Abstract:
I research the market efficiency of the German 6/49 parimutuel lottery game using Stata. To this end, I investigate the existence of profit opportunities for particularly unpopular combinations of numbers (Papachristou and Karamanis (1998)), employing the covariates proposed by Henze and Riedwyl (1998). Furthermore, I examine the time series behavior of stakes bet in relation to the size of the jackpot in the respective draw. In particular, I attempt to verify the conjecture that the skewness of the payoff distribution drives bettors' appetite for participation (Golec and Tamarkin (1998)). Along the way, I show how one can set up Stata to retrieve data from the internet, unpack them automatically and shape them for the analysis. I also show how one can schedule tasks to automate the process further.
More papers in Fall North American Stata Users' Group Meetings 2008 from Stata Users Group Contact information at EDIRC. Series data maintained by Christopher F Baum ().
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