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Forecasting Errors: Yet more Problems for Identification?

Bruno Contini ()

Economia politica, 2011, issue 2, 185-194

Abstract: Forecasting errors pose a serious problem of identification, often neglected in empirical applications. Any attempt of estimating choice models under uncertainty may lead to severely biased results in the presence of forecasting errors even when individual expectations on future events are observed together with the standard outcome variables. The problem is illustrated by an empirical study on job changing behavior.

Keywords: J; J6; C18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Working Paper: Forecasting Errors: Yet More Problems for Identification? (2009) Downloads
Working Paper: Forecasting errors: yet more problems for identification? (2008) Downloads
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Economia politica is currently edited by Alberto Quadrio Curzio, Giorgio Lunghini, Pier Carlo Nicola

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