Ecological Modelling

2007 - 2025

Current editor(s): Brian D. Fath

From Elsevier
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2025, volume 503, articles C

Bush encroachment with climate change in protected and communal areas: A species distribution modelling approach

Thabang Maphanga, Cletah Shoko, Mbulisi Sibanda, Blessing Kavhu, Corli Coetsee and Timothy Dube

Modelling system dynamics as a socio-ecological perspective to support human-beaver interactions

Anna Treves, Giovanni Zenezini and Elena Comino

Integrating equity and justice in marine ecosystem models: An incremental but meaningful approach

Sieme Bossier and Andrés M. Cisneros-Montemayor

Hybrid modeling approaches for accurate greenhouse climate prediction: Combining mechanistic models and LSTM neural networks

Yuanhong Xiong and Yuanping Su

Climate warming will significantly affect future restoration and level of ecosystem services in Lake Erhai

Bo Qin, Min Xu, Kexin Zhu, Yanjie Zhao, Enlou Zhang and Rong Wang

Toward a better understanding of forest spatial patterns:A generalisation of the uniform angle index

Yuankun Bu, Weizhong Li, Klaus von Gadow, Jiangtao Wei, Pengxiang Zhao, Yanzheng Yang, Chaofan Zhou, Boheng Wang and Xuan Zhao

Canary palms in rural areas as invasion bridges: Exploring simulated red palm weevil spread across date palm plantations

Eitan Goldshtein, Victoria Soroker, Asaf Sadeh and Yafit Cohen

Growing at the edge: Modelling sapling colonization, performance, and effective range of mountain birch (Betula pubescens ssp. tortuosa)

Anna Mariager Behrend and Arne Pommerening

2025, volume 502, articles C

Modelling the population dynamics of Rift Valley fever virus mosquito vectors in the western Mediterranean Basin

Alex Drouin, Thomas Balenghien, Benoit Durand, Carles Aranda, Amal Bennouna, Ali Bouattour, Said C Boubidi, Annamaria Conte, Sarah Delacour, Maria Goffredo, Oumnia Himmi, Grégory L'Ambert, Francis Schaffner and Véronique Chevalier

Modeling water quality and cyanobacteria blooms in Lake Okeechobee: I. Model descriptions, seasonal cycles, and spatial patterns

Mingshun Jiang, Ashely Brereton, Jordon Beckler, Timothy Moore, Rachel A. Brewton, Chuanmin Hu, Brian E. Lapointe and Malcolm N. McFarland

How priority effects within co-infected individuals scale up to affect disease risk in a two-host-two-pathogen system

Jing Jiao and Michael H. Cortez

Simulating biotic disturbance responses in forests requires a balance of model performance, complexity, and accessibility

Lisa T. Haber, Ben Bond-Lamberty, David Chan, Kalyn Dorheim, Jaclyn Hatala Matthes and Christopher Gough

Vegetation pattern formation in Daisyworld model with greenhouse effect

Maya Kageyama

Modelling interactive effects of biological and environmental factors on fine-scale coral settlement patterns

Molly-Mae Baker, Anna K. Cresswell, James P. Gilmour and Michael Renton

Enhancing ecological sustainability in ion-adsorption rare earth mining areas: A multi-scale model for assessing spatiotemporal dynamics and ecological resilience

Yaoyao Jiang, Hengkai Li, Zhiwei Zhang, Guogang Ren and Jianying Zhang

Spatial-temporal evolution of carbon storage and its driving factors in the Shanxi section of the Yellow River Basin, China

Jiakai Ma, Zixuan Hao, Yaqi Shen and Zhilei Zhen

Corrigendum to "Comparing the performance of global, geographically weighted and ecologically weighted species distribution models for Scottish wildcats using GLM and Random Forest predictive modeling"

S.A. Cushman, K. Kilshaw, R.D. Campbell, Z. Kaszta, M. Gaywood and D.W. Macdonald

