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Climate Change and Economic Growth Prospects for Malawi: An Uncertainty Approach

Channing Arndt, Adam Schlosser, Kenneth Strzepek and James Thurlow

No wp-2014-013, WIDER Working Paper Series from World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER)

Abstract: Malawi confronts a development imperative in a context of rising temperatures and deep uncertainty about precipitation trends. We evaluate the implications of climate change for overall growth and development prospects to 2050. We focus on three impact channels: agriculture, road infrastructure, and hydropower generation while accounting explicitly for the uncertainty in climate forecasts. We find that climate change is unlikely to substantially slow overall economic growth over the next couple of decades.

Keywords: Climate change; Economic development; Global warming (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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