing the Role of Technological Progress on the Formation of Households"
   A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2008, Volume 23, 2009, pp 291-309 View citations (2)

2005

2. Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk
   A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2005, 2005, pp 11-50 View citations (8)
   See also Working Paper (2006)

2004

3. Disagreement about Inflation Expectations
   A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003, Volume 18, 2004, pp 209-270 View citations (29)
   See also Working Paper (2004)