Uncertainties in future ecosystem services under land and climate scenarios: The case of erosion in the Alps

Nicolas Elleaume, Bruno Locatelli, David Makowski, Améline Vallet, Jérôme Poulenard, Johan Oszwald and Sandra Lavorel

Field-scale simulation of runoff and water quality in a paddy field: A study of novel RWQSPad model

Dawei Lin, Baolin Su, Wuzhi Yang, Ningbo Huang, Kun Zhao, Yutang Guan, Ya Liao and Jingwen Zhou

Utilizing spatial modeling to evaluate habitat suitability and develop conservation corridors for effective conservation planning of Asian elephants (Elephas maximus) in Jeli, Kelantan, Malaysia

Nur Hairunnisa Rafaai, Hazizi Husain, Shukor Md Nor, Amal Najihah Muhamad Nor, Aainaa Amir, Muhamad Azahar Abas, Nor Hizami Hassin, Ashiah Rosdi, Siti Balqis Jaafar, Farah Nabila Ahmad, Fazrin Munirah Atan, Ahmad Shahdan Kasim, Hairulazim Mahmud, Salman Saaban and Kamarul Hambali

2025, volume 501, articles C

Demystifying Monte Carlo methods in R: A guide from Metropolis–Hastings to Hamiltonian Monte Carlo with biological growth equation examples

Dipali Vasudev Mestry and Amiya Ranjan Bhowmick

Dynamic energy budget modelling of anuran metamorphosis

Carlo Romoli, Benoit Goussen, Lennart Weltje, Pernille Thorbek, Douglas J. Fort, Brittanie F. Peake, Joachim Kleinmann and Erik B. Muller

Modeling polar bear (Ursus maritimus) snowdrift den habitat on Alaska's Beaufort Sea coast using SnowDens-3D and ArcticDEM data

Glen E. Liston, Katherine B. Gura, Justin A. Crawford, Lori Polasek, Craig J. Perham, Lori Quakenbush, Adele K. Reinking, Jewell Lund, Sarah M. Chinn, Richard T. Shideler and Ryan R. Wilson

Structural differences across hydrological models affect certainty of predictions of nature-based solution benefits

Alanna J. Rebelo, Julia Glenday, Petra B. Holden, Shaeden Gokool, David Gwapedza, Peni Metho and Jane Tanner

Ecological role of marine mammals in the Magellan Strait: Insights from trophic modeling

Daniela Haro, Fabio A. Labra, Sergio Neira, Juan Carlos Hernández-Padilla and Francisco Arreguín-Sánchez

Machine learning emulators of dynamical systems for understanding ecosystem behaviour

Oriol Pomarol Moya, Siamak Mehrkanoon, Madlene Nussbaum, Walter W. Immerzeel and Derek Karssenberg

Plankton response to sudden polychlorinated biphenyls pollution on a Reservoir of North China based on AQUATOX model

Jinxia Yan, Haijing Li, Chuan Liu, Chenshuo Liu and Tao Xing

Using the ODD protocol and NetLogo to replicate agent-based models

Volker Grimm, Uta Berger, Justin M. Calabrese, Ainara Cortés-Avizanda, Jordi Ferrer, Mathias Franz, Jürgen Groeneveld, Florian Hartig, Oliver Jakoby, Roger Jovani, Stephanie Kramer-Schadt, Tamara Münkemüller, Cyril Piou, L.S. Premo, Sandro Pütz, Thomas Quintaine, Christine Rademacher, Nadja Rüger, Amelie Schmolke, Jan C. Thiele, Julia Touza and Steven F. Railsback

Quantile regression for estimating Douglas-fir natural regeneration potential using the R package quaxnat: Advanced ecological modeling for the management of nature conservation and silviculture

Maximilian Axer, Robert Schlicht and Lukas Blickensdörfer

Fine-scale surface complexity promotes temperature extremes but reduces the spatial extent of refugia on coastal rocks

