The Spillover Effects of Russia’s Economic Slowdown on Neighboring Countries

Ara Stepanyan, Agustin Roitman, Gohar Minasyan, Dragana Ostojic and Natan Epstein

No 2016/003, IMF Spillover Notes from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: In the face of sharply lower oil prices and geopolitical tensions and sanctions, economic activity in Russia decelerated in late 2014, resulting in negative spillovers on Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) and, to a lesser extent, on Baltic countries. The spillovers to eastern Europe have been limited. The degree of impact is commensurate with the level of these countries’ trade, remittances, and foreign direct investment (FDI) links with Russia. So far, policy action by the affected countries has focused on mitigating the immediate consequences of spillovers.

Keywords: SN; Russia; exchange rate; CIS country; CIS oil importer; growth slowdown; import ban; exchange rate depreciation; growth shock; Spillovers; Oil prices; Exchange rates; Depreciation; Remittances; Baltics; Eastern Europe (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 26
Date: 2016-09-27
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