CESifo Working Paper Series

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12710: Growing Together and Apart: Scale Economies and Labor Specialization in Global Value Chains

Björn Thor Arnarson, Magnus Tolum Buus, Andreas Moxnes, Jakob Roland Munch and Chong Xiang

12709: The Link Between Monetary Policy and the Labor Share - New Empirical Evidence and Theoretical Considerations

Harald Badinger, Christian Glocker and Stefan Schiman-Vukan

12708: Do People Support Information Campaigns About Inequality?

Sebastian Blesse, Philipp Lergetporer, Clara-Marie Pache and Helen Zeidler

12707: Does Military Spending Stabilize or Destabilize Governments? International Analysis

Rajeev K. Goel and Michael A. Nelson

12706: Estimating the Demand for a Digital Euro: A Survey Approach for France, Germany and Italy

Bernd Hayo, Matthias Neuenkirch and Manuel Walz

12705: Extreme Weather Events and Mental Health Services Use Among Working-Age Adults

Noel Del Castillo, Harold Cuffe and Ilan Noy

12704: On the Relative Deservingness of Capital and Labor

Florian H. Schneider, Vanessa Valero and Roberto A. Weber

12703: Family Background at Labour-Market Entry: Who Can Afford Early-Career Risk?

Esperanza Vera-Toscano and Ana Gamarra Rondinel

12702: Trade, Skills and Productivity

Giordano Mion and Joana Silva

12701: Tariffs and Capital Flows

Sugata Marjit, Gouranga Das, Mausumi Kar, Ujjyini Kar and Lei Yang

12700: Hypocrisy in a Simple Social Interaction Model

Mikhail Anufriev, Kirill Borisov and Mikhail Pakhnin

12699: La Bohème? Labour Market Outcomes among Artists in Europe and the Effects of Cultural Policy

Ioannis Laliotis and Christos A. Makridis

12698: Optimal Default in a Small Open Economy: Senegal’s Hidden Debt Crisis

Louphou Coulibaly and Abdoulaye Ndiaye

12697: From People’s War to People’s Rule: Rebel Governance and the Foundations of Inclusive Democracy

Bhishma Bhusha, Soledad Artiz Pillaman, Michael J. Callen, Deepak Singharia, Rohini Pande and Apurva Subedi

12696: A Practical Guide to Instrumental Variables Methods with Heterogeneous Treatment Effects

Tymon Stoczyński, Liang Sun, S. Derya Uysal and Derya Uysal

12695: The Survival of the Energy-Fittest: Evidence from French Manufacturing Firms

Ara Jo and Sébastien Houde

12694: Slice to Protect

Peter Eppinger, Bohdan Kukharskyy, Alireza Naghavi and Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano

12693: Intergenerational Transmission of Victimization

Sonia Bhalotra, N. Meltem Daysal, Mathias Fjellgaard Jensen, Thomas H. Jørgensen and Sébastien Montpetit

12692: Dishonesty in Complex Environments: Deliberate Lies, Shortcuts, or Accidental Mistakes?

Pascal Nieder and Sven Arne Simon

12691: Science on the Move: How Experiential Pedagogy Shapes Human Capital

Nitin Kumar Bharti, Samreen Malik, Abhiroop Mukhopadhyay and Nishith Prakash

12690: Determinants of Tobacco Tax Noncompliance: Evidence Among German Smokers

Maike Roth and Friedrich Schneider

12689: Pluralism Breeds Tolerance

Folco Panizza, Eugen Dimant, Erik O. Kimbrough and Alexander Vostroknutov

12688: Cues, Attention, and Charitable Giving

Luca Henkel, Christoph Oslislo and Frederik Schwerter

12687: The Complementary Role of Information and Contraceptive Access in Teen Pregnancy

Sevin Kaytan, Stwarth Piedra-Bonilla and Tom Zohar

12686: On Causal Inference with Model-Based Outcomes

Dmitry Arkhangelsky, Kazuharu Yanagimoto and Tom Zohar

12685: Separations Revisited: Do Layoffs or Quits Drive Lower Separation Rates in High-Quality Firms?

Cauê Dobbin, Daniel Fernandez and Tom Zohar

12684: The Price of Protection: Tariff Incidence and Import Collapse Under the Infamous Smoot-Hawley Tariff

Kris James Mitchener and Mathieu Pedemonte

12683: Private Interest in the Public Good: Cholera and the Origins of Sanitary Reform

Daniel Gallardo-Albarrán and Kalle Kappner

12682: Optimal Immigration Policy in the Face of Potential Radicalization

Alessandro Cigno, Alessandro Gioffré and Annalisa Luporini

12681: AI Sycophancy and Decisions

John Conlon and Peter Schwardmann

12680: Performance Pay in the Hybrid Work Economy

Jean-Victor Alipour

12679: Expenditure Cuts vs. Tax Hikes: Economic Effects of Municipal Consolidation Strategies

Zohal Hessami, Maximilian Thomas and Georg U. Thunecke

12678: The Sum of All (Workplace) Fears: How Managers Mediate the Fear of AI Job Displacement

Christos Makridis and Christos A. Makridis

12677: The Economic Costs of Health Protection During COVID-19: A Sign-Restricted Var Analysis Across Countries

Michaela Paffenholz and Gerome Wolf

12676: The Heterogeneous Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy

Jorge Abad, Saki Bigio, Salomon Garcia-Villegas, Joël Marbet and Galo Nuño Barrau

12675: The Euro as an Optimum Currency Area? A Reappraisal

Moritz Pfeifer and Gunther Schnabl

12674: Are Gender Norms Shaped by Who Earns More?