T.J. Barrett, M. Li, T. Gouhier, G. Rilov, B. Helmuth, F. Choi, S. Filin and S. Müftü

Ecological network analysis for urban physical-virtual water cycle: A case study of Beijing

Qingnan Cai, Delin Fang and Bin Chen

Parameter sensitivity and transferability for simulating ET and GPP of Dryland ecosystems across a climate gradient

Gerald N. Flerchinger, Xiaosheng Chu, Kathleen A. Lohse, Patrick E. Clark and Mark S. Seyfried

Assessing the sustainability of China's coastal regions: A perspective on local coupling and telecoupling

Miao Hu, Yongtao Bian and Guangxing Ji

Estimating landscape intensity through farming practices: An integrative and flexible approach to modelling farming intensity from field to landscape

Simon Maudet, Théo Brusse, Benoit Poss, Gaël Caro and Ronan Marrec

Bayesian networks facilitate updating of species distribution and habitat suitability models

Adam Duarte, Robert S. Spaan, James T. Peterson, Christopher A. Pearl and Michael J. Adams

Effects of phenotypic plasticity on diversification rates and adaptive evolution in simulated environments with different climatic and cost contexts

Emerson Campos Barbosa Júnior, Pavel Dodonov, Hilton F. Japyassú and Bruno Vilela

Research on Accounting for the Value of Forest Ecological Products in Qilian Mountain National Park in Gansu Province

Na Meng, Ying Zhang and Hui Xiao

Predicting budbreak dates for ‘Delaware’ grape considering chilling and heat requirements using PhenoFlex

Masahiro Kamimori and Akihiro Hosomi

Development and testing of a mechanistic potential niche model of riparian tree seedling recruitment

Sierra J. Phillips, Gregory B. Pasternack and Kenneth Larrieu

Modelling past and future impacts of droughts on tree mortality and carbon storage in Norway spruce stands in Germany

Tim Anders, Jessica Hetzer, Nikolai Knapp, Matthew Forrest, Liam Langan, Merja Helena Tölle, Nicole Wellbrock and Thomas Hickler

Increased terrestrial ecosystem respiration in China estimated by land-atmosphere coupling model

Tuanhui Wang, Yue Zhang, Abdusalam Turup, Aiguo Zhang and Longhui Li

Corrigendum to “How can oak regeneration in the Leipzig Floodplain Forest be effectively supported by femel plantations? Application of a demographic forest model” [Ecological Modelling 499 (2025) 110920]

Jack Boyce, Lucian Elles, Stefanie Henkel, Hans D. Kasperidus, Andreas Padberg, Mathias Scholz, Markus E. Schorn, Andreas Sickert, Michael Vieweg and Nadja Rüger

A protocol for implementing parameter sensitivity analyses in complex ecosystem models

Criscely Luján, Yunne-Jai Shin, Nicolas Barrier, Paul Leadley and Ricardo Oliveros-Ramos

Variability in habitat selection between herds for a widespread ungulate

Logan Hysen, Ho Yi Wan, Patrick Jantz, Jeff Gagnon and Samuel A. Cushman

Permafrost environment evaluation of Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau based on DPSRC theory and system dynamics

Yi-Ning Ye, Ya-Ling Chou, Dong Zhao, Wei Cao, Jia-Wei Xu and Ai-Jun Wang

Exploring physiological constraints on life-history traits using Dynamic Energy Budgets

Mélanie Debelgarric and Charlotte Récapet

Extreme capital breeding for giants: Effects of body size on humpback whale energy expenditure and fasting endurance

Fredrik Christiansen, Peter T Madsen, Virginia Andrews-Goff, Mike C Double, Jason R How, Phil Clapham, Yulia Ivashchenko, Dmitry Tormosov and Kate R Sprogis

A process-based dynamic modelling study of the impact of discharge water from shrimp culture on riverine nitrogen cycling: A case study

