Details about Jun Yu
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Short-id: pyu5
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Working Papers
2024
- A Note on AIC and TIC for Model Selection
Working Papers, University of Macau, Faculty of Business Administration
- Deviance Information Criterion for Model Selection:Theoretical Justification and Applications
Working Papers, University of Macau, Faculty of Business Administration
- Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models based on Generalized Fisher Transformation
Working Papers, University of Macau, Faculty of Business Administration
- On the Spectral Density of Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Processes
Working Papers, University of Macau, Faculty of Business Administration 
See also Journal Article On the spectral density of fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2024) (2024)
- Teaching Financial Econometrics to Students Converting to Finance
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University
- Testing Predictability in the Presence of Persistent Errors
Working Papers, University of Macau, Faculty of Business Administration
- Testing for an Explosive Bubble using High-Frequency Volatility
Working Papers, University of Macau, Faculty of Business Administration 
Also in Papers, arXiv.org (2024)
- The Time-varying Zone-like and Asymmetric Preference of Central Banks: Evidence from China
Working Papers, University of Macau, Faculty of Business Administration
2022
- A Panel Clustering Approach to Analyzing Bubble Behavior
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University View citations (2)
Also in Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2022) View citations (2)
See also Journal Article A PANEL CLUSTERING APPROACH TO ANALYZING BUBBLE BEHAVIOR, International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association (2023) (2023)
- Finite Sample Comparison of Alternative Estimators for Fractional Gaussian Noise
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics
- On the Optimal Forecast with the Fractional Brownian Motion
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics 
See also Journal Article On the optimal forecast with the fractional Brownian motion, Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals (2024) (2024)
- Robust Testing for Explosive Behavior with Strongly Dependent Errors
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (1)
Also in Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University (2022) View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Robust testing for explosive behavior with strongly dependent errors, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2024) View citations (1) (2024)
- Weak Identification of Long Memory with Implications for Inference
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (1)
Also in Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University (2022) View citations (1)
2021
- Different Strokes for Different Folks: Long Memory and Roughness
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics
- Latent Local-to-Unity Models
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Latent local-to-unity models, Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals (2023) (2023)
2020
- Asymptotic Properties of Least Squares Estimator in Local to Unity Processes with Fractional Gaussian Noises
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics 
See also Chapter Asymptotic Properties of the Least Squares Estimator in Local to Unity Processes with Fractional Gaussian Noise, Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited (2023) (2023)
- Econometric Methods and Data Science Techniques: A Review of Two Strands of Literature and an Introduction to Hybrid Methods
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics
- Forecast combinations in machine learning
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics
- Forecasting Singapore GDP using the SPF data
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics
- Local Powers of Least-Squares-Based Test for Panel Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics
- Persistent and Rough Volatility
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (3)
2019
- A Quantile-based Asset Pricing Model
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics
- Estimation and Inference of Fractional Continuous-Time Model with Discrete-Sampled Data
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (2)
- Forecasting Equity Index Volatility by Measuring the Linkage among Component Stocks
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics 
See also Journal Article Forecasting Equity Index Volatility by Measuring the Linkage among Component Stocks*, Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press (2022) View citations (1) (2022)
- Housing Equity and Household Consumption in Retirement: Evidence from the Singapore Life Panel
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics 
See also Journal Article Housing equity and household consumption in retirement: evidence from the Singapore Life Panel©, New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals (2021) (2021)
- Improved Marginal Likelihood Estimation via Power Posteriors and Importance Sampling
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Improved marginal likelihood estimation via power posteriors and importance sampling, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2023) (2023)
- Maximum Likelihood Estimation for the Fractional Vasicek Model
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (3)
See also Journal Article Maximum Likelihood Estimation for the Fractional Vasicek Model, Econometrics, MDPI (2020) View citations (1) (2020)
2018
- A New Wald Test for Hypothesis Testing Based on MCMC outputs
Papers, arXiv.org
- A Posterior-Based Wald-Type Statistic for Hypothesis Testing
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics 
See also Journal Article Posterior-based Wald-type statistics for hypothesis testing, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2022) View citations (2) (2022)
- Asymptotic Theory for Rough Fractional Vasicek Models
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Asymptotic theory for rough fractional Vasicek models, Economics Letters, Elsevier (2019) View citations (5) (2019)
- Integrated Deviance Information Criterion for Latent Variable Models
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (1)
- Mild-explosive and Local-to-mild-explosive Autoregressions with Serially Correlated Errors
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics
- The Grid Bootstrap for Continuous Time Models
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics 
See also Journal Article The Grid Bootstrap for Continuous Time Models, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2022) (2022)
