Ukraine: Technical Assistance Report-Medium-Term Budget Framework and Fiscal Risk Statement

International Monetary Fund

No 2019/342, IMF Staff Country Reports from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This Technical Assistance paper on Ukraine discusses medium-term budget framework (MTBF) and fiscal risk statement. In order to strengthen the medium-term orientation of the budget, the authorities have committed to implement a full-fledged MTBF as part of their Public Financial Management Reform Strategy (2017–21). The ability of the Ministry of Finance (MoF) to enforce compliance with ceilings during the annual budget will be critical to the success of the pilot exercise. The MoF will need to develop a robust report explaining the ceilings for cabinet discussion and for presentation to the legislature. The authorities have been taking steps to improve their understanding and disclosure of fiscal risks and have made significant progress with the inclusion of a summary fiscal risk statement in the draft Budget Declaration. The institutional structures to support fiscal risk analyses and disclosure are also yet to be established.

Keywords: ISCR; CR; budget declaration; expenditure ceiling; challenge function; build budget challenge capacity; KSU ceiling; risk exposure; budget challenge function; government policy; budget Policy rule; MTBF process; baseline expenditure estimate; expenditure envelope; Budget planning and preparation; Fiscal risks; Medium-term budget frameworks; Macroeconomic and fiscal forecasts; Africa (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 41
Date: 2019-11-15
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis and nep-mac
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