Hanna Brosch, Elisabeth Grewenig, Philipp Lergetporer, Katharina Werner and Helen Zeidler

12673: Demand for Conversational AI

Elliott Ash, Francesco Capozza and Sergio Galletta

12672: Mind the Break-Up: When Policy Disrupts Firms' Supply Chains

Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain and Martina Magli

12671: The Macroeconomics of Wage Rigidity and Job Separations

Andrés Blanco, Andrés Drenik, Christian Moser and Emilio Zaratiegui

12670: Fiscal Policy and Transition Risk

Stefano Carattini, Garth Heutel, Givi Melkadze and Inès Mourelon

12669: Airline Merger Effects Along the Exposure Distribution

Benjamin T. Leyden

12668: The Working Life of a Teacher: Lessons from the Danish Matched Student-Teacher Data

Maria Knoth Humlum, Helena Skyt Nielsen, Marianne Simonsen and Helena Skyt Nielsen

12667: End-of-life Medical Spending: Patterns and Household Spillovers

Alexander Ahammer and Lea-Karla Matic

12666: Patents, Firm Rents, and Worker Compensation: Causal Evidence from Quasi-Random Patent Allocation

Afroza Alam and André Diegmann

12665: The ifo Business Climate Index for Germany: A Vintage Dataset

Klaus Wohlrabe and Stefan Sauer

12664: Charging the Transition: Directed Technical Change with Enabling Technologies

Maria Alsina-Pujols and Isabel Hovdahl

12663: Indirect Estimators of Intergenerational Mobility

Andrea Del Pizzo, Martin Nybom and Jan Stuhler

12662: Immigration Enforcement Visibility and Consumer Spending

Uma De Balanzo, Nuria Rodriguez-Planas, Jennifer Roff and Núria Rodríguez-Planas

12661: Gender Representation and Collective Decision-Making in Expert Committees

Rigissa Megalokonomou

12660: Divided We Act: The Role of Social Sanctions in a Polarized World

Eugen Dimant, Michele Gelfand, Anna Hochleitner and Silvia Sonderegger

12659: (De-)Radicalizing the Radical Right with Slanted News on Immigration

Christian Koch and Jean-Robert Tyran

12658: After D-day? Destruction, Catch up, and Leapfrog

Lisa Chauvet, Abel Francois and Jean Lacroix

12657: When Religion Shapes Redistribution: Islamic Economic Provisions and Income Inequality

Mahmut Zeki Akarsu and Moamen Gouda

12656: Credit Supply, Firms, and Earnings Inequality

Christian Moser, Farzad Saidi, Benjamin Wirth and Stefanie Wolter

12655: Immigrant Business Owner Activity in the Pandemic and Recovery

Robert Fairlie and Robert W. Fairlie

12654: Prenatal Conditions and Midlife Mental Health: Evidence from an Alcohol Policy Experiment

Evelina Linnros and J. Peter Nilsson

12653: Do AI Expectations Reduce Unemployment in the United States? Evidence from an AI Attention Index

Erdinc Akyildirim, Suzan Bekci and Giray Gozgor

12652: Growth Is Getting Harder to Find, Not Ideas

Teresa Fort, Nathan Goldschlag, Jack Liang, Peter K. Schott and Nikolas Zolas

12651: Capital and Labor Income Mobility

Marco Ranaldi, Joël Bühler, Roberto Iacono and Mathias Bühler

12650: The Stock Market Effects of the 2022 Russia Sanctions: Evidence from the US and the EU

Matthijs Leusen, Harry Garretsen, Francesco Giumelli and Tristan Kohl

12649: Persistence and Long-Run Linkages Between US Stock Market Prices and Bond Yields

Juan Diego Cafferata Salazar, Guglielmo Maria Caporale and Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana

12648: On von Stackelberg Leadership in a Cartel-Fringe-Renewables' Model of Exhaustible Resource Extraction

Simon Elgersma, Hassan Benchekroun, Gerard Cornelis van der Meijden and Cees A. Withagen