2017
- A Specification Test based on the MCMC Output
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics 
See also Journal Article Specification tests based on MCMC output, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2018) View citations (2) (2018)
- Asymptotic Theory for Estimating Drift Parameters in the Fractional Vasicek Model
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics 
See also Journal Article ASYMPTOTIC THEORY FOR ESTIMATING DRIFT PARAMETERS IN THE FRACTIONAL VASICEK MODEL, Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press (2019) View citations (9) (2019)
- Bubble Testing under Deterministic Trends
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (1)
- Deviance Information Criterion for Bayesian Model Selection: Justification and Variation
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (3)
- In-fill Asymptotic Theory for Structural Break Point in Autoregression: A Unified Theory
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (5)
- Model Selection for Explosive Models
Papers, arXiv.org 
Also in Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2016) 
See also Chapter Model Selection for Explosive Models, Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited (2020) View citations (1) (2020)
- Random Coefficient Continuous Systems: Testing for Extreme Sample Path Behaviour
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (3)
Also in Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University (2017) View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Random coefficient continuous systems: Testing for extreme sample path behavior, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2019) View citations (8) (2019)
2016
- Asymptotic Theory for Estimating the Persistent Parameter in the Fractional Vasicek Model
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics
- Shrinkage Estimation of Covariance Matrix for Portfolio Choice with High Frequency Data
Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (1)
2014
- A Bayesian Chi-Squared Test for Hypothesis Testing
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics 
See also Journal Article A Bayesian chi-squared test for hypothesis testing, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2015) View citations (13) (2015)
- A New Hedonic Regression for Real Estate Prices Applied to the Singapore Residential Market
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University View citations (6)
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2014) View citations (7)
- Bayesian Analysis of Bubbles in Asset Prices
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Bayesian Analysis of Bubbles in Asset Prices, Econometrics, MDPI (2017) View citations (5) (2017)
- Deviance Information Criterion for Comparing VAR Models
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (1)
See also Chapter Deviance Information Criterion for Comparing VAR Models, Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited (2014) View citations (1) (2014)
- On Bias in the Estimation of Structural Break Points
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics
2013
- Bias in the Mean Reversion Estimator in Continuous-Time Gaussian and Levy Processes
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics 
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2013) View citations (2)
- Limit Theory for an Explosive Autoregressive Process
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Limit theory for an explosive autoregressive process, Economics Letters, Elsevier (2015) View citations (17) (2015)
- Testing for Multiple Bubbles 1: Historical Episodes of Exuberance and Collapse in the S&P 500
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (93)
Also in Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University (2013) View citations (86)
See also Journal Article TESTING FOR MULTIPLE BUBBLES: HISTORICAL EPISODES OF EXUBERANCE AND COLLAPSE IN THE S&P 500, International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association (2015) View citations (167) (2015)
- Testing for Multiple Bubbles 2: Limit Theory of Real Time Detectors
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics 
Also in Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University (2013) View citations (5) Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2013) View citations (6)
See also Journal Article TESTING FOR MULTIPLE BUBBLES: LIMIT THEORY OF REAL‐TIME DETECTORS, International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association (2015) View citations (79) (2015)
2012
- A New Bayesian Unit Root Test in Stochastic Volatility Models
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics 
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2010) View citations (3)
- Asymptotic Distributions of the Least Squares Estimator for Diffusion Processes
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics 
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2010) View citations (8)
- Bayesian Learning of Impacts of Self-Exciting Jumps in Returns and Volatility
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (2)
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (2011)
- Detecting Bubbles in Hong Kong Residential Property Market
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics 
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2012) View citations (10)
See also Journal Article Detecting bubbles in Hong Kong residential property market, Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier (2013) View citations (79) (2013)
- Double Asymptotics for Explosive Continuous Time Models
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics 
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2011) View citations (11)
See also Journal Article Double asymptotics for explosive continuous time models, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2016) View citations (17) (2016)
- Investigating Impacts of Self-Exciting Jumps in Returns and Volatility: A Bayesian Learning Approach
Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University View citations (2)
- Optimal Jackknife for Discrete Time and Continuous Time Unit Root Models
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics 
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2011) View citations (1)
- Robust Deviance Information Criterion for Latent Variable Models
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (18)
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics
- Simulated Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Latent Diffusion Models
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics 
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2011)  Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (2011)
