Do output contractions trigger democratic change?
Paul Burke () and
Andrew Leigh ()
No 633, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University
Does faster economic growth increase pressure for democratic change, or reduce it? Using data for 154 countries for the period 1963-2007, we examine the short-run relationship between economic growth and moves toward and away from greater democracy. To address the potential endogeneity of economic growth, we use variation in precipitation, temperatures, and commodity prices as instruments for a country’s rate of economic growth. Our results indicate that more rapid economic growth reduces the short-run likelihood of institutional change toward democracy. Output contractions due to adverse weather shocks appear to have a particularly important impact on the timing of democratic change.
Keywords: economic growth; democratization; weather; commodity prices (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 N40 O17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations View citations in EconPapers (15) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 500 Can't connect to www.cbe.anu.edu.au:443
Journal Article: Do Output Contractions Trigger Democratic Change? (2010)
Working Paper: Do Output Contractions Trigger Democratic Change? (2010)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:auu:dpaper:633
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University
Contact information at EDIRC.
Series data maintained by ().