Suvendu Das, Sagar Adhurya, Prithwi Ghosh and Santanu Ray

Supporting conservation planning in a national biodiversity hotspot – Projecting species composition across a groundwater level gradient using a demographic forest model

Lucian Elles, Jack Boyce, Stefanie Henkel, Hans D. Kasperidus, Mathias Scholz, Markus E. Schorn, Michael Vieweg, Christian Wirth and Nadja Rüger

Addressing Data Limitations to Explore Management Strategies and Adaptations Using Stylized Agent-Based Modeling: A Case Study of Socio-Environmental Systems

Mehrsa Pouladi, Parsa Pouladi, Saba Naderian Jahromi and Foad Namjoo

Sampling effort required for fitting spatially explicit models of species distribution dynamics

Oriol Solà, Marc Kéry, Núria Aquilué and Lluís Brotons

Particle tracking modelling in coastal marine environments: Recommended practices and performance limitations

Soizic Garnier, Rory O'Hara Murray, Philip A. Gillibrand, Alejandro Gallego, Peter Robins and Meadhbh Moriarty

Does climate change stimulate citizens' responses to conserving urban forest? Insights from stimulus-organism-response theory

Rahim Maleknia and Raluca Elena Enescu

Integrating karst bare rock index (KBRI) into the CASA model to improve grassland aboveground biomass estimation in karst area, Southwest China

Yanyun Deng, Zhen Han, Wanyang Yu, Jinxin Zhang, Rui Hou and Longshan Zhao

Response of California condor populations to reintroductions, reinforcements, and reductions in spent lead ammunition pollution

Bruce G. Marcot, Nathan H. Schumaker and Jesse D'Elia

Seasonal pattern of dengue infection in Singapore: A mechanism-based modeling and prediction

Ilham Saiful Fauzi, Nuning Nuraini, Regina Wahyudyah Sonata Ayu, Imaniah Bazlina Wardani and Siti Duratun Nasiqiati Rosady

On the evolution of dispersal strategies under the costs of acquisition of private and social information

Antoine Sion, Matteo Marcantonio, Stefano Masier and Elio Tuci

Ubi es, room to roam? Extension of the LPB-RAP model capabilities for potential habitat analysis

Sonja Holler, Kimberly R. Hall, Bronwyn Rayfield, Galo Zapata-Ríos, Daniel Kübler, Olaf Conrad, Oliver Schmitz, Carmelo Bonannella, Tomislav Hengl, Jürgen Böhner, Sven Günter and Melvin Lippe

A new growth curve and fit to the National Forest Inventory data of Finland

Lauri Mehtätalo, Minna Räty and Juho Mehtätalo

Dynamic ammonia exchange within a mixed deciduous forest canopy in the Southern Appalachians

Rick D. Saylor, John T. Walker, Zhiyong Wu, Xi Chen, Donna B. Schwede, A.Christopher Oishi and Nebila Lichiheb

Inferring the relative importance of navigation and landscape effects for migratory populations using agent-based models

Mitchell J. Kendzel, Jacobus C. de Roode and Lance A. Waller

Attractor of a neutral individual-based forest model captures spatiotemporal structure characteristics of a mature tropical forest

Marc A. Dubois, Michael A. Allen, Wirong Chanthorn, Laurent Cournac, Louise H. Emmons, Charly Favier and Bernard Riéra

A minimal model for tree crown competition

Craig Loehle

Comparison of spring phenology simulation in central Asian grasslands

Xin Dou, Lizhou Wu, Chengyi Zhao, Juyan Li, Yingyu Yan, Jianting Zhu and Dandan Wang

A generalist species of highly specialized individuals?

