Belgium: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund
No 2015/071, IMF Staff Country Reports from International Monetary Fund
Abstract:
This Selected Issues paper illustrates the recent evolution in Belgian housing prices. Belgian housing prices peaked at the end of 2013 after a persistent increase that was almost continuous for 30 years. The stabilization of prices, combined with policy changes on the fiscal and macro-prudential fronts, raises the question how housing prices are likely to evolve and how a price decline would affect the Belgian economy. The paper assesses the risk of a rapid price correction and the potential repercussions for the real economy. It also argues that an orderly and limited decline in housing prices—coupled with a marginal negative effect on the real economy—is the most plausible scenario.
Keywords: ISCR; CR; wage; government; wage bill; bill containment; house price; equilibrium price; federal government; government plan; price decline; Housing prices; Fiscal consolidation; Inflation; Mortgages; Europe (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 42
Date: 2015-03-12
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