- Specification Sensitivity in Right-Tailed Unit Root Testing for Explosive Behavior
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University View citations (3)
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2011) View citations (8) Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2012) View citations (4) Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (2011) 
See also Journal Article Specification Sensitivity in Right-Tailed Unit Root Testing for Explosive Behaviour, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford (2014) View citations (89) (2014)
- Testing for Multiple Bubbles
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (78)
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2011) View citations (52) Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University (2012) View citations (51) Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (2011)
2011
- Bayesian Hypothesis Testing in Latent Variable Models
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Bayesian hypothesis testing in latent variable models, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2012) View citations (25) (2012)
- Bias in Estimating Multivariate and Univariate Diffusions
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University View citations (13)
See also Journal Article Bias in estimating multivariate and univariate diffusions, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2011) View citations (12) (2011)
- Speci fication Sensitivities in Right-Tailed Unit Root Testing for Financial Bubbles
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (1)
Also in Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research (2011) View citations (3) Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (2011)
2010
- A Conversation with Eric Ghysels Co-President of the Society for Financial Econometrics
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics
- Corrigendum to “A Gaussian Approach for Continuous Time Models of the Short Term Interest Rate"
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics
- Dating the Timeline of Financial Bubbles during the Subprime Crisis
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University View citations (15)
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2009) View citations (13) Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (2009)  Finance Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research (2009) View citations (13)
See also Journal Article Dating the timeline of financial bubbles during the subprime crisis, Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society (2011) View citations (344) (2011)
- Estimating the GARCH Diffusion: Simulated Maximum Likelihood in Continuous Time
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (1)
- Measurement and High Finance
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics
- Simulation-based Estimation Methods for Financial Time Series Models
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (1)
2009
- Automated Likelihood Based Inference for Stochastic Volatility Models
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (1)
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (2007)  Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (2007)
- Bayesian Analysis of Structural Credit Risk Models with Microstructure Noises
Finance Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research 
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics 
See also Journal Article Bayesian analysis of structural credit risk models with microstructure noises, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2010) View citations (16) (2010)
- Bias in the Estimation of the Mean Reversion Parameter in Continuous Time Models
Microeconomics Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research View citations (1)
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (2008)  Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2009) View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Bias in the estimation of the mean reversion parameter in continuous time models, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2012) View citations (29) (2012)
- Econometric Analysis of Continuous Time Models: A Survey of Peter Phillips' Work and Some New Results
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics 
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (2009) 
See also Journal Article ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF CONTINUOUS TIME MODELS: A SURVEY OF PETER PHILLIPS’S WORK AND SOME NEW RESULTS, Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press (2014) View citations (10) (2014)
- Econometric Analysis of Continuous Time Models: A Survey of Peter Phillips’ Work and Some New Results
Microeconomics Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research
- Explosive Behavior in the 1990s Nasdaq: When Did Exuberance Escalate Asset Values?
Finance Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research View citations (24)
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2009) View citations (28) Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (2009)  Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University (2009) View citations (24) Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research (2007) View citations (9)
See also Journal Article EXPLOSIVE BEHAVIOR IN THE 1990s NASDAQ: WHEN DID EXUBERANCE ESCALATE ASSET VALUES?, International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association (2011) View citations (586) (2011)
- Forecasting Realized Volatility Using A Nonnegative Semiparametric Model
Finance Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research 
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics View citations (2) Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2009) View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Forecasting Realized Volatility Using a Nonnegative Semiparametric Model, JRFM, MDPI (2019) View citations (4) (2019)
- Information Loss in Volatility Measurement with Flat Price Trading
Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University View citations (1)
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (2008)  Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University (2007) View citations (4) Levine's Bibliography, UCLA Department of Economics (2007) View citations (5)
See also Chapter Information loss in volatility measurement with flat price trading, Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics, Springer (2024) (2024) Journal Article Information loss in volatility measurement with flat price trading, Empirical Economics, Springer (2023) View citations (1) (2023)
- Simulated Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Continuous Time Stochastic Volatility Models
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics View citations (1)
