CESifo Working Paper Series

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12905: The Friendship Paradox: Causal Evidence of Its Behavioral Consequences

Gary Charness, Francesco Feri, Matthew Jackson, Miguel Melendez-Jimenez and Matthias Sutter

12904: The Labor Market Effects of Expanding Overtime Coverage

Simon Quach

12903: Identity, Electoral Preferences, and Voting in Times of Geopolitical Trade Conflicts

Toshihiro Okubo and Ilan Noy

12902: Theory-Consistent Tariff Aggregation

James E. Anderson, Mario Larch, Serge Shikher and Yoto V. Yotov

12901: From Social Savings to Spatial Equilibrium: Evaluating Transportation Improvements in Quantitative Spatial Models

Treb Allen, Simon Fuchs and Woan Foong Wong

12900: Deregulation and Investment Spillovers in Multi-Product Production Settings

Emmanuel Dhyne, Amil Petrin and Frederic Warzynski

12899: The Economic Consequences of Insecure Property Rights

Yehonatan Givati and Oren Rigbi

12898: Measuring Rally Effects Under Authoritarianism: Evidence from Russia’s War in Ukraine

Sinikka Parviainen and William Pyle

12897: Alternative Insurance: Gig Work and Social Insurance Participation

Ngoc Dao and Riley Wilson

12896: The Inflationary Effects of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation

Marco Gallegati, Solomos Solomou and Kun Tian

12895: Teachers and Inequality in Student Performance - Estimating Value Added and Sorting Under Endogenous Mobility

Mikkel Aagaard Houmark and Mathias Mørk

12894: Bidding for the Cloud: Fiscal Competition and the Socialization of Infrastructure Costs

Christos A. Makridis

12893: Communities of Commerce: The Legacy of Chinese Immigration on Java

Quoc-Anh Do, Sebastian Ellingsen and Gedeon Lim

12892: Financing the Scalable Stage: Technology, Donations, and Earned Revenue in the Performing Arts

Christos A. Makridis

12891: Neighborhood Change and Local Economic Activity

Hector Blanco and Lorenzo Neri

12890: The Dynamic Consequences of Inflow-driven Sudden Stops

Romain Houssa and Jean Paul Madrigal Rodríguez

12889: When Coups Win

Francesco Capozza

12888: Measuring the Acceptability of Experimental Research in Economics

Francesco Capozza, Robert Dur and Pedro Rey-Biel

12887: The Political Consequences of Energy Price Shocks: Evidence from Germany

Théo Konc, Jan Christoph Steckel, Jacob Edenhofer, Jens Ewald and Thomas Sterner

12886: The Effectiveness of Investment Tax Incentives: Evidence from Renewable Energy Deployment in Indonesia

Mayang Sari, Suphi Sen and Hans-Peter Weikard

12885: Heat-Induced Mortality and Life-Cycle Welfare Along the Income Distribution

Jannik Reinbold and Thomas Steger

12884: Degrees of Mobility: Shifting Low-Income Students to Higher Quality Colleges

Elizabeth Burland, Nora Delaney, Susan Dynarski, Katherine B. Leu, Libassi Cj, Katherine Michelmore, Stephanie Owen, Mary A. Quiroga, Elizabeth Salinas and Susan M. Dynarski

12883: Optimal Policy Reforms

Katy Bergstrom, William Dodds and Juan Rios

12882: Do Personal AI Conversations Reduce Loneliness? Evidence from a Pre-Registered Experiment

Louis Fréget, Ariell Reshef and Claudia Senik

12881: The Value of Practical Skills

Daniel Goller, Samuel Lüthi and Stefan C. Wolter

12880: Mergers and the Demand for Protectionism

Felix Montag

12879: Trading Off Openness: Economic Information and Immigration Policy Preferences

Cristina Cattaneo, Daniela Grieco, Nicola Lacetera and Mario Macis

12878: Trade-related Vulnerabilities and the Controversial Boundaries of Member States’ Economic Security in the EU

