Portugal: Staff Report for the 2015 Article IV Consultation

International Monetary Fund

No 2015/126, IMF Staff Country Reports from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This 2015 Article IV Consultation highlights that Portugal’s significant flow imbalances have largely been corrected in the wake of the sovereign debt crisis, with employment increasing, output expanding, and the current account balance posting surpluses for the first time in decades. The economy has expanded at close to 1 percent per year on average since early 2013, with growth driven largely by consumption. The near-term outlook is benefiting from the trifecta of record-low interest rates, a weakening euro, and low oil prices. Output is expected to increase by 1.6 percent in 2015 and by 1.5 percent in 2016, with outlook for inflation improving as well.

Keywords: ISCR; CR; debt; balance; deficit target; holding; deficit; profitability recovery; Infraestruturas de Portugal; holdings of SDR; current account; near-term outlook; IMF staff estimate; General government deficit; Structural reforms; Labor markets; Fiscal consolidation; Global; Europe (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 77
Date: 2015-05-18
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