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2009) 
See also Chapter Simulated maximum likelihood estimation of continuous time stochastic volatility models, Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited (2010) (2010)
2008
- A Semiparametric Stochastic Volatility Model
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics 
See also Journal Article A semiparametric stochastic volatility model, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2012) View citations (40) (2012)
- Simulation-based Estimation of Contingent-claims Prices
Finance Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research View citations (1)
Also in Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics  Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University (2007) View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Simulation-Based Estimation of Contingent-Claims Prices, The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies (2009) View citations (18) (2009)
2007
- Maximum Likelihood and Gaussian Estimation of Continuous Time Models in Finance
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University View citations (1)
Also in Development Economics Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research (2006) View citations (4) Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics
2006
- A Two-Stage Realized Volatility Approach to Estimation of Diffusion Processes with Discrete
Macroeconomics Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research
- Indirect Inference for Dynamic Panel Models
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University View citations (2)
Also in Development Economics Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research (2006) View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Indirect inference for dynamic panel models, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2010) View citations (77) (2010)
- Multivariate Stochastic Volatility
Microeconomics Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research View citations (268)
- Temporal Aggregation and Risk-Return Relation
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics 
See also Journal Article Temporal aggregation and risk-return relation, Finance Research Letters, Elsevier (2007) (2007)
2005
- A Two-Stage Realized Volatility Approach to the Estimation for Diffusion Processes from Discrete Observations
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University View citations (8)
- Comment on “Realized Variance and Market Microstructure Noise†by Peter R. Hansen and Asger Lunde
Finance Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research
- Comment on “Realized Variance and Market Microstructure Noise” by Peter R. Hansen and Asger Lunde
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics
- Comments on “A selective overview of nonparametric methods in financial econometricsâ€Â
Finance Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research View citations (3)
- Comments on “A Selective Overview of Nonparametric Methods in Financial Econometrics” by Jianqing Fan
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (6)
2004
- Asymmetric Response of Volatility: Evidence from Stochastic Volatility Models and Realized Volatility
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (4)
- Jackknifing Bond Option Prices
Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings, Econometric Society View citations (2)
Also in Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University (2003) View citations (3) Working Papers, Department of Economics, The University of Auckland (2002) 
See also Journal Article Jackknifing Bond Option Prices, The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies (2005) View citations (63) (2005)
- Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models: Bayesian Estimation and Model Comparison
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models: Bayesian Estimation and Model Comparison, Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals (2006) View citations (80) (2006)
- On Leverage in a Stochastic Volatility Model
Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings, Econometric Society View citations (7)
Also in Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings, Econometric Society (2004) View citations (7) Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2004) View citations (7)
See also Journal Article On leverage in a stochastic volatility model, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2005) View citations (220) (2005)
2002
- A Class of Nonlinear Stochastic Volatility Models
Working Papers, Department of Economics, The University of Auckland View citations (9)
- A Class of Nonlinear Stochastic Volatility Models and Its Implications on Pricing Currency Options
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics View citations (8)
See also Journal Article A class of nonlinear stochastic volatility models and its implications for pricing currency options, Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier (2006) View citations (28) (2006)
- Deviance Information Criterion as a Model Comparison Criterion for Stochastic Volatility Models
Working Papers, Department of Economics, The University of Auckland
- Estimation of Hyperbolic Diffusion Using MCMC Method
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics View citations (12)
Also in Working Papers, Department of Economics, The University of Auckland (2002)
- MCMC Methods for Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models with Liverage Effects: Comments on Jacquier, Polson and Rossi (2002)
Working Papers, Department of Economics, The University of Auckland View citations (8)
2001
- Forecasting Volatility:Evidence from the German Stock Market
Working Papers, Department of Economics, The University of Auckland View citations (5)
- Gaussian Estimation of Continuous Time Models of the Short Term Interest Rate
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University View citations (24)
2000
- BUGS for a Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Volatility Models
Working Papers, Department of Economics, The University of Auckland View citations (78)
See also Journal Article BUGS for a Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility models, Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society (2000) View citations (80) (2000)
- Exact Gaussian Estimation of Continuous Time Models of The Term Structure of Interest Rates Rankings of Economics Departments in New Zealand
Working Papers, Department of Economics, The University of Auckland
1999
- A Test Statistic and Its Application in Modelling Daily Stock Returns
Working Papers, Department of Economics, The University of Auckland
- Do Topics Diffuse from Core to Periphery Journals?