Andrea Fracasso and Stefano Schiavo

12877: On the Unintended Consequences of Critical Mineral Bans: The Exploration Channel

Rabah Arezki, Frederick van der Ploeg and Rick van der Ploeg

12876: The Persistent Effects of Adverse Shocks to Investment

Lea Best, Sebastian Link and Manuel Menkhoff

12874: Moral Characters: Social Media and Elections in the US

Edoardo Grillo, Juan Morales and Alessandra Moresi

12873: Legal Threats and Online Dissent: Evidence from Social Media Regulation in Turkey

Arvind Magesan, Juan Morales and Arieda Muço

12872: Carbon Crediting When Better Measurement Is Not Enough

Daniel Heyen and Frederik Holtel

12871: The Economic Impacts of Hurricanes on Fisheries in the United States

Renato Molina, Juan Carlos Villaseñor-Derbez and Juan Agar

12870: Religious Upbringing and Adult Human Development: Longitudinal Evidence from 22 Study Sites

Christos A. Makridis

12869: Russia’s Wartime Economy: Measuring Regional Inequalities from Outer Space

Irakli Barbakadze, Jan Fidrmuc, Martin Hulényi and Ketevani Kapanadze

12868: MICHELE: The Computation of Healthy Life Expectancy from Mortality Schedules

Astrid Krenz and Holger Strulik

12867: Healthy Life Expectancy for Individuals

Astrid Krenz and Holger Strulik

12866: The Best Buy? From Global Evidence to Government Practice

Hosam Ibrahim, Andreas de Barros, Sarah Deschênes and Paul Glewwe

12865: How Does the Cost of Capital Affect Oil Production?

Helena Cordt, Julien Daubanes, Yiding Ma and Julien Xavier Daubanes

12864: Smartphones and Children's Mental Health

Gregory F. Veramendi

12863: Changing Gender Norms Across Generations: Evidence from a Paternity Leave Reform

Lídia Farré, Christina Felfe, Libertad González and Patrick Schneider

12862: Emergent Strategic Behaviour in a Macroeconomic Agent-Based Model with Reinforcement Learning

Domenico Delli Gatti, Andrea Coletta, Aldo Glielmo, Filippo Gusella, Enrico Maria Turco and Alessia Lo Turco

12861: Political Capture and Bureaucratic Behavior: Evidence from Mafia-Infiltrated Municipalities

Maria Carreri, Davide Cipullo, Marco Le Moglie and Alberto Perego

12860: Coal in Order to Reach Renewables: Carbon Capture, Synthetic Fuels, and the Atmospheric Ceiling

Mireille Chiroleu-Assouline and Michel Moreaux

12859: Platform Power in News Aggregation

Andrey Simonov, Daniil Mikhailov, Ruben Enikolopov and Ruben Durante

12858: Who Competes for Whom? Monopsony in Ability-Segregated Labor Markets

Luca Lorenzini

12857: Majority Lost: Global Evidence and Field Experiments on Electoral Miscoordination

Francesco Capozza, Ruben Durante and Siddharth George

12856: Disambiguating Information Interventions: Recovering Beliefs and Ambiguity Attitudes from Virtual Twins

Aurelien Baillon, Francesco Capozza and Vahid Moghani

12855: Social Media Toxicity and Mental Health

George Beknazar-Yuzbashev, Francesco Capozza, Kylan Rutherford and Mateusz Stalinski

12854: Polarized Media and Inflation Expectations

Selva Demiralp, Orkun Saka and Michael Weber

12853: A Regressive Shock? The Distributional Consequences of Middle East Conflict-Driven Inflation for German Households