S.A. Cushman, K. Kilshaw, Z. Kaszta, R.D. Campbell, M. Gaywood and D.W. Macdonald

Ecological effect of seasonally changing temperature on the life cycle of Aurelia aurita

Da Song, Wentao Fu, Meng Fan and Kun Li

A new multitrophic model for olive tree, olive fly and fly predators to support risk management in operational contexts

Ermes Movedi, Livia Paleari, Sofia Tartarini, Fosco M. Vesely, Giacomo Facelli, Francisco J. Villalobos and Roberto Confalonieri

Global sensitivity analysis of the harmonized Lemna model

Chloé Guisnet, Stefan Reichenberger, Elena Alonso García and Frank Voss

An improved SIF-based GPP estimation method based on quantifying the joint effect of photosynthetically active radiation and temperature on LUE/SIFyield

Lijiang Fu, Junqing Chen, Jinglu Tan, Suleyman I. Allakhverdiev and Ya Guo

The role of wild birds in transmitting highly pathogenic avian influenza in Denmark: An exploration using a spatiotemporal model

Yangfan Liu, Lene Jung Kjær, Anette Ella Boklund, Preben Clausen, Timme Nyegaard, Michael P. Ward, Shawn Laffan and Carsten Thure Kirkeby

Modeling rangelands as complex adaptive socio-ecological systems: An agent-based model of pyric herbivory

Hsiao-Hsuan Wang, William E. Grant, Andrew G. Birt and Bradford P. Wilcox

Land suitability assessment and self-sufficiency evaluation for fodder crop production in a hyper arid environment coupling GIS-based multi-criteria decision making and optimization

Hazrat Bilal, Fatima-Zahra Lahlou and Tareq Al-Ansari

Integrating static and dynamic analyses in a spatial management framework to enhance ecological networks connectivity in the context of rapid urbanization

Feiyu Chen, Qiaoling Luo and Zhibing Zhu

Impact of environmental conditions on fish early-life stages, an individual-based model approach

María-José Lagunes, Leo Berline, Marine Di Stefano and Vincent Rossi

Implementation of a web-based system for monitoring and simulation of arid zones in northwestern Mexico. Region of Mexico

Lidia Yadira Perez-Aguilar, Wenseslao Plata-Rocha, Sergio Alberto Monjardin-Armenta and Ramon Fernando López-Osorio

A hybrid deep learning model based on CNN-GRU-BiLSTM for predicting the carbon removal capacity of the living standing tree using multi-source variables

Zehai Xu, Qiaoling Han and Yandong Zhao

Improving forest gross primary productivity estimation through climate and trait integration

Hongge Ren, Li Zhang, Min Yan, Bo Zhang and Linlin Ruan

Fungal pathogen transmission dynamics in North American salamanders: Mathematical insights for disease management

Mohammad Mihrab Chowdhury, Matthew J. Gray, Edward Davis Carter, Douglas C. Woodhams, Julia A. McCartney, James G. Surles, K McKensie Nelms, Hao Gan and Angela Peace

Model perpetuation by designing and documenting models and workflows so that they can be reused and further developed by others: The case of multiple stressors in ecology

Laura Meier, Volker Grimm and Karin Frank

Retraction Notice to “Simulating fish passage impacts on a fragmented metapopulation of Paddlefish” [Ecological Modelling 495 (2024) 110806]

Henry J. Hershey, Russell R. Wright, Todd M. Swannack and Dennis R. DeVries

Simulating endogenous institutional behaviour and policy implementation pathways within the land system

Yongchao Zeng, Joanna Raymond, Calum Brown, Mohamed Byari and Mark Rounsevell

Impact of public health interventions on the transmission of asymptomatic syphilis: A modeling study based on Yunnan Province, China (2008–2022)

Ruiyu Chai, Yiting Zhang, Gongke Yang, Jiaxin Hao, Shifang Qu, Menghan Lu, Xiaoyue Sun, Tian Ma, Yong Li and Siyu Liu

Simulating fishery dynamics by combining empirical data and behavioral theory

Jonas Letschert, Birgit Müller, Gunnar Dressler, Christian Möllmann and Vanessa Stelzenmüller