Working Papers, Department of Economics, The University of Auckland
- Efficient Estimation of the Stochastic Volatility Model by the Empirical Characteristic Function Method
Working Papers, Department of Economics, The University of Auckland
- Empirical Characteristic Function in Time Series Estimation
Working Papers, Department of Economics, The University of Auckland View citations (1)
See also Journal Article EMPIRICAL CHARACTERISTIC FUNCTION IN TIME SERIES ESTIMATION, Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press (2002) View citations (41) (2002)
- Estimation of a Self-Exciting Poisson Jump Diffusion Model by the Empirical Characteristic Function Method
Working Papers, Department of Economics, The University of Auckland
- Forecasting Volatility in the New Zealand Stock Market
Working Papers, Department of Economics, The University of Auckland View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Forecasting volatility in the New Zealand stock market, Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2002) View citations (70) (2002)
Undated
- Limit Theory for Dating the Origination and Collapse of Mildly Explosive Periods in Time Series Data
Working Papers, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics
Journal Articles
2025
- Fractional stochastic volatility model
Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2025, 46, (2), 378-397
2024
- On the optimal forecast with the fractional Brownian motion
Quantitative Finance, 2024, 24, (2), 337-346 
See also Working Paper On the Optimal Forecast with the Fractional Brownian Motion, Economics and Statistics Working Papers (2022) (2022)
- On the spectral density of fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes
Journal of Econometrics, 2024, 245, (1) 
See also Working Paper On the Spectral Density of Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Processes, Working Papers (2024) (2024)
- Robust testing for explosive behavior with strongly dependent errors
Journal of Econometrics, 2024, 238, (2) View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Robust Testing for Explosive Behavior with Strongly Dependent Errors, Economics and Statistics Working Papers (2022) View citations (1) (2022)
2023
- A PANEL CLUSTERING APPROACH TO ANALYZING BUBBLE BEHAVIOR
International Economic Review, 2023, 64, (4), 1347-1395 
See also Working Paper A Panel Clustering Approach to Analyzing Bubble Behavior, Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers (2022) View citations (2) (2022)
- Bubble testing under polynomial trends
The Econometrics Journal, 2023, 26, (1), 25-44
- Improved marginal likelihood estimation via power posteriors and importance sampling
Journal of Econometrics, 2023, 234, (1), 28-52 
See also Working Paper Improved Marginal Likelihood Estimation via Power Posteriors and Importance Sampling, Economics and Statistics Working Papers (2019) View citations (1) (2019)
- Information loss in volatility measurement with flat price trading
Empirical Economics, 2023, 64, (6), 2957-2999 View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Information Loss in Volatility Measurement with Flat Price Trading, Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series (2009) View citations (1) (2009) Chapter Information loss in volatility measurement with flat price trading, Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics, 2024, 501-543 (2024) (2024)
- Latent local-to-unity models
Econometric Reviews, 2023, 42, (7), 586-611 
See also Working Paper Latent Local-to-Unity Models, Economics and Statistics Working Papers (2021) View citations (1) (2021)
- Modeling and forecasting realized volatility with the fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process
Journal of Econometrics, 2023, 232, (2), 389-415 View citations (11)
- Volatility Puzzle: Long Memory or Antipersistency
Management Science, 2023, 69, (7), 3861-3883
2022
- Forecasting Equity Index Volatility by Measuring the Linkage among Component Stocks*
(Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models Do Provide Accurate Forecasts)
Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2022, 20, (1), 160-186 View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Forecasting Equity Index Volatility by Measuring the Linkage among Component Stocks, Economics and Statistics Working Papers (2019) (2019)
- Posterior-based Wald-type statistics for hypothesis testing
Journal of Econometrics, 2022, 230, (1), 83-113 View citations (2)
See also Working Paper A Posterior-Based Wald-Type Statistic for Hypothesis Testing, Economics and Statistics Working Papers (2018) (2018)
- The Grid Bootstrap for Continuous Time Models
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2022, 40, (3), 1390-1402 
See also Working Paper The Grid Bootstrap for Continuous Time Models, Economics and Statistics Working Papers (2018) (2018)
2021
- Housing equity and household consumption in retirement: evidence from the Singapore Life Panel©
New Zealand Economic Papers, 2021, 55, (1), 124-140 