Michael Christl, Andreas Peichl and Tiphaine Wibault

12852: Do Markets Deliver? Competition and Choice in European Healthcare Markets

Carol Propper

12851: The Price of Regulatory Risk in Housing Markets: Evidence from Berlin

Mathias Dolls, Clemens Fuest, David Gstrein, Carla Krolage and Florian Neumeier

12850: Expert Inflation Preferences and the Evaluation of Monetary Policy

Timo Wochner, Lukas Hack and Niklas Potrafke

12849: Belief Disagreement, Instability, and Uncertainty under Stochastic Recall

Pei Kuang, Li Tang, Michael Weber and Michael Weber

12848: Trust but Verify: Benchmarking Gallup World Poll Employment Data Against the EU-Labour Force Survey

Ioannis Laliotis and Christos A. Makridis

12847: Behavioral Environmental Economics

Matthias Rodemeier and Christoph Semken

12846: Clause and Effect: Theory and Field Experimental Evidence on Noncompete Clauses

Bo Cowgill, Brandon Freiberg and Evan Starr

12845: Taxing Cross-Border Services

Shafik Hebous, Brendan Crowley, Rasmi Das, Tibor Hanappi, Cory Hillier, Adam Jakubik, Eric Robert and Christophe Waerzeggers

12844: Preference Shocks and Policy Responses to Transition Risk

Stefano Carattini, Givi Melkadze and Inès Mourelon

12843: The Sound of Streaming: Globalization and Acoustic Convergence in Popular Music Markets

Klaus Wohlrabe and Gerome Wolf

12842: Detecting Critical Junctures as They Unfold: Foundations, Measurement, and Applications from 120 Years of Reporting

Michael J. Callen, Gregory Levy, Saipremnath Muthukumaran, Jonathan Weigel and Noam Yuchtman

12841: Firms as Foragers

Vasco Carvalho, Lukas Freund and Lukas B. Freund

12840: Persistence in Remittances: Evidence from Africa and Latin America

Luis Rodrigo Asturias, Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana and Carlos Ramirez

12839: Motivating Job Seekers. A Field Experiment

Bart Cockx, Johan Egebark, Greet Van Hoye, Emilie Videnord and Johan Vikström

12838: Peatland Rewetting for Climate Change Mitigation

Dewy Verhoeven, Deniz Kilic, Suphi Sen and Hans-Peter Weikard

12837: Putting AI to the Test: Evidence from a Large-Scale RCT in Rural China

Yue Ma, Tianli Feng, Robert W. Fairlie, Chengfang Liu, Prashant Loyalka, Scott Rozelle and Xinwu Zhang

12836: From Fuel Dependence to Network Dependence: Cross-Border Electricity Interdependence and Strategic Vulnerability in Europe's Energy Transition

José Alves and João Estevão

12835: Divergent Perceptions, Divergent Pay: Inflation and the Gender Wage Gap

Lovisa Reiche and Nicolò Maffei-Faccioli

12834: Transport Mode and the Geography of Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Davide Del Prete, Aminur Rahman and Edoardo Tolva

12833: Do Microenterprises Maximize Profits? A Nonrandomized Vegetable-Market Experiment in India

Abhijit Banerjee, Greg Fischer, Dean S. Karlan, Matt Lowe, Benjamin Roth and Matthew Lowe

12832: Sovereign Ratings and Risk Pricing, Agency Divergences in the European Union

Antonio Afonso, José Alves, Periklis Gogas and Theophilos Papadimitriou

12831: Local Opioid Exposure and Corporate Debt Structure

Giray Gözgör, Thang Ho and Jing Li

12830: Taxing Wealth Unlocks Capital Gains: An Efficiency Rationale for Wealth Taxes

Sergio Ocampo, Guttorm Schjelderup and Floris Zoutman

12829: Machine Learning and Liquidity Dynamics in European Stock Markets

Veni Arakelia, Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Mirto M. Gasparinatou and Menelaos Karanasos

12828: Environmental Taxation and Financial Frictions in Green Lending

Joshua Greubel and Fabian Herweg

12827: Blue Lies

Gary Charness, Eugen Dimant and Daniela Grieco

12826: Growth and Debt Sustainability Trade-offs in the Presence of Climate Shocks and Uncertainties