12647: Triggering the Green Transition; Policies for Transitional Dynamics

Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg and Anthony Venables

12646: Regulating Physicians’ Prices in the Presence of Health Platforms

Chiara Canta, Leonardo Madio, Andrea Mantovani and Carlo Reggiani

12645: Revealed Preference for Redistribution and the Role of Government

Matthias Rodemeier and Gregory Sun

12644: Organized Crime, Hidden Pollution, and Long-run Health Costs

Davide Cipullo, Massimiliano Gaetano Onorato and Gianmario Pelleschi

12643: Estimating Tax-Dependent Compliance: Theory and Evidence from Trade Wars

Andrew Bibler, Yuting Gao, Laura Grigolon and Mark J. Tremblay

12642: Dual Income Taxation and Top Income Shares

Michele Ceraolo, Roberto Iacono and Fernando Rios-Avila

12641: Instrumental-Variable Poisson PML with High-Dimensional Fixed Effects

Ohyun Kwon, Mario Larch, Jangsu Yoon and Yoto Yotov

12640: Differential Capital Taxation and Risk Premia: A Separation Result

Francesco Menoncin and Paolo Panteghini

12639: A Bargaining Theory of the Leverage-Profitability Relationship

Paolo Panteghini

12638: From Micro Filters to the Macro Slope

Engin Kara

12637: Fundraising Goals and Charitable Giving

Christoph Oslislo and Frederik Schwerter

12636: Worker- and Firm-Level Effects of an Outsourcing Ban

Uğur Aytun, Eren Gürer and Erol Taymaz

12635: Exchange Rate Insulation Revisited

Giancarlo Corsetti, Keith Kuester, Gernot J. Müller, Sebastian Schmidt, Ben Schumann and Gernot Müller

12633: The Strait of Hormuz, Towards a Long-Lasting Solution

Massoud Karshenas, Hashem Pesaran, Ronald Smith and M. Hashem Pesaran

12632: Political Accountability and the Returns to Peace

Daniel Borbely, Mathias Bühler, Joris Mueller and Jonathan Norris

12631: Teacher Quality and the Teacher Labor Market

Torberg Falch and Bjarne Strøm

12630: The State-Contingent Debt Premium: Evidence from French Public Bonds

Kris James Mitchener and Goncalo Pina

12629: The Impact of Trade Wars on Firms in Third Countries

Francesco Paolo Conteduca, Marco Errico, Fabrizio Leone, Ludovic Panon and Giacomo Romanini

12628: Delayed Retirement: Effects on Health and Healthcare Utilization

Anne Katrine Borgbjerg, Hans Sigaard, Michael Svarer and Rune Vejlin

12627: The Cultural and Political Foundations of Quality of Institutions: The Role of Tightness and Looseness

Vincenzo Alfano and Salvatore Ercolano

12626: When Does Coordination Matter? Large-scale Evidence On Structural Contingencies In The Team Player Effect

Christoph M. Flath, Fabian Kosse, Victor Klockmann, Alicia von Schenk, Nikolai Stein and Nico Elbert

12625: Mobility-Based Gerrymandering: Theory and Evidence

Steeve Mongrain, Federico Revelli, Tanguy van Ypersele and Roberto Zotti

12624: Firm-Level Geopolitical Risk and Bank Debt Financing: Global Evidence

Erdinc Akyildirim, Gonul Colak, Giray Gözgör and Thang Ho

12623: Trade Policy and Access to Intermediate Inputs: Quantifying the Welfare Costs of a Fertilizer Shortage

Devaki Ghose, Eduardo Fraga and Ana Margarida Fernandes

12622: Modeling National Financial Cycles with Strong and Weak Cross-Sectional Dependence

Xin Tian, Jan P.A.M. Jacobs, Jakob de Haan, J. Paul Elhorst and Jan Jacobs

12621: Institutions for Promoting Tax Compliance in Sub-Saharan Africa

Roukiatou Nikiema, Pam Zahonogo and Romain Houssa

12620: International Sanctions and Corruption

Jerg Gutmann, Pascal Langer and Matthias Neuenkirch

12619: Workforce Quality and Early Childhood Development at Scale

Sarah Cattan, Gabriella Conti and Christine Farquharson

12618: Statutory Incidence Matters: Evidence from a Policy Intervention in the German Housing Market

Jörg Claussen, David Streich, Katerina Vlieg and Steffen Zetzmann

12617: When Wind Blows Through the Backdoor: Revisiting IV Estimates of Household Elasticities under Real-Time Electricity Pricing During the Energy Crisis

Henri Herrmann, Félix Michelet and Oliver Ruhnau

12616: The Urban-Rural Gap in Local Market Access: Evidence from Grocery Demand

Tobias Seidel, Frederic Kluser and Maximilian von Ehrlich

12615: Financial Inclusion for Inclusive Growth

Nidhaleddine Ben Cheikh and Christophe Rault

12614: Expanding Paternity Leave: Effects on Beliefs, Norms, and Gender Gaps

Henrik Jacobsen Kleven, Camille Landais, Anne Sophie Lassen, Philip Rosenbaum, Herdis Steingrimsdottir and Jakob Egholt Søgaard

12613: Housing Supply, Property Insurance, and Exposure to Wildfire Risk

Augusto Ospital

12612: Toward a Bad Job Economy: AI Adoption, Agency Costs, and Job Design

Matthias Fahn, Jin Li and Chang Sun

12611: Educational Mobility Across Multiple Generations in Indonesia

Sarah Cattan, Antonio Dalla-Zuanna, Jan Stuhler and Po Yin Wong

12610: Regulating Ceremonial Spending: Top-down or Bottom-Up?

Alisher Aldashev and Alexander M. Danzer