See also Working Paper Housing Equity and Household Consumption in Retirement: Evidence from the Singapore Life Panel, Economics and Statistics Working Papers (2019) (2019)
- Mildly Explosive Autoregression with Anti‐persistent Errors
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2021, 83, (2), 518-539 View citations (2)
2020
- Deviance information criterion for latent variable models and misspecified models
Journal of Econometrics, 2020, 216, (2), 450-493 View citations (13)
- In-fill asymptotic theory for structural break point in autoregressions
Econometric Reviews, 2020, 40, (4), 359-386 View citations (1)
- Maximum Likelihood Estimation for the Fractional Vasicek Model
Econometrics, 2020, 8, (3), 1-28 View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Maximum Likelihood Estimation for the Fractional Vasicek Model, Economics and Statistics Working Papers (2019) View citations (3) (2019)
2019
- ASYMPTOTIC THEORY FOR ESTIMATING DRIFT PARAMETERS IN THE FRACTIONAL VASICEK MODEL
Econometric Theory, 2019, 35, (1), 198-231 View citations (9)
See also Working Paper Asymptotic Theory for Estimating Drift Parameters in the Fractional Vasicek Model, Economics and Statistics Working Papers (2017) (2017)
- An Improved Bayesian Unit Root Test in Stochastic Volatility Models
Annals of Economics and Finance, 2019, 20, (1), 103-122
- Asymptotic theory for rough fractional Vasicek models
Economics Letters, 2019, 177, (C), 26-29 View citations (5)
See also Working Paper Asymptotic Theory for Rough Fractional Vasicek Models, Economics and Statistics Working Papers (2018) View citations (1) (2018)
- Forecasting Realized Volatility Using a Nonnegative Semiparametric Model
JRFM, 2019, 12, (3), 1-23 View citations (4)
See also Working Paper Forecasting Realized Volatility Using A Nonnegative Semiparametric Model, Finance Working Papers (2009) (2009)
- Random coefficient continuous systems: Testing for extreme sample path behavior
Journal of Econometrics, 2019, 209, (2), 208-237 View citations (8)
See also Working Paper Random Coefficient Continuous Systems: Testing for Extreme Sample Path Behaviour, Economics and Statistics Working Papers (2017) View citations (3) (2017)
2018
- New distribution theory for the estimation of structural break point in mean
Journal of Econometrics, 2018, 205, (1), 156-176 View citations (9)
- Specification tests based on MCMC output
Journal of Econometrics, 2018, 207, (1), 237-260 View citations (2)
See also Working Paper A Specification Test based on the MCMC Output, Economics and Statistics Working Papers (2017) (2017)
2017
- Bayesian Analysis of Bubbles in Asset Prices
Econometrics, 2017, 5, (4), 1-23 View citations (5)
See also Working Paper Bayesian Analysis of Bubbles in Asset Prices, Working Papers (2014) View citations (2) (2014)
- Inference in continuous systems with mildly explosive regressors
Journal of Econometrics, 2017, 201, (2), 400-416 View citations (13)
2016
- Double asymptotics for explosive continuous time models
Journal of Econometrics, 2016, 193, (1), 35-53 View citations (17)
See also Working Paper Double Asymptotics for Explosive Continuous Time Models, Working Papers (2012) (2012)
2015
- A Bayesian chi-squared test for hypothesis testing
Journal of Econometrics, 2015, 189, (1), 54-69 View citations (13)
See also Working Paper A Bayesian Chi-Squared Test for Hypothesis Testing, Working Papers (2014) (2014)
- Asymptotic theory for linear diffusions under alternative sampling schemes
Economics Letters, 2015, 128, (C), 1-5 View citations (14)
- Bias in the estimation of mean reversion in continuous-time Lévy processes
Economics Letters, 2015, 134, (C), 16-19 View citations (2)
- Editorial
Spatial Economic Analysis, 2015, 10, (1), 1-10
- Limit theory for an explosive autoregressive process
Economics Letters, 2015, 126, (C), 176-180 View citations (17)
See also Working Paper Limit Theory for an Explosive Autoregressive Process, Working Papers (2013) View citations (1) (2013)
- New methodology for constructing real estate price indices applied to the Singapore residential market
Journal of Banking & Finance, 2015, 61, (S2), S121-S131 View citations (20)
- Optimal jackknife for unit root models
Statistics & Probability Letters, 2015, 99, (C), 135-142 View citations (7)
- Self-Exciting Jumps, Learning, and Asset Pricing Implications
The Review of Financial Studies, 2015, 28, (3), 876-912 View citations (28)
- TESTING FOR MULTIPLE BUBBLES: HISTORICAL EPISODES OF EXUBERANCE AND COLLAPSE IN THE S&P 500
International Economic Review, 2015, 56, (4), 1043-1078 View citations (167)
See also Working Paper Testing for Multiple Bubbles 1: Historical Episodes of Exuberance and Collapse in the S&P 500, Working Papers (2013) View citations (93) (2013)
- TESTING FOR MULTIPLE BUBBLES: LIMIT THEORY OF REAL‐TIME DETECTORS
International Economic Review, 2015, 56, (4), 1079-1134 View citations (79)
See also Working Paper Testing for Multiple Bubbles 2: Limit Theory of Real Time Detectors, Working Papers (2013) (2013)
2014
- A flexible and automated likelihood based framework for inference in stochastic volatility models