Baris Tercioglu, Stephane Hallegatte, Charl Jooste and Florent McIsaac

12825: Caring Flexibly? Working Conditions and the Supply of Adult Care

Joan Costa-i-Font and Wanying Wang

12824: COVID-19 Pandemic and Prosociality: An Experiment with Healthcare Professionals

Joan Costa-i-Font, Nicolò Gatti, Gilberto Turati and Daniel Wiesen

12823: Stablecoins under Stress in a National Economy: Transaction-Level Evidence from Austrian Crypto-Asset Service Providers

Pietro Saggese, Michael Sigmund, Burkhard Raunig, Esther Segalla, Bernhard Haslhofer and Christos A. Makridis

12822: Life After Divorce: Effects of Joint Custody on Parents and Children

Stella Canessa, Gordon B. Dahl, Anna Hasselqvist, Costas Meghir, Susan Niknami, Palme Mårten, Helmut Rainer, Olof Rosenqvist and Pengpeng Xiao

12821: Policy Thresholds as Growth Barriers: Theory and Evidence from a Payroll Tax Notch

Sami Jysmä, Youssef Benzarti and Jarkko Harju

12820: Heterogeneous Globalization: Offshoring and Reorganization

Andrew B. Bernard, Teresa Fort, Valerie Smeets and Frederic Warzynski

12819: Taxi Market Deregulation: Effects on Market Outcomes, Tax Evasion and Crime

Jarkko Harju, Ida Kankaanranta and Kaisa Kotakorpi

12818: A Simple Model of Government Decision-Making and Plurilateral Cooperation on Critical Materials

Spiros Bougheas, Bernard Hoekman and Douglas R. Nelson

12817: Immigrants' Regularization and Native Workers' Response

Gianluca Orefice, Giovanni Peri and Gianluca Santoni

12816: Evaluation and Assignment with Networked Competition and Spillovers

Antonio Cabrales and Wenhao Cheng

12815: The Effect of Vehicle Taxes on Fleet Exit

Markus Gehrsitz and Christian Traxler

12814: Imperfect Self-knowledge about Skills and Skill Mismatch

Daniel Goller, Enzo Brox and Stefan C. Wolter

12813: Tax-Induced Emigration: Who Flees High Taxes? Evidence from the Netherlands

José Victor C. Giarola, Olivier Marie, Frank Cörvers and Hans Schmeets

12812: The Social and Statistical Construction of Race

Anjali Adukia, Richard Hornbeck, Daniel Keniston and Ben Lualdi

12811: Federal Research Funding and STEM Education

Emily Cook, Devaki Ghose and Ekaterina Khmelnitskaya

12810: The Labor Market Impacts of GLP-1s

Meltem N. Daysal, Camille Fredrickson, Ida Lykke Kristiansen, Mircea Trandafir, Jonathan Zhang and N. Meltem Daysal

12809: Gender Differences in Self-Promotion and Career Advice

Rigissa Megalokonomou, Juliana Silva-Goncalves and Roel van Veldhuizen

12808: Equilibrium Excess Demand in the Low Income Rental Housing Market: Theory and Experimental Evidence

Katherine Cuff, Nicolas Marceau, Reyhaneh Nikoonejad and Bradley Ruffle

12807: Technological Lock-in Due to Environmental Taxation

Mireille Chiroleu-Assouline and Xavier Koch

12806: Long Memory and Asymmetric Uncertainty Effects on Stock Returns and Volatility: A Fractional Integration Approach

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Gil-Alana and Jesus Pantoja Cárdenas

12805: Enforcement Spillovers and the Efficiency Costs of Means-Tested Transfers: Evidence from Workplace Networks

Joan Vilá, Marcelo Bérgolo, Guillermo Cruces and Marcelo Bergolo