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2014, 76, (C), 642-654 View citations (2)
- A new approach to Bayesian hypothesis testing
Journal of Econometrics, 2014, 178, (P3), 602-612 View citations (18)
- ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF CONTINUOUS TIME MODELS: A SURVEY OF PETER PHILLIPS’S WORK AND SOME NEW RESULTS
Econometric Theory, 2014, 30, (4), 737-774 View citations (10)
See also Working Paper Econometric Analysis of Continuous Time Models: A Survey of Peter Phillips' Work and Some New Results, Working Papers (2009) (2009)
- Maximum likelihood estimation of partially observed diffusion models
Journal of Econometrics, 2014, 180, (1), 73-80 View citations (2)
- SPECIAL ISSUE OF ECONOMETRIC THEORY ON SETA 2010: EDITORS’ INTRODUCTION
Econometric Theory, 2014, 30, (1), 1-2
- Specification Sensitivity in Right-Tailed Unit Root Testing for Explosive Behaviour
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2014, 76, (3), 315-333 View citations (89)
See also Working Paper Specification Sensitivity in Right-Tailed Unit Root Testing for Explosive Behavior, Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers (2012) View citations (3) (2012)
2013
- Detecting bubbles in Hong Kong residential property market
Journal of Asian Economics, 2013, 28, (C), 115-124 View citations (79)
See also Working Paper Detecting Bubbles in Hong Kong Residential Property Market, Working Papers (2012) (2012)
2012
- A semiparametric stochastic volatility model
Journal of Econometrics, 2012, 167, (2), 473-482 View citations (40)
See also Working Paper A Semiparametric Stochastic Volatility Model, Working Papers (2008) (2008)
- Bayesian hypothesis testing in latent variable models
Journal of Econometrics, 2012, 166, (2), 237-246 View citations (25)
See also Working Paper Bayesian Hypothesis Testing in Latent Variable Models, Working Papers (2011) View citations (1) (2011)
- Bias in the estimation of the mean reversion parameter in continuous time models
Journal of Econometrics, 2012, 169, (1), 114-122 View citations (29)
See also Working Paper Bias in the Estimation of the Mean Reversion Parameter in Continuous Time Models, Microeconomics Working Papers (2009) View citations (1) (2009)
2011
- Bias in estimating multivariate and univariate diffusions
Journal of Econometrics, 2011, 161, (2), 228-245 View citations (12)
See also Working Paper Bias in Estimating Multivariate and Univariate Diffusions, Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers (2011) View citations (13) (2011)
- Corrigendum to ‘A Gaussian approach for continuous time models of short‐term interest rates’ (Yu, J. and P. C. B. Phillips, Econometrics Journal, 4, 210–24)
Econometrics Journal, 2011, 14, 126-129
- Dating the timeline of financial bubbles during the subprime crisis
Quantitative Economics, 2011, 2, (3), 455-491 View citations (344)
See also Working Paper Dating the Timeline of Financial Bubbles during the Subprime Crisis, Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers (2010) View citations (15) (2010)
- EXPLOSIVE BEHAVIOR IN THE 1990s NASDAQ: WHEN DID EXUBERANCE ESCALATE ASSET VALUES?
International Economic Review, 2011, 52, (1), 201-226 View citations (586)
See also Working Paper Explosive Behavior in the 1990s Nasdaq: When Did Exuberance Escalate Asset Values?, Finance Working Papers (2009) View citations (24) (2009)
2010
- Bayesian analysis of structural credit risk models with microstructure noises
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2010, 34, (11), 2259-2272 View citations (16)
See also Working Paper Bayesian Analysis of Structural Credit Risk Models with Microstructure Noises, Finance Working Papers (2009) (2009)
- Indirect inference for dynamic panel models
Journal of Econometrics, 2010, 157, (1), 68-77 View citations (77)
See also Working Paper Indirect Inference for Dynamic Panel Models, Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers (2006) View citations (2) (2006)
2009
- A two-stage realized volatility approach to estimation of diffusion processes with discrete data
Journal of Econometrics, 2009, 150, (2), 139-150 View citations (15)
- Simulation-Based Estimation of Contingent-Claims Prices
The Review of Financial Studies, 2009, 22, (9), 3669-3705 View citations (18)
See also Working Paper Simulation-based Estimation of Contingent-claims Prices, Finance Working Papers (2008) View citations (1) (2008)
2007
- Realized Daily Variance of S&P 500 Cash Index: A Revaluation of Stylized Facts
Annals of Economics and Finance, 2007, 8, (1), 33-56 View citations (3)
- Temporal aggregation and risk-return relation
Finance Research Letters, 2007, 4, (2), 104-115 
See also Working Paper Temporal Aggregation and Risk-Return Relation, Working Papers (2006) (2006)
2006
- A class of nonlinear stochastic volatility models and its implications for pricing currency options
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2006, 51, (4), 2218-2231 View citations (28)
See also Working Paper A Class of Nonlinear Stochastic Volatility Models and Its Implications on Pricing Currency Options, Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers (2002) View citations (8) (2002)
- Comment
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2006, 24, 202-208
- Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models: Bayesian Estimation and Model Comparison
Econometric Reviews, 2006, 25, (2-3), 361-384 View citations (80)
See also Working Paper Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models: Bayesian Estimation and Model Comparison, Working Papers (2004) View citations (1) (2004)
- Multivariate Stochastic Volatility: A Review
Econometric Reviews, 2006, 25, (2-3), 145-175 View citations (232)
2005
- Jackknifing Bond Option Prices
The Review of Financial Studies, 2005, 18, (2), 707-742 View citations (63)
See also Working Paper Jackknifing Bond Option Prices, Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings (2004) View citations (2) (2004)
- On leverage in a stochastic volatility model
Journal of Econometrics, 2005, 127, (2), 165-178 View citations (220)
See also Working Paper On Leverage in a Stochastic Volatility Model, Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings (2004) View citations (7) (2004)
2004
- Deviance Information Criterion for Comparing Stochastic Volatility Models
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2004, 22, (1), 107-20 View citations (103)
- Empirical Characteristic Function Estimation and Its Applications
Econometric Reviews, 2004, 23, (2), 93-123 View citations (50)
- Estimation of hyperbolic diffusion using the Markov chain Monte Carlo method
Quantitative Finance, 2004, 4, (2), 158-169 View citations (14)
2002
- EMPIRICAL CHARACTERISTIC FUNCTION IN TIME SERIES ESTIMATION
Econometric Theory, 2002, 18, (3), 691-721 View citations (41)
See also Working Paper Empirical Characteristic Function in Time Series Estimation, Working Papers (1999) View citations (1) (1999)
- Forecasting volatility in the New Zealand stock market
Applied Financial Economics, 2002, 12, (3), 193-202 View citations (70)
See also Working Paper Forecasting Volatility in the New Zealand Stock Market, Working Papers (1999) View citations (1) (1999)
- Theory & Methods: Estimation of the Stochastic Volatility Model by the Empirical Characteristic Function Method
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics, 2002, 44, (3), 319-335 View citations (20)
2001
- A Gaussian approach for continuous time models of the short-term interest rate
Econometrics Journal, 2001, 4, (2), 3 View citations (32)
- Do Stock Returns Follow a Finite Variance Distribution?
Annals of Economics and Finance, 2001, 2, (2), 467-486 View citations (6)
2000
- BUGS for a Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility models
Econometrics Journal, 2000, 3, (2), 198-215 View citations (80)
See also Working Paper BUGS for a Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Volatility Models, Working Papers (2000) View citations (78) (2000)
1999
- Testing the expectations theory of the term structure for New Zealand
New Zealand Economic Papers, 1999, 33, (1), 93-114 View citations (6)
Undated
- On stiffness in affine asset pricing models
Journal of Computational Finance
Chapters
2024
- Information loss in volatility measurement with flat price trading
Springer
See also Working Paper Information Loss in Volatility Measurement with Flat Price Trading, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University (2009) View citations (1) (2009) Journal Article Information loss in volatility measurement with flat price trading, Springer (2023) View citations (1) (2023)
2023
- Asymptotic Properties of the Least Squares Estimator in Local to Unity Processes with Fractional Gaussian Noise
A chapter in Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Theory, 2023, vol. 45A, pp 73-95 
See also Working Paper Asymptotic Properties of Least Squares Estimator in Local to Unity Processes with Fractional Gaussian Noises, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2020) (2020)
2020
- Model Selection for Explosive Models
A chapter in Essays in Honor of Cheng Hsiao, 2020, vol. 41, pp 73-103 View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Model Selection for Explosive Models, arXiv.org (2017) (2017)
2014
- Deviance Information Criterion for Comparing VAR Models
A chapter in Essays in Honor of Peter C. B. Phillips, 2014, vol. 33, pp 615-637 View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Deviance Information Criterion for Comparing VAR Models, Singapore Management University, School of Economics (2014) View citations (1) (2014)
2010
- Simulated maximum likelihood estimation of continuous time stochastic volatility models
A chapter in Maximum Simulated Likelihood Methods and Applications, 2010, pp 137-161 
See also Working Paper Simulated Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Continuous Time Stochastic Volatility Models, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (2009) View citations (